新疆短期气候预测研究的回顾

回顾了1958－1997年新疆短期气候预测研究取得的主要成果，包括：大气环流变化及其与新疆天气气候的关系；新疆冬、春季水旱以及北疆前冬冷暖长期天气过程的分析；北半球月平均加热场及其在长期天气预报中的应用；海气相互作用、地形影响、低频振荡过程以及在短期气修预测中的应用；新疆短期气候预测方法的应用研究等。     

Short-term precursor of the geomagnetic horizontal field transfer functions

IntroductionThe history of studying the changes in deep geoelectric conductivity of an earthquake preparation using the parameters of geomagnetic short-period variations has been about 30 years. At first, Japanese calculated the real transfer functions as well as the a and b coefficients of Parkinson vector by taking the measurement of graph and using empirical formula. There are some examples, such as the 1923 Kanto M=7.9 earthquake (Yanagihara, 1972), the 1966 Tashkent M=5.5 earthquake, t…     

LONG TERM EFFECTS OF REHABILITATION MEASURES ON BED LOAD TRANSPORT AT THE SALZACH RIVER

1 BASIC PROBLEMFlood protecton, sPreaing of settlements and occuPatin Of river valleys were maor reasons to damand lindt rivers throughout Europe in the ndd 19th century. Engineers of those days often knew very wellabout the effects of their plannings: shortening the river length would accelerat the now and thusencourage the erosion into the river's sedAnents. Two vital advanages could be obtalned from that kindof constrUction, landuse of the fOrmer flood plains on the one and increasin…     

RESUSPENSION OF FINE SEDIMENT IN RESERVOIRS - A CASE STUDY OF THE LOWER INN RIVER

1 THE LOWhR unR INNThe Inn river has its source in the alPine region of the GraubUnden canton of Switzerand. ThecatChment area of about 260(X} kIn2 includes mountains of the central Alpes up to 40(X) m. The river runs5l7 km thrOugh the countries of SwitZerand, Austria and Germany on itS way into the Danube mver. Thedischarge of the river at its mouth in the city of Passau is mainly infiuenced by the snow melt in themountainous catchment area and vches between apProx. 200 m3ls durin…     

区域发展限制性因素的探讨—以湛江市为例

几十年的研究与实践表明，区域发展要“扬长避短”，即要重视区域优势的发挥，也要注重区域发展的限制因素。在实地调查的基础上，以湛江市为例，强调了区域发展限制性因素研究的重要性。认为湛江市的区域发展在区域政策、区域组织、区际联系和区域管理等方面都存在着问题，这些问题在很大程度上阻碍了湛江市的区域发展。湛江市经济实力不强、区域发展水平低，产业结构不合理、工业发展长期滞后，主导产业的产业关联度不强，经济次益欠佳，限制性因素的负面效应非常明显。必须从限制性因素的弱化与克服方面入手，立足资源优势、合理确定经济发展政策，适当调整行政管理体制、提高行政效率，深化现代企业制度的改革、提高企业经济效益，重视城市形象工程建设，改善投资环境，才能改善湛江市区域发展的不利局面。     

川中丘陵区土地利用变化的生态环境效应——以中国科学院盐亭紫色土农业生态试验站集水区为例

通过长期的观测数据分析与土地利用现状的对比 ,研究四川盆地中部丘陵盐亭紫色土农业生态试验站集水区的土地利用变化及其环境效应。结果表明 ,截流村土地利用自 6 0年代以来发生了巨大变化 ,其中有林地增长约 30 % ,有林地分布在丘陵坡顶、陡坎和地边 ,与农田形成镶嵌格局 ,由此构成的农林复合系统有较好的水土保持能力 ,缓减了农村燃料、饲料、材料和肥料的不足 ,具有良好的生态、社会和经济效应 ,初步实现了生态系统的良性循环。     

Seismic Risk Maps of Taiwan Areasin the Period from 2001 to 2010

INTRODUCTIONSeveMmethdsdPOtential analyslsfor medium－and short－termpredlctlon dl’l;lln shocks weredevelopedbaseduponthe pnnclpledInaccufatemeasurementoffOCfOCustheoryaMthepattemdmainshocks．These analytic methods can be used to predict strong earthop拙es In shallow layers on thesubducting plate boundeq In squeezed zones．More than a half of strong earthquakes In the world。located inthe shallow depth tthe suMuctingplate boundw In s仰eezed zones．This paPerfirst Statesthe philoso…     

SYNERGISTIC EFFECTS ON ATMOSPHERIC ANOMALY OF THE TROPICAL INDIAN AND PACIFIC OCEANS IN NORTHERN WINTER

In terms of observational analysis and numerical simulations,study is performed of thesynergistic effects of the tropical Indian Ocean and Pacific SSTA on the atmosphere in northern win-ter.It turns out that the SSTA features show in-phase variation for the Indian Ocean and the central/eastern Pacific at low latitudes and anti-phase change compared with that in the neighborhood of thewestern Pacific“warming pool”.When negative SSTA in the western Pacific and positive SSTA inthe central/eastern Pacific and the Indian Ocean are available,the 500 hPa height anomaly exhibits awave train of a positive-negative-positive anomaly following a great-circle path emanating from thesubtropical western Pacific via the NW portion to North America,with enhanced westerly jet overmidlatitude East Asia and the NW Pacific,and v.v.The comparison to the results from the numeri-cal modeling of the tropical western Pacific SSTA reveals the importance of the synergistic effects ofthe oceans on atmospheric circulations.     

永登5.8级地震的社会经济影响

本文详细介绍了永登５．８级地震引起的各种不良社会现象和政府采取的相应措施，同时，就这次地震造成的经济损失和重建家园的经济预算进行了详细的介绍和估算。可供从事地震社会学的同行在防震减灾工作中参考。     

A NUMERICAL STUDY FOR MECHANISM OF THE EFFECT OF NORTHERN SUMMER ARCTIC ICE COVER ON THE GLOBAL SHORTRANGE CLIMATE CHANGE

In terms of nine-layer global spectral model involving fuller parameterization of physical process,with arhomboidal truncation at wavenumber 15,experiments are conducted by virtue of two numerical schemes,one withlong-range mean coverage of Arctic ice,and the other with supercooled water at the same temperature as the ice,fol-lowed by an analysis of the difference field simulated by the two schemes.Results show that(1)the impact of Arctic iceon the northern short-range climate is realized through the change in polar ice coverage to cause local temperaturechange in the polar region to set up gradient difference in temperature from north to south,thus affecting the atmospher-ic circulations and,on the other hand,two trains of two-dimensional Rossby waves excited by the atmospheric heatsource anomaly have impacts on the Northern Hemisphere(NH)extratropical region,one of which is similar to the JPteleconnection pattern first presented by Nitta(1987);(2)The significant impact of Arctic ice anomaly on the southernshort-range climate change is accomplished with the aid of the anomaly of the equatorial heat source that excites a two-dimensional Rossby wavetrain propagating along a great circle route into the Southern Hemisphere(SH)extratropics,and the cross-equatorial propagation of the NH wavetrain also has effects on the SH atmosphere.Simulation indicatesthat with the 15-day integration the Arctic ice exerts an influence mainly on the NH and when the model atmosphere isgetting stabilized,the effect is dominantly on the SH short-range climate change.