Multivariate adaptive regression splines for estimating riverine constituent concentrations

Regression-based methods are commonly used for riverine constituent concentration/flux estimation, which is essential for guiding water quality protection practices and environmental decision making. This paper developed a multivariate adaptive regression splines model for estimating riverine constituent concentrations (MARS-EC). The process, interpretability and flexibility of the MARS-EC modelling approach, was demonstrated for total nitrogen in the Patuxent River, a major river input to Chesapeake Bay. Model accuracy and uncertainty of the MARS-EC approach was further analysed using nitrate plus nitrite datasets from eight tributary rivers to Chesapeake Bay. Results showed that the MARS-EC approach integrated the advantages of both parametric and nonparametric regression methods, and model accuracy was demonstrated to be superior to the traditionally used ESTIMATOR model. MARS-EC is flexible and allows consideration of auxiliary variables; the variables and interactions can be selected automatically. MARS-EC does not constrain concentration-predictor curves to be constant but rather is able to identify shifts in these curves from mathematical expressions and visual graphics. The MARS-EC approach provides an effective and complementary tool along with existing approaches for estimating riverine constituent concentrations.     

陀螺全站仪在隧道测量中的应用研究

随着我国经济和科技的蓬勃发展,隧道工程建设也呈现出规模化和多元化的趋势。本文首先总结了我国公路隧道、铁路隧道和水下隧道的增长状况;然后归纳了隧道测量中平面控制网的布设方法;最后通过分析发现:通过陀螺全站仪加测陀螺边来传递方位基准,可有效提高隧道贯通精度。     

土工织物加固堤防非线性有限元分析

在进行堤防加筋设计时,土工织物的强度,加筋的长度,加筋的位置,加筋的层数等因素都是应该考虑的。利用欧洲通用的岩土工程有限元软件Plaxis,采用强度参数降低法,对某一堤防加筋的效果、机理作了分析。指出无论在任何位置加筋,土工织物都有一个最小长度。最小长度的确定,要具体问题具体分析。确定了加筋的最佳位置,并建议加两层,一层在底部,一层在中部,以抑制最危险滑弧的发展,提高整体稳定性,减少堤防变形发展。     

中国入境旅游服务质量时空态势演变与区域影响因素

运用锡尔指数、ESDA、质-量矩阵、Pearson 相关系数等方法,从时序演变、空间关联、质-量态势、区域影响因素4 个视角对近10 年我国入境旅游服务质量进行了研究。分析发现：① 我国入境旅游服务质量整体呈提升态势,中部逐渐赶超东部,西部常年最低。② 省区间服务质量差异存在收敛趋势,地带内差异比重较高。东、中部服务质量势能差转换较好,差异在低值上表现出连续倒U型演变;西部差异高度震荡,服务质量势能差没有实现稳定、渐进式转换。③ 与入境旅游流及收入不同,多数年份入境旅游服务质量未呈现显著全局空间自相关。④ 局部空间相关关系的波动主要由邻近省区一方跃迁造成,多为质量下降型;低值集聚区在西部扩大的同时,由西南内陆向南部沿海扩散。⑤ 东部高值集聚区比重较大,但显著程度降低;中部随着吉林的崛起,形成以其为中心的高值集聚区,显著程度超过长三角;西部形成滇-川、新-青-藏两大显著低值集聚区。⑥ 东部质-量态势最优,但出现数量型粗放发展趋势;中部质量发展好于数量;西部质-量态势日渐堪忧。各省区表现出9 种质-量态势演变类型。⑦ 入境旅游服务质量与接待设施、劳动力供给、经济生活水平等区域因素正向相关,与入境旅游收入及接待量相关关系不强。     

Water quality modeling and sensitivity analysis using Water Quality Analysis Simulation Program (WASP) in the Shenandoah River watershed

This study used the Water Quality Analysis Simulation Program (WASP) to simulate nutrients, dissolved oxygen (DO), and chlorophyll-a dynamics in the Shenandoah River basin and performed an uncertainty analysis to examine the complexity of these variables in water quality estimation and their influence on the Shenandoah River. Significant progress has been made; however, nutrient loads emitted into the Shenandoah River from nonpoint sources remain high. Modeling of three points on the Shenandoah River in Virginia and West Virginia provides an ideal case study since the river is classified by the Virginia Department of Environmental Quality as being impaired. The results of a sensitivity test show that model error decreases with increasing model complexity and sensitivity. The model predicted DO values that tended to be close to the measured data, while total nitrogen and phosphorus tended to be overemphasized. Our results examine the importance of temperature, stream flow, and velocity in influencing water quality between seasons and levels on the different sections of the watershed.     

Seismic structural control using semi-active tuned mass dampers

This paper focuses on how to determine the instantaneous damping of the semi-active tuned mass damper (SATMD) with continuously variable damping. An off-and-towards-equilibrium (OTE) algorithm is employed to examine the control performance of the structure/SATMD system by considering the damping as an assumptive control action. The damping modification of the SATMD is carried out according to the proposed OTE algorithm, which is formulated based on analysis of the structural movement under external excitations, and the measured responses of the structure at every time instant. As examples two numerical simulations of a five-storey and a ten-storey shear structures with a SATMD on the roof are conducted. The effectiveness on vibration reduction of MDOF systems subjected to seismic excitations is discussed. Analysis results show that the behavior of the structure with a SATMD is significantly improved and the feasibility of applying the OTE algorithm to the structural control design of SATMD is also verified.     

冠县地下水资源概况及开发利用建议

介绍了山东省冠县的水文地质条件和地下水资源开发利用现状,分析了由于过量开采浅层地下水而引发的水位下降及水质恶化等问题,提出了合理开发利用地下水的建议。     

Stratigraphic subdivision and correlation of the Carboniferous System in South China

The Carboniferous System of South China is famous for its well-developed rock sequence, variety of depositional types, and abundant fossils. Three established Global Boundary Stratotype Section and Point (GSSP) markers have been identified in several sections in South China. Of these sections, the Pengchong section is the GSSP for the base of the Visean Stage, whereas the Dapoushang and Naqing (Nashui) sections are excellent reference sections for the bases of the Tournaisian and Bashkirian stages, respectively. Other sections have good potential for the four unestablished GSSPs and the Devonian–Carboniferous boundary in South China. The Naqing (Nashui) section is a candidate for the GSSPs of four stages: the Serpukhovian, Moscovian, Kasimovian, and Gzhelian stages. The regional stages of China include the Tangbagouan, Jiusian, Shangsian, Dewuan, Luosuan, Huashibanian, Dalaun, and Xiaodushanian. The history, definitions, reference sections, sedimentary characteristics, biostratigraphy, and correlations of these Chinese regional stages are summarized. A Carboniferous stratigraphic chart of South China is provided, showing the correlation of global chronostratigraphic and biostratigraphic units with those in South China and the lithostratigraphic units of various areas in South China. The chart is presented as a new practical framework for the stratigraphic subdivision and correlation of the Carboniferous System in South China.     

哈尔滨市磨盘山水利枢纽区三维渗流数值模拟模型研究

哈尔滨市磨盘山水库防渗型式拟采用垂直砼防渗墙及帷幕灌浆方案。为了分析左岸不同长度防渗对水库渗漏量及坝基渗透稳定性的影响。对磨盘山水利枢纽区渗流场进行了三维数值模拟研究。结果表明,随着左岸防渗长度的增大。渗漏量及下游渗流出口渗透比降基本呈线性趋势减小。当左岸防渗长度为200m时。渗漏量及各渗透比降均小于允许值,为推荐的渗控方案。     

以铜山测区为例谈大比例尺航测数字化成图质量控制

为了适应城市发展的需要,全数字摄影测量系统获取城市基础地理信息是目前大比例尺城市测绘的主要手段,如何保证航测法获取基础测绘数字产品的质量尤为重要。结合生产实践,阐明了进行大比例尺航测数字化地形图生产的质量控制及质量检查中应注意的细节问题。