基于GPS高程时间序列粗差的抗差探测与插补研究

研究抗差估计和稳健估计粗差探测IQR准则的粗差剔除算法以及缺值点插值的正交多项式最小二乘拟合方法。以中国3个CORS基准站从1999-03-01—2009-12-31日的单天解GPS高程时间序列为对象进行粗差探测与插补的试验。结果表明：抗差估计比IQR准则能更有效地探测和剔除粗差;三次样条插值当连续缺失历元超过5~10个时插值结果易发生扭曲;低次正交多项式拟合的结果稳定,一般选择2~3次拟合即可获得理想的效果,当连续缺失历元达3个月时,正交多项式拟合后的曲线与序列趋势仍基本一致。     

发达地区创意产业网络的驱动机理与创新影响——以上海创意设计业为例

内城新经济研究认为创意企业对网络组织更有依赖,但是对于网络的关键动力则众说纷纭。中国发达地区创意产业网络是否存在,其驱动机理在哪里?这正是研究初衷。以上海9个创意产业集聚区为研究区域,以创意设计业为研究对象,利用74 份企业问卷和16 家企业深度访谈采集数据,并运用SPSS统计分析工具进行研究。结果表明,基于投入产出关系的产业链分工协作仍然是网络驱动的重要逻辑,以人才、信息与知识流为核心的创意链正在形成。上下游企业协作有利于集体学习,它们之间的强联结对提高企业创意能力具有显著影响,然而从影响方式来看,关系内容远比关系强度更重要。“客户”和“高校”是地方网络的重要驱动主体,并以不同方式、不同程度地影响企业区位和创意能力。     

Diagnostic experiments for transport mechanisms of suspended sediment discharged from the Yellow River in the Bohai Sea

Five diagnostic experiments with a 3D baroclinic hydrodynamic and sediment transport model ECOMSED in couple with the third generation wave model SWAN and the Grant–Madsen bottom boundary layer model driven by the monthly sediment load of the Yellow River, were conducted to separately diagnose effects of different hydrodynamic factors on transport of suspended sediment discharged from the Yellow River in the Bohai Sea. Both transport and spatio-temporal distribution of suspended sediment concentration in the Bohai Sea were numerially simulated. It could be concluded that suspended sediment discharged from the Yellow River cannot be delivered in long distance under the condition of tidal current. Almost all of sediments from the Yellow River are deposited outside the delta under the condition of wind-driven current, and only very small of them are transported faraway. On the basis of wind forcing, sediments from the Yellow River are mainly transported north-northwestward, and others which are first delivered to the Laizhou Bay are continuously moved northward. An obvious 3D structure characteristic of sediment transport is produced in the wind-driven and tide-induced residual circulation condition. Transport patterns at all layers are generally consistent with circulation structure, but there is apparent deviation between the depth-averaged sediment flux and the circulation structure. The phase of temporal variation of sediment concentration is consistent with that of the bottom shear stress, both of which are proved to have a ten-day cycle in wave and current condition.     

大赖草的交配系统及生殖对策

为了探讨禾本科赖草属植物大赖草的交配系统,对其的花设计、花展示、花粉活力、柱头可授期及交配方式进行了研究。结果表明:①单花的3个花丝不同步伸长,其中两个生长速度相对较快先弯曲,然后花药纵裂散出花粉,第三个花丝随后弯曲,花药纵裂散出花粉,3个花药的不同步散粉延长了单花的“花粉寿命”。②花药被送出内外稃完成散粉后,羽状柱头伸到内外稃外接受外来花粉,避免了单花内的雌雄干扰。③大赖草花序上小花阶段性批量开放（确保了同一时刻开放的小花是同步的）,还可降低同株异花花粉对柱头的干扰。④大赖草属自花授粉不亲和型,同时同株异花授粉也不亲和,大赖草已进化出了特殊的花设计、花展示和短的花粉寿命等特征来促进异花授粉。这些特征是大赖草在适应极端的沙漠环境的过程中进化出的一种生殖对策。     

都市聚落系统的形成规律——递增报酬与幂次法则的计算机与数理仿真

幂次法则是一个普遍存在于自然科学与社会科学界的现象,在都市体系中亦可观察到此一现象。过去的文献仅仅对于幂次法则现象进行了观察和解释,并未能完整地解释其形成的机制。本研究尝试由复杂理论中“递增报酬”的观念来探讨幂次现象的成因,采用计算机程序来仿真都市聚落体系形成的过程,并观察递增报酬与幂次现象之关系。该仿真包含了3 种不同的区位发展吸引模式,分别为相邻关系、规模吸引以及同时考虑规模与相邻的混合模式。计算机仿真显示：① 规模吸引与混合两种模式比相邻吸引模式能够更好地解释都市聚落的成长;② 依照递增报酬法则而仿真形成的都市聚落,与幂次现象呈高度相关。随后的数理仿真演算显示,幂次法则为一统计上的普遍现象,但在递增报酬等经济因素驱动下的都市聚落体系结构与真实的状况较为吻合。因此我们推测,递增报酬极可能是形成真实世界幂次现象的机制之一。     

Kinetic Modelling of the Removal of Seven Common Pollutants in Subsurface Flow Constructed Wetlands

The main removal mechanisms for the degradations of seven pollutants in wastewater treatment wetlands were analysed, and a mathematical model was established to quantify the removal of each pollutant, based on its main removal mechanisms. Subsurface horizontal flow wetlands were treated as a series of continuous stirred - tank reactors (CSTRs). Kinetic models for the removal of biochemical oxygen demand, chemical oxygen demand, ammonia, total nitrogen and faecal coliforms were established by combining Monod or first - order kinetics with CSTR assumptions. These tentative models account for a wide range of factors that affect wetland performance, but the models have not been proven by ex periment data. Depending on the derivation of various coefficients in the models and verification by actual performance data, this study may provide a starting point for an integrated pollutant removal model to be developed, and experimen tally verified, thereby making a step forward from the current greenbox' approach of wetland design.     

考虑围护摩阻力的地铁车站结构抗浮安全设计

在地下结构抗浮设计中,较少考虑侧壁摩阻力的作用,对于侧摩阻力的的计算方法也不够明确。抗浮安全系数目前尚无统一规定,主要参照类似工程实践经验确定。在宁波轨道交通工程福庆路站抗拔桩静载试验的基础上,以地铁车站结构为研究对象,经过试验分析,对地下车站结构设计中侧壁摩阻力大小进行计算,进而考虑抗浮安全性对车站结构的临界宽度进行计算,可为地铁车站设计提供指导。     

内撑式排桩支护结构的设计优化研究

在分析内撑式排桩支护结构受力特性和设计优化空间的基础上,基于满应力设计基本思想,建立了支护桩－内支撑（节点）部位的设计优化数学模型,提出了用于求解该（节点）部位局部优化解的新的目标函数 和相应的设计优化判据,推导并比较了钢筋混凝土内支撑等效轴向抗压容许应力 和支护桩等效抗弯容许应力 的3种取值方法,并以杭州某基坑支护应用为例作了介绍。可供同类基坑支护设计优化时借鉴。     

上海市九段沙湿地生态科普园规划设计

在紧邻大都市的上海九段沙湿地国家级自然保护区上沙实验区范围内,根据地形地势,潮沟水系走向,因地制宜规划设计一个5km2环保低碳,具有湿地保育、监督管理、科学研究和宣传教育于一体的多功能湿地生态科普园,让久居城市的人们远离喧嚣,营造一种宁静清幽、寓教于乐、回归大自然的亲切感。从设计目标、原则、理念和总体布局等方面阐述了九段沙湿地生态科普园的建设思路,为生态、低碳、环保、科学建设九段沙湿地生态科普园提供参考。     

桩筏共同作用的改进Geddes计算模型与变刚度调平设计

Geddes应力法虽然实现了桩与桩之间的相互作用,但由于没有考虑筏板的刚度,无法实现桩与筏板的共同作用。对Geddes模型进行了改进,以实现桩与筏板的共同作用。通过一工程实例,验证了此改进模型的正确性,并利用此模型,阐述了通过调整桩的疏密布置进行设计的概念和方法,达到减小差异沉降、防止结构产生次应力和节约工程造价的目的。