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31.
The idea of a global “carbon budget”—the cumulative amount of “allowable” carbon emissions to meet a global temperature target—has become established as a central concept in climate science and policy. As a concept explicitly aimed at mediating between scientific knowledge and policymaking, the carbon budget has always been actively positioned in relation to ongoing policy debates, but the specific forms this concept has taken have varied. This article reviews key contributions to the carbon budget literature from the 1980s until today, in order to identify how scientists have positioned the concept between the worlds of science and policy. Three main shifts are identified in how the policy relevance of the carbon budget is envisaged in the scientific literature. The shifts can be related in part to developments in climate science, and in part to changes in international climate policy. The history of the carbon budget thus illustrates how science and policy interacts to shape dominant understandings of how climate change can be known and governed. This article is categorized under:
- Climate, History, Society, Culture > Ideas and Knowledge
32.
应用现代适配滤波频时分析技术对SRO/GDSN长周期面波记录进行处理,获得穿过太平洋盆地的117条波路径的勒夫波频散数据。我们用改进的分格频散反演方法,从混合路径频散数据中提取出对应于构成整个太平洋盆地的10°×10°分格的纯路径频散数据。所获得的18s到215s范围内的28个周期的太平洋勒夫波群速度的横向分布,揭示了速度随海底年龄的增大而逐渐增加的总趋势,以及其它变化细节。例如,对于同一等年龄线区而言,北太平洋及南太平洋的群速度要比中太平洋的低0.1—0.3km/s。在分格模型反演的基础上得出的深至300km的三维剪切波速度结构提供了太平洋盆地地壳及上地幔横向不均匀性的详尽的描述。 相似文献
33.
基于NAO99b全球海潮模型、NAO99Jb区域海潮模型、验潮站资料和SRTM地形数据确定的高空间分辨率海陆边界数据,构建我国沿海和岛屿高精度重力海潮负荷改正模型。以马祖岛为例介绍该模型,并采用实测的绝对重力测量资料进行验证。结果表明,经该模型改正后的重力观测精度明显提高。 相似文献
34.
John T. Andrews Aslaug Geirsdttir Jrunn Hardardttir Sarah Principato Karl Grnvold Grta B. Kristjansdttir Gudrún Helgadttir John Drexler Arny Sveinbjrnsdttir 《第四纪科学杂志》2002,17(8):731-745
In 1997, seismic surveys in the troughs off northwest and north Iceland indicated the presence of a major, regional sub‐bottom reflector that can be traced over large areas of the shelf. Cores taken in 1997, and later in 1999 on the IMAGES V cruise, penetrated through the reflector. In core MD99‐2269 in Húnaflóaáll, this reflector is shown to be represented by a basaltic tephra with a geochemical signature and radiocarbon age correlative with the North Atlantic‐wide Saksunarvatn tephra. We trace this tephra throughout northwest Iceland in a series of marine and lake cores, as well as in terrestrial sediments; it forms a layer 1 to 25 cm thick of fine‐ to medium‐grained basaltic volcanic shards. The base of the tephra unit is always sharp but visual inspection and other measurements (carbonate and total organic carbon weight %) indicate a more diffuse upper boundary associated with bioturbation and with sediment reworking. Off northwest Iceland the Saksunarvatn tephra has distinct sediment magnetic properties. This is evident as a dramatic reduction in magnetic susceptibility, an increase in the frequency dependant magnetic susceptibility and ‘hard’ magnetisation in a −0.1T IRM backfield. Geochemical analyses from 11 sites indicate a tholeiitic basalt composition, similar to the geochemistry of a tephra found in the Greenland ice‐core that dates to 10 180 ± 60 cal. yr BP, and which was correlated with the 9000 14C yr BP Saksunarvatn tephra. We present accelerator mass spectrometry 14C dates from the marine sites, which indicate that the ocean reservoir correction is close to ca. 400 yr at 9000 14C yr BP off northwest Iceland. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
35.
北极海域的海浪与海冰相互作用是目前北极海冰变化研究的一个前沿问题。但观测数据的缺失,限制了对于该问题的深入研究。星载合成孔径雷达SAR(SyntheticApertureRadar)具有独特的海面二维成像能力,是极地边缘区海浪—海冰相互作用研究重要的遥感手段。本文基于哨兵1号干涉宽幅模式IW(InterferometricWideSwath)数据,利用SAR海浪非线性反演方法在格陵兰海及挪威海开展了海浪方向谱的反演实验,进而使用中法海洋卫星CFOSAT搭载的SWIM波谱仪的海浪谱数据和星下点有效波高数据对SAR反演结果进行了验证。结果表明,无论是海浪方向谱的结构、能量分布特征还是海浪方向谱的积分参数,SAR的反演结果都与SWIM的测量结果具有良好的一致性。其中,SAR海浪方向谱和SWIM斜率谱积分计算的有效波高的偏差和均方根误差为0.11m和0.71m,平均波周期的偏差和均方根误差分别为-0.52s和0.62s,谱峰传播方向与波长的偏差分别为-7.74°和-0.56m,均方根误差分别为15.75°和52.73m。SAR反演的有效波高与SWIM星下点测量的有效波高之间偏差为0.03m,均方根误差为0.48m,二者相关系数为0.95。本研究验证了利用SAR海浪非线性反演方法进行北极海域海浪方向谱及海浪参数反演的可行性,为后续的海浪向冰传播衰减过程研究奠定了数据基础和方法基础。 相似文献
36.
揭示地质现象的本质与核心--地质作用与时-空结构 总被引:13,自引:3,他引:13
对于如何将化学、数学、物理学和复杂性科学与地球科学相结合进行了长期的探索,得出主要结论:“地质作用与时-空结构是地质现象的本质与核心”。并且提出了由浅入深、由表及里、由静态到动态三个层次的表述形式及其相应的理论和方法,即:⑴用平衡、可逆过程热力学研究地质作用并分别用地质数学中的随机过程(马尔科夫过程)和随机场(“地质统计学”)表示时间的空间结构。这是静态的地质作用与时-空结构;(2)用非平衡、不可 相似文献
37.
太平洋年代际海洋变率研究进展 总被引:10,自引:1,他引:10
随着“气候变率与可预报性研究”(CLIVAR计划)的实施,年代际气候变率研究已经成为国际气候研究的一个新热点,由于海洋特别是海洋次表层具有巨大的热损性,海洋环流在年代际气候变率中所起的作用已得到越来越多的重视。但迄今为止,海洋以什么方式参与到年代际气候变化中,海洋次表层在年际和年代际时间尺度上起到什么作用这些与海洋环流有关的问题仍未得到解决,而这些问题的解决将有助于建立一种完备的年代际气候变化机制的理论,文章通过对近10a来国内外在该领域内研究进展的回顾,提出了一个关于太平洋年际变化(如ENSO循环)和年代际变化(如PDO循环)相互作用的猜想,为今后在国内开展相关研究提供了一些设想。 相似文献
38.
According to the connotation and structure of science and technology resources and some relevant data of more than 286 cities at prefecture level and above during 2001–2010, using modified method—Data Envelopment Analysis(DEA), science and technology(ST) resource allocation efficiency of different cities in different periods has been figured out, which, uncovers the distributional difference and change law of ST resource allocation efficiency from the time-space dimension. Based on that, this paper has analyzed and discussed the spatial distribution pattern and evolution trend of ST resource allocation efficiency in different cities by virtue of the Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis(ESDA). It turned out that:(1) the average of ST resource allocation efficiency in cities at prefecture level and above has always stayed at low levels, moreover, with repeated fluctuations between high and low, which shows a decreasing trend year by year. Besides, the gap between the East and the West is widening.(2) The asymmetrical distribution of ST resource allocation efficiency presents a spatial pattern of successively decreasing from Eastern China, Central China to Western China. The cities whose ST resource allocation efficiency are at higher level and high level take on a cluster distribution, which fits well with the 23 forming urban agglomerations in China.(3) The coupling degree between ST resource allocation efficiency and economic environment assumes a certain positive correlation, but not completely the same. The differentiation of ST resource allocation efficiency is common in regional development, whose existence and evolution are directly or indirectly influenced by and regarded as the reflection of many elements, such as geographical location, the natural endowment and environment of ST resources and so on.(4) In the perspective of the evolution of spatial structure, ST resource allocation efficiency of the cities at prefecture level and above shows a notable spatial autocorrelation, which in every period presents a positive correlation. The spatial distribution of ST resource allocation efficiency in neighboring cities seems to be similar in group, which tends to escalate stepwise. Meanwhile, the whole differentiation of geographical space has a diminishing tendency.(5) Viewed from LISA agglomeration map ofST resource allocation efficiency in different periods, four agglomeration types have changed differently in spatial location and the range of spatial agglomeration. And the continuity of ST resource allocation efficiency in geographical space is gradually increasing. 相似文献
39.
21世纪的大洋钻探——IODP 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
人类在地球科学方面已取得了相当大的成就,但就研究范围而言,却仅仅触及了地球的表层。IODP是一项国际性的大洋钻探计划,预期将于2003年10月正式开始实施。IODP将运用新的科学方法、科技设备,使人类对大洋底乃至整个地球系统得出更深、更广的认识。简单介绍了IODP的由来、组织机构、钻井技术、前期科学目标及中国的深海研究现状,提出中国参与IODP的必要性和可行性。通过了解21世纪的IODP在研究课题及研究技术方面的最新动态,不仅有助于我国根据国际动态调整深海研究的方向,制定符合我国需求的研究计划,而且有助于我国把握参与21世纪IODP的时机和策略,迎接“海洋世纪”的挑战,从而逐步实现“从地学大国走向地学强国”的目标。 相似文献
40.
O. M. Svenningsen 《Precambrian Research》2001,110(1-4)
The Sarek Dyke Swarm (SDS) crops out in the Sarektjåkkå Nappe (SN) of the Seve-Kalak Superterrane in the northern Swedish Caledonides. The SN has two main components: (1) a 4–5 km thick succession of rift-related sedimentary rocks, which is intruded by (2) a suite of tholeiitic dykes (the SDS) constituting 70–80% of the nappe. The nappe was deformed during Caledonian thrusting, but dykes and sedimentary rocks in the interior of the eastern parts of the SN are preserved in a pristine state. The tholeiitic dykes of the SDS commonly occur in sheeted dyke complexes, and up to 11 successive generations can be identified from crosscutting relations. The SN represents the fossil continent–ocean transition between the Baltic craton and the Iapetus Ocean, marking the initiation of seafloor spreading. Bubble-shaped pods and veinlets of diorite are present in the SDS sheeted dyke complexes. The pods are absent in the oldest dykes, but the younger a dyke, the more frequent the pods. The diorite pods are the equivalent of gabbro pegmatites, and both cogenetic and coeval with the dykes. The rapid successive emplacement of tholeiitic magma raised the ambient temperature in the dyke complex, so that crystallization in the youngest dykes mimicked similar processes in gabbro plutons. Six zircon fractions, from the diorite pods including two single grains, were analysed geochronologically by the U–Pb thermal ionization mass spectrometry method. The data yield a linear array of points that are 0.4–0.8% normally discordant, indicating a crystallization age of 608±1 Ma (207Pb/206Pb=607.9±0.7 Ma, MSWD=0.33). This age is inferred to date the onset of seafloor spreading in the Iapetus Ocean along the Baltoscandian margin. 相似文献