A BOUNDARY NESTING SCHEME OF LIMITED AREA MODEL NESTED WITH GLOBAL MODEL FOR FORECASTING TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER SOUTH CHINA SEA

Today, the nested model is used widely. The effect and role of each nested variate is analyzed in this paper. It is found that the forecast could benefit by nesting part of the variates and the effect of each of the variates may be different. Therefore, only the effectual variates are chosen for the nesting. According to this finding, a scheme is suggested and applied to the limited area mode (TL10) nested with global spectral mode (T63) for forecasting tropical cyclones over the South China Sea. A few numerical prediction tests show that this scheme is reasonable and efficient.     

Computational Techniques of 2D Tidal Flow in Estuaries and Bays

- Some problems in the numerical calculation of tidal flow in estuaries and bays, such as distribution bed roughness, relationship between model moving boundary and water volume balance, remedy of certain shortage under open boundary conditions, smooth transfer of the controlling message for the inner boundaries of nested model, can not be solved usually by means of the fundamental equations and computing mode adopted in the numerical model, but can be done by the measures which not only satisfy the physical features but also are convenient for operation. Based on the calculated samples of some areas of Modaomen, Lingdingyang and Huangmaohai of the Pearl River Estuary, and Shuidong Bay (a typical barrier- lagoon tidal channel) in Guangdong Province, method and process of calculation for the above mentioned problems are briefly presented in this paper.     

Population genetics and evolutionary demography of Ucides cordatus (Decapoda: Ocypodidae)

Variation in a fragment of the mitochondrial control region was investigated to assess the population history of the mangrove land crab, Ucides cordatus L., based on 100 individuals from five locations throughout the Brazilian coast. There was considerable variability in the studied fragment, with every individual showing a distinct haplotype. When regions of ambiguous alignment were removed, 90 haplotypes were still recognized, of which only 1 was shared among locations. There was no statistically significant evidence for geographical structure in the pattern of genetic variability based on a nested clade analysis, even though the geographical distances among the farthest collection sites exceeded 3000 km. Moreover, the mismatch distribution of pairwise differences showed a smooth unimodal distribution that is consistent with a recent population expansion of U. cordatus, either when each location was analysed in isolation or when all samples were combined. Interestingly, the estimates for the duration of such expansion vary latitudinally, suggesting that the expansion of the population of U. cordatus proceeded in a southward direction. These results indicate a possible relationship between the growth in the population of the mangrove land crab and the dynamics of mangrove ecosystems during the Quaternary.     

Optimal spatial allocation of irrigation water under uncertainty using the bilayer nested optimisation algorithm and geospatial technology

The optimal spatial allocation of irrigation water under uncertainty has become a serious concern because of irrigation water shortage and uncertain factors that affect irrigation water allocation. In this study, an optimal multi-objective model for irrigation water allocation under uncertainty is developed to maximise the economic benefit of crops and minimise the operation cost and water deficit of crop irrigation. The original and optimal plantation structure, irrigation mode and soil water content are acquired through geospatial technology. A bilayer nested optimisation (BLNO) algorithm is designed to produce multiple individuals of design vectors using an ant colony neural network algorithm for an outer optimisation. Meanwhile, a continuous adaptive ant colony (CAAC) algorithm is used for inner optimisation to calculate the interval values of the uncertain model. The crop distribution and irrigation mode are obtained to parameterise the planting area and the water demand of each crop and each block in the multi-objective model. This model is then solved and analysed. Compared to the optimal schemes obtained from an inexact two-stage fuzzy-stochastic programming and the CAAC, respectively, BLNO can effectively and efficiently solve the optimal spatial allocation of irrigation water under uncertainty. This method can spatially maximise the economic benefit of crops and minimise the operation cost and water deficit of crop irrigation using lower and upper bound maps whilst visually obtaining the exact crop type, reasonable irrigation method and precise water demand for each block and for the entire irrigated area.     

武汉市大气污染变化趋势预测

以2014年武汉市大气污染源排放清单为基准,结合《武汉市城市空气质量达标规划（2013-2027年）》研究工作,预测了其实施后在控制"两高"行业新增产能、污染源综合治理、淘汰落后产能、控制机动车保有量等方面对武汉市SO₂、NO_x、PM₁₀、PM_2.5的减排量.利用嵌套网格空气质量预报模式系统（NAQPMS）,模拟分析了《达标规划》大气污染治理重点工程实施的空气质量改善效果.结果表明：《达标规划》实施后,2020年武汉市SO₂、NO₂、PM₁₀和PM_2.5排放量将分别比2014年削减22%~66%、6%~37%、14%~40%和17%~46%;武汉市空气质量有所改善,但NO₂和颗粒物年均浓度仍不能达到环境空气质量二级标准.     

Storage‐discharge relationships at different catchment scales based on local high‐precision gravimetry

In hydrology, the storage‐discharge relationship is a fundamental catchment property. Understanding what controls this relationship is at the core of catchment science. To date, there are no direct methods to measure water storage at catchment scales (10¹–10³ km²). In this study, we use direct measurements of terrestrial water storage dynamics by means of superconducting gravimetry in a small headwater catchment of the Regen River, Germany, to derive empirical storage‐discharge relationships in nested catchments of increasing scale. Our results show that the local storage measurements are strongly related to streamflow dynamics at larger scales (> 100 km²; correlation coefficient = 0.78–0.81), but at small scale, no such relationship exists (~ 1 km²; correlation coefficients = ?0.11). The geologic setting in the region can explain both the disconnection between local water storage and headwater runoff, and the connectivity between headwater storage and streams draining larger catchment areas. More research is required to understand what controls the form of the observed storage‐discharge relationships at the catchment scale. This study demonstrates that high‐precision gravimetry can provide new insights into the complex relationship between state and response of hydrological systems. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

精确的频率空间域黏声波有限差分数值模拟

在时间空间域,模拟吸收衰减效应时对计算机内存需求大,计算效率不高、非常难以进行模拟吸收衰减;频率空间域通过引入品质因子和复值速度,使用经验物理、数学公式进行数值模拟吸收衰减就容易多了。笔者使用十分节省计算机内存需求的嵌套剖分法,使用Kjartansson模型高效率地进行模拟吸收衰减。数值试验证实吸收衰减影响地震场的所有频率、对高频的影响最为明显,降低了地震记录的质量;频率空间域非常容易模拟吸收衰减效应,为黏声波全波形反演实际地震资料而奠定很好的基础。     

Hindcast Experiment of Extraseasonal Short-Term Summer Climate Prediction over China with RegCM3_IAP9L-AGCM

The regional climate model RegCM3 has been one-way nested into IAP9L-AGCM,the nine-level atmospheric general circulation model of the Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,to perform a 20-yr(1982-2001)hindcast experiment on extraseaonal short-term prediction of China summer climate.The nested prediction system is referred to as RegCM3_IAP9L-AGCM in this paper.The results show that hindcasted climate fields such as 500-hPa geopotential height,200-and 850-hPa zonal winds from RegCM3_IAP9L-AGCM have positive anomaly correlation coefficients (ACCs) with the observations,andare better than those from the stand-alone IAP9L-AGCM.Except for the 850-hPa wind field,the positive ACCs of the other two fields with observations both pass the 90% confidence level and display a zonal distribution.The results indicate that the positive correlation of summer precipitation anomaly percentage between the nested prediction system and observations covers most parts of China except for downstream of the Yangtze River and north of Northeast and Northwest China.The nested prediction system and the IAP9L-AGCM exhibit different hindcast skills over different regions of China,and the former demonstrates a higher skill over South China than the latter in predicting the summer precipitation.     

云光学厚度对华北地区夏季边界层臭氧模拟影响评估

为评估云光学厚度(CLDOPD)在空气质量数值模式中对边界层臭氧浓度的模拟影响,利用中国科学院大气物理研究所自主研发的嵌套网格空气质量预报模式系统(NAQPMS),对中国华北京津冀地区2013年6月夏季臭氧浓度进行模拟。结果表明:NAQPMS对极端对流性天气下的CLDOPD模拟偏低,结合观测数据对CLDOPD进行修正后,边界层臭氧浓度的模拟误差在一定程度上有所减小。此外,除极端性天气外模式对高CLDOPD值情况下的边界层臭氧浓度的模拟能力要优于低值情况。