珠江三角洲地区大气CO2浓度特征及地面风的作用

利用光腔衰荡光谱(CRDS)技术在线观测了广州番禺大气成分站(GPACS)的大气CO₂浓度特征,分析了地面风对CO₂的作用。结果表明：(1)大气CO₂在珠江三角洲地区存在明显的地域不均匀特征,2014—2016年期间GPACS的年均本底浓度比全球背景地区平均增加了22.5×10^-6(22.5 ppm);(2)大气CO₂浓度在春季最高,冬、秋季次之,夏季最低,年均值为426.64±15.76 ppm;(3) CO₂的日变化为双峰结构,峰值分别在05:00—07:00和21:00—22:00,谷值在13:00—15:00,表明受到了自然过程以及人为排放源的复合影响;(4)风场显著影响CO₂的浓度分布,春、夏季CO₂浓度距平日变化与地面风速为显著负相关,秋、冬季则为显著正相关。在春、夏季,S-WSW和NNE-N风向上CO₂浓度较低,在秋、冬季,SSE-S和N方向均导致CO₂浓...     

Performance of the CMA-GD Model in Predicting Wind Speed at Wind Farms in Hubei, China

This study assesses the predictive capabilities of the CMA-GD model for wind speed prediction in two wind farms located in Hubei Province, China. The observed wind speeds at the height of 70m in wind turbines of two wind farms in Suizhou serve as the actual observation data for comparison and testing. At the same time, the wind speed predicted by the EC model is also included for comparative analysis. The results indicate that the CMA-GD model performs better than the EC model in Wind Farm A. Th...     

车载组合导航数据处理方法研究

在运用组合导航技术进行车辆定位导航过程中,由于环境、导航设备等因素的干扰,导航数据中会包含有较大误差的野值数据,使得导航结果与实际车辆的行驶轨迹发生较大偏差,从而给人们的日常生活带来不便。一方面,错误的导航信息会给用户增加不必要的麻烦,影响智能交通系统的发展;另一方面也影响组合导航技术的应用和推广。为此,本文提出了对车辆低速和车辆停止时的定位数据进行剔除,利用粗差剔除和多项式拟合等方法对定位数据进行分析处理,提高导航定位的准确性。跑车试验证明该方法可以有效地提高定位精度,满足车载导航的需求。     

风电场设计私有云GIS平台架构研究

云计算是目前信息产业最热门的技术之一,GIS厂商纷纷将GIS软件迁移至云计算环境。与国外云计算部署不同,国内更青睐私有云技术,企业、政府机构纷纷搭建私有云GIS平台。针对风电场设计的特点,本文基于目前云计算应用和研究,构建了私有云GIS平台的体系框架,并对平台所涉及的主要关键技术进行了深入探索,对私有云GIS模式下的资源进行了详细的分类,包括核心服务、服务管理、用户访问接口3个部分。其中,核心服务将硬件基础设施、软件运行环境、应用程序抽象成服务,可满足多样化的风电场设计应用需要。     

基于GPS的高速公路车速全程监控方法研究

对高速公路车速进行有效监控与管理,是抑制违章超速行驶、减少高速公路交通事故的重要手段。现有的基于点速度和区间平均速度的高速公路车速监控方法,难以准确反应出车辆的实际行驶状态,实施效果有限,可靠性较差。文中提出基于GPS和地图匹配技术的高速公路车速全程监控和管理方法,建立相关算法的数学模型。经过理论分析和实例验证,车速监控与管理方法能实现高速公路车速的全程监控,极大地提高车速安全监控和管理的可靠性、准确性和有效性。     

基于GNSS-RTK的在建超高层风载动态变形监测

首先以海星达H32全能型GNSS-RTK接收机为试验仪器,进行不同星系组合的RTK定位精度试验研究。然后以在建的天津高银117大厦为监测对象,采用GPS+GLONASS+BDS三星系组合对其进行现场强风作用下的RTK动态变形监测。利用巴特沃斯滤波对实测数据进行去噪处理,得到各测点的位移曲线。分析结果表明:GPS单星系定位的平面坐标精度相对较差,双星系组合定位的平面坐标精度与三星系组合定位的平面坐标精度基本相当,但GPS+GLONASS+BDS三星系组合定位的稳定性和可靠性最强;由于施工阶段大厦结构的刚度和整体性与竣工后存在差异,故在强风作用下其按一定施工步距滞后的低矮外框的振动位移幅度大于其高耸内筒结构的振动位移幅度;大厦外框和内筒均存在横风向振动位移,且横风向振动位移与顺风向振动位移的大小相近;监测环境对监测结果有着一定的影响,66层各点的监测值误差要大于95层各点的监测值误差。     

SAR图像河流分割的加权指数区域能量模型

传统主动轮廓模型很难实现精确的SAR图像河流分割。针对这一问题,本文提出了一种加权指数区域能量主动轮廓模型,以精确地提取SAR图像中的河流。该模型在Chan-Vese(CV)模型能量泛函中引入了指数区域能量,能更好地衡量分割图像和原始图像的差异程度,提高模型的分割准确性。此外,利用目标区域和背景区域内像素灰度的最大绝对差取代模型中常值区域能量权重,自适应地调节目标区域和背景区域的能量比重,加速曲线运动到目标区域的边缘,获得更高的分割效率。针对实际河流SAR图像进行了分割试验,结果表明:与传统主动轮廓模型相比,本文提出的模型能更快速、精确地分割SAR图像中的河流,在分割结果和分割效率两方面具有优势。     

PLANETARY BOUNDARY LAYER HEIGHT MEASURED BY A WIND PROFILER BASED ON THE WAVELET TRANSFORM

Planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) is an important input parameter for any boundary layer study or model, either climate or atmospheric. The variation of the PBLH is also of great significance to the physical processes of numerical prediction, diagnosis of weather forecasting and monitoring urban pollutants. However, effective ways to monitor the PBLH continuously are lack. Wind profilers are commonly used in monitoring PBLH continuously because of its high temporal and spatial resolution, coupled with capability of continuous detection. In this paper, the covariance wavelet transform (CWT) is used to analyze the range-corrected signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of the wind profiler to determine the PBLH, which is then compared with the results measured by the gradient method and the radiosonde. The conclusions are as follows: (1) The scaling parameter a and translation parameter b of the wavelet are critical in determination of the PBLH by applying the CWT as different values may get completely different results, which requires to select appropriate values in the calculation carefully. (2) Quality control is crucial in determining the PBLH because good quality control can help remove mutation points, which makes the determined PBLH more consistent with the actual situation. (3) In clear-air, the gradient method is not applicable if the boundary layer turbulence is inhomogeneous and the impact of noise is large for that it is easy to be impacted by the mutation of SNR caused by the atmosphere turbulence instability and other factors, which will cause large errors, while the CWT method as an improvement of the gradient method can determine the PBLH quite well. (4) Through quality control, the PBLHs determined by the CWT are consistent with those of radiosonde, and the correlation coefficient between them is 0.87.     

Verification of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model when Forecasting Daily Surface Conditions in Southern Alberta

The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model was compared with daily surface observations to verify the accuracy of the WRF model in forecasting surface temperature, pressure, precipitation, wind speed, and direction. Daily forecasts for the following two days were produced at nine locations across southern Alberta, Canada. Model output was verified using station observations to determine the differences in forecast accuracy for each season.

Although there were seasonal differences in the WRF model, the summer season forecasts generally had the greatest accuracy, determined by the lowest root mean square errors, whereas the winter season forecasts were the least accurate. The WRF model generally produced skillful forecasts throughout the year although with a smaller diurnal temperature range than observed. The WRF model forecast the prevailing wind direction more accurately than other directions, but it tended to slightly overestimate precipitation amounts. A sensitivity analysis consisting of three microphysics schemes showed relatively minor differences between simulated precipitation as well as 2?m surface temperatures.     

日极端气温的主客观预报能力评估及多模式集成网格释用

精细格点天气预报是我国未来几年天气预报业务发展重点。利用ECMWF、GRAPES等业务数值模式和广东站点观测资料,对日极端气温的主客观预报能力进行了多角度综合评估。统计结果表明,T_(max)、T_(min)的主客观预报误差均存在明显季节差异,在系统误差相对平稳的夏半年主观预报具有较明显订正能力,模式预报呈现一定流依赖特征,温度越高(低),负(正)偏差越明显;主客观预报误差空间分布均受地形影响,随着时效延长误差总体增幅不大,主观订正能力也较稳定。根据以上评估特征和网格预报特点,研究开发了一套多模式动态集成网格释用技术方案(McGF)。结果表明,相比单个模式的预报和主观预报,McGF较明显提升了T_(max)的预报技巧;T_(min)的模式预报偏差总体较T_(max)偏小,McGF提升幅度相对较小;网格释用后的广东区域预报能较合理反映气温空间和强度特征,较周边未经释用区域明显更优。