Maximum Force of Inclined Pullout of A Torpedo Anchor in Cohesive Beds

Torpedo anchors have been used in mooring systems for deep-water oil and gas projects owing to their prominent advantages, such as low cost and easy installation. The maximum force of torpedo anchors is crucial not only to the safety and stability of vessels and other marine facilities, but also for an economical design. It is necessary to develop reliable formula for fast predicting their maximum inclined force of a torpedo anchor in cohesive beds. In this study, the maximum inclined force of a torpedo anchor vertically embedded in cohesive beds was extensively investigated. 316 sets of inclined pullout laboratory tests were carried out for 9 differently shaped torpedo anchors which were vertically embedded in different cohesive beds. The loading curves were automatically acquisitioned and their characteristics were analyzed. The load angle relative to the horizontal varied from 20° to 90°. A new formula for fast calculating the maximum inclined force of the torpedo anchor vertically embedded in cohesive beds was obtained based on force analysis and a nonlinear regression on the data from the present and other studies. Effect aspects on the tests are discussed and further studies are highlighted.     

考虑溢流条件下的核电厂址风暴潮模拟与研究

基于ADCIRC建立了三门湾风暴潮模型,模型模拟结果与实测数据吻合较好。以可能最大热带气旋参数为基础构建了多种假想台风路径来计算三门核电厂址处的可能最大风暴潮增水。结果表明,NW向登陆且距离核电厂址左侧为R(最大风速半径)时的假想台风使得三门核电厂址处的增水达到最大,风暴潮增水最大值为4.58 m。将可能最大风暴潮增水叠加天文高潮位进行计算,厂址前沿处水位达到了7.75 m,而三门湾顶附近的最高水位已经达到9 m,超出了三门湾沿岸海堤高程。将三门湾沿岸陆地依照高程概化为计算区域进行漫堤计算,当天文高潮位叠加可能最大风暴潮水位时,三门湾沿岸会发生漫堤溢流现象,淹没范围最严重的区域出现在湾顶处,最大淹没面积达到了120 km2。此时厂址前沿最高潮位为7.25 m,与不溢流相比下降了0.50 m。本研究可为三门核电厂址的安全防护提供科学依据。     

Post‐orogenic thermal history and exhumation of the northern Appalachian Basin: Low‐temperature thermochronologic constraints

Apatite fission‐track (AFT) thermochronology and (U‐Th)/He (AHe) dating, combined with paleothermometers and independent geologic constraints, are used to model the thermal history of Devonian Catskill delta wedge strata. The timing and rates of cooling determines the likely post‐orogenic exhumation history of the northern Appalachian Foreland Basin (NAB) in New York and Pennsylvania. AFT ages generally young from west to east, decreasing from ~185 to 120 Ma. AHe single‐grain ages range from ~188 to 116 Ma. Models show that this part of the Appalachian foreland basin experienced a non‐uniform, multi‐stage cooling history. Cooling rates vary over time, ~1–2 °C/Myr in the Early Jurassic to Early Cretaceous, ~0.15–0.25 °C/Myr from the Early Cretaceous to Late Cenozoic, and ~1–2 °C/Myr beginning in the Miocene. Our results from the Mesozoic are broadly consistent with earlier studies, but with the integration of multiple thermochronometers and multi‐kinetic annealing algorithms in newer inverse thermal modeling programs, we constrain a Late Cenozoic increase in cooling which had been previously enigmatic in eastern U.S. low‐temperature thermochronology datasets. Multi‐stage cooling and exhumation of the NAB is driven by post‐orogenic basin inversion and catchment drainage reorganization, in response to changes in base level due to rifting, plus isostatic and dynamic topographic processes modified by flexure over the long (~200 Myr) post‐orogenic period. This study compliments other regional exhumation data‐sets, while constraining the timing of post‐orogenic cooling and exhumation in the NAB and contributing important insights on the post‐orogenic development and inversion of foreland basins along passive margins.     

虹鳟和硬头鳟幼鱼对温度的耐受性

利用黄海冷水团进行鲑鳟鱼类养殖,养殖种类的选择极其重要。本实验分别选取了体重2～120g陆封型虹鳟(Oncorhynchus mykiss)和洄游型硬头鳟(O.mykiss),以14℃为起始水温,以1℃/24h的速率分别升温和降温,从而获得两类鱼的高温临界温度和低温停食温度。研究显示,虹鳟和硬头鳟的高温临界温度和低温停食温度受其生态类型、体重及二者交互作用的影响显著;虹鳟和硬头鳟的高温临界温度和停食温度均在体重2g时最高,并随体重增加逐渐降低;虹鳟的最高临界温度显著高于硬头鳟,而停食温度显著低于硬头鳟。研究结果表明,虹鳟与硬头鳟的温度耐受范围重叠,但前者的温度耐受范围宽于后者。     

基于最优插值和贝叶斯最大熵的海表温度融合方法研究

海表温度(sea surface temperature,SST)是影响全球气候的重要因素,在海洋科学研究中占有关键位置。论文基于MODIS红外、AMSR-2和HY-2A微波辐射计数据,分别利用最优插值和贝叶斯最大熵方法对SST数据进行融合,并用i Quam实测数据和Argo浮标数据对2015年SST融合数据进行检验。MODIS、AMSR-2、HY-2A辐射计SST的年平均空间覆盖率分别为15.0%,21.6%,22.0%,最优插值和贝叶斯最大熵融合SST产品的年平均空间覆盖率提高到98.6%和99.4%,融合产品空间覆盖率明显提高。与i Quam实测数据对比,最优插值和贝叶斯最大熵融合产品年平均偏差分别为0.07℃,0.04℃,均方根误差皆为0.78℃,其中3-7月最优插值融合产品的精度略优于贝叶斯最大熵融合产品,其它月份则相反;与Argo浮标数据对比,两种融合产品的均值偏差分别为0.06℃,0.01℃,均方根误差分别为0.77℃,0.75℃。整体上,贝叶斯最大熵融合产品的精度略优于最优插值融合产品,但计算成本较高。     

海浪谱型对最大波高估算的影响研究

无论是对于各种涉海水工建筑物的设计还是对于它们的防护而言,最大波高的预测都是非常重要的工作。目前常用的海浪预报模式多以相位平均模型为主,其能直接给出的计算结果是海浪谱,因此基于海浪谱给出合理的最大波高估算具有重要的意义。前人对波陡、谱宽等参数对最大波高公式的影响都有了较为清楚的认知,然而相关研究大多围绕单峰谱开展,尚没有考虑包括双峰谱在内的海浪谱型最大波高公式的影响。本文首先探讨了海浪谱对最大波高的影响特性,进而提出了海浪谱谱型的参数化定义,最后给出了考虑谱型因子的最大波高公式。     

Data-moderate assessments of Cape monkfish Lophius vomerinus and west coast sole Austroglossus microlepis in Namibian waters

There is global interest in providing scientific advice on optimal harvesting of all commercially exploited fish stocks. Nevertheless, many commercially important stocks lack analytical assessments. Therefore, we evaluate a data-moderate stock assessment method: the stochastic surplus production model in continuous time (SPiCT). The method was applied to two Namibian stocks: (i) the data-rich Cape monkfish Lophius vomerinus, where results are compared to a new data-rich assessment using a state–space assessment model (SAM); and (ii) the data-moderate west coast sole Austroglossus microlepis, which is an important bycatch species in the Cape monkfish fishery, but currently unassessed. The information available to the data-moderate assessment is total commercial catch, commercial catch per unit effort (CPUE), and survey CPUE. SPiCT and SAM gave largely consistent estimates of relative fishing mortality (F/F_MSY) and relative exploitable biomass (B/B_MSY) for the Cape monkfish stock, although with some discrepancies. Differences in the biomass estimates between the two assessments suggest that further investigation is required to understand the cause, and that some caution is necessary when considering the biomass of the stock. SPiCT shows that the west coast sole may be overexploited, although the confidence bounds were too wide for a firm conclusion. Similarity in the estimates of F/F_MSY for Cape monkfish in recent years, using SPiCT relative to SAM, likewise indicates the suitability of SPiCT for managing west coast sole.     

Hydraulic geometry and maximum flow efficiency as products of the principle of least action

Basic flow relationships have previously been seen to be insufficient to explain the self‐adjusting mechanism of alluvial channels and as a consequence extremal hypotheses have been incorporated into the analyses. In contrast, this study finds that by introducing a channel form factor (width/depth ratio), the self‐adjusting mechanism of alluvial channels can be illustrated directly with the basic flow relations of continuity, resistance and sediment transport. Natural channel flow is able to reach an optimum state (Maximum Flow Efficiency (MFE), defined as the maximum sediment transporting capacity per unit available stream power) with regard to the adjustment of channel form such that rivers exhibit regular hydraulic geometry relations at dominant or bankfull stage. Within the context of MFE, this study offers support for the use of the concepts of maximum sediment transporting capacity (MSTC) and minimum stream power (MSP). Furthermore, this study indicates that the principle of least action is able to provide a physical explanation for the existence of MFE, MSTC and MSP. Potential energy is minimized and consequently sediment transport is maximized in alluvial channels. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

城市化背景下年最大日径流演变及影响因素研究——以长江下游秦淮河流域为例

随着气候变化和人类活动的加剧,城市化地区水文过程受到较大影响,极端水文事件发生频率显著加大,探究城市化地区洪水演变和驱动机理对于防洪减灾具有重大意义。本文以长江下游快速城市化地区的秦淮河流域为例,分析了1987—2018年期间该流域年最大日径流的演变特征,构建多元线性回归模型和广义可加GAMLSS模型识别了关键驱动因子并量化其贡献作用。结果表明:(1)城市化背景下秦淮河流域年最大日径流呈现显著上升趋势,平均增长速率为14.77 m³/(s·a),并于2001年发生显著突变。(2)汛期降水量和不透水面率是年最大日径流变化的关键驱动因素,最优模型显示前者贡献率超过了70%,表明了降水改变的决定性作用,而不透水面率贡献率超过20%则表明了下垫面的改变对年最大日径流演变存在显著影响。(3)不透水面的增加对年最大日径流和汛期降水量响应关系的影响程度从突变前的6.7%增加到突变后的10.4%,快速城市化已显著改变了流域降水-径流响应过程。研究表明,随着城市发展秦淮河流域的年最大日径流受到人类活动显著影响,洪涝威胁日趋增大,研究结果可为城市化地区防洪减灾提供一定参考。     

粗粒料级配缩尺后最大干密度试验研究

对某级配粗粒料,采用剔除法、等量替代法、相似级配法和混合法等4种不同缩尺方法,依据规范要求进行缩尺。缩尺后替代级配料的最大颗粒粒径分别为20、40、60 mm。对各替代级配料采用振动台法进行了最大干密度试验,基于试验成果,结合分形理论,提出了一种将最大干密度与级配及细粒含量之间关系归一化的方法,并拟合了最大干密度与试验前级配的分形维数、小于5 mm颗粒的含量及最大粒径之间的关系,据此可推求出原型级配料的最大干密度,探讨了缩尺方法对替代料试验前后粒径分布曲线变化幅度的影响,总结出颗粒破碎分形维数与试验前级配的分形维数、小于5 mm颗粒含量及最大粒径之间的关系式,据此可推求出填筑后原型级配料的颗粒破碎分形维数。