全文获取类型
收费全文 | 1902篇 |
免费 | 184篇 |
国内免费 | 238篇 |
专业分类
测绘学 | 312篇 |
大气科学 | 158篇 |
地球物理 | 315篇 |
地质学 | 719篇 |
海洋学 | 221篇 |
天文学 | 308篇 |
综合类 | 89篇 |
自然地理 | 202篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 3篇 |
2023年 | 17篇 |
2022年 | 26篇 |
2021年 | 37篇 |
2020年 | 45篇 |
2019年 | 59篇 |
2018年 | 47篇 |
2017年 | 52篇 |
2016年 | 52篇 |
2015年 | 56篇 |
2014年 | 78篇 |
2013年 | 102篇 |
2012年 | 73篇 |
2011年 | 84篇 |
2010年 | 62篇 |
2009年 | 111篇 |
2008年 | 98篇 |
2007年 | 127篇 |
2006年 | 118篇 |
2005年 | 111篇 |
2004年 | 107篇 |
2003年 | 101篇 |
2002年 | 85篇 |
2001年 | 85篇 |
2000年 | 81篇 |
1999年 | 57篇 |
1998年 | 68篇 |
1997年 | 43篇 |
1996年 | 36篇 |
1995年 | 50篇 |
1994年 | 22篇 |
1993年 | 35篇 |
1992年 | 31篇 |
1991年 | 16篇 |
1990年 | 18篇 |
1989年 | 26篇 |
1988年 | 11篇 |
1987年 | 22篇 |
1986年 | 9篇 |
1985年 | 12篇 |
1984年 | 3篇 |
1983年 | 3篇 |
1982年 | 4篇 |
1980年 | 3篇 |
1978年 | 4篇 |
1977年 | 3篇 |
1976年 | 6篇 |
1973年 | 4篇 |
1972年 | 10篇 |
1971年 | 8篇 |
排序方式: 共有2324条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
101.
102.
基于空间自相关的闽台城镇建设用地分布研究 总被引:11,自引:0,他引:11
空间自相关是一种重要的空间统计方法, 用来检验某种地理现象或某一属性值的整体分 布状况, 判断此现象或属性值在空间上是否有聚集特性存在。本文利用2002 年ASTER 影像数据 作为遥感数据源提取闽台建设用地信息, 闽台建设用地密度的分布呈现出沿台湾海峡呈对称集 聚分布的态势。通过建设用地密度的空间自相关分析, 显示闽台建设用地空间分布整体上呈显著 的空间正相关, 集聚现象明显; 而在局部上则呈现出不同的空间结构形态, 建设用地高密度区主 要集聚分布在闽东南沿海的闽江口、厦门湾和泉州湾三大城镇密集区及台湾西部的台北、台中和 高雄三大都会区。这种空间相关关系的探讨对于认识闽台人口和社会经济的空间分布及福建省 建设用地未来的发展具有重要的意义, 也对福建省社会经济发展政策的制定提供重要参考依据。 相似文献
103.
A mathematical model is developed for predicting the temperature distribution in an aquifer thermal energy storage (ATES) system, which consists of a confined aquifer bounded from above and below by the rocks of different geological properties. The main transfer processes of heat include the conduction and advection in the aquifer and the conduction in the rocks. The semi‐analytical solution in dimensionless form for the model is developed by Laplace transforms and its corresponding time‐domain solution is evaluated by the modified Crump method. Field geothermal property data are used to simulate the temperature distribution in an ATES system. The results show that the heat transfer in the aquifer is fast and has a vast effect on the vicinity of the wellbore. However, the aquifer temperature decreases with increasing radial and vertical distances. The temperature in the aquifer may be overestimated when ignoring the effect of thermal conductivity. The temperature distribution in an ATES system depends on the vertical thermal conduction in the rocks and the horizontal advection and thermal conduction in the aquifer. The present solution is useful in designing and simulating the heat injection facility in the ATES systems. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
104.
Bettina Matti Helen E. Dahlke Bastien Dieppois Damian M. Lawler Steve W. Lyon 《水文研究》2017,31(24):4354-4370
Fluvial flood events have substantial impacts on humans, both socially and economically, as well as on ecosystems (e.g., hydroecology and pollutant transport). Concurrent with climate change, the seasonality of flooding in cold environments is expected to shift from a snowmelt‐dominated to a rainfall‐dominated flow regime. This would have profound impacts on water management strategies, that is, flood risk mitigation, drinking water supply, and hydro power. In addition, cold climate hydrological systems exhibit complex interactions with catchment properties and large‐scale climate fluctuations making the manifestation of changes difficult to detect and predict. Understanding a possible change in flood seasonality and defining related key drivers therefore is essential to mitigate risk and to keep management strategies viable under a changing climate. This study explores changes in flood seasonality across near‐natural catchments in Scandinavia using circular statistics and trend tests. Results indicate strong seasonality in flooding for snowmelt‐dominated catchments with a single peak occurring in spring and early summer (March through June), whereas flood peaks are more equally distributed throughout the year for catchments located close to the Atlantic coast and in the south of the study area. Flood seasonality has changed over the past century seen as decreasing trends in summer maximum daily flows and increasing winter and spring maximum daily flows with 5–35% of the catchments showing significant changes at the 5% significance level. Seasonal mean daily flows corroborate those findings with higher percentages (5–60%) of the catchments showing statistically significant changes. Alterations in annual flood occurrence also point towards a shift in flow regime from snowmelt‐dominated to rainfall‐dominated with consistent changes towards earlier timing of the flood peak (significant for 25% of the catchments). Regionally consistent patterns suggest a first‐order climate control as well as a local second‐order catchment control, which causes inter‐seasonal variability in the streamflow response. 相似文献
105.
《水文科学杂志》2013,58(3)
Abstract The well-established physical and mathematical principle of maximum entropy (ME), is used to explain the distributional and autocorrelation properties of hydrological processes, including the scaling behaviour both in state and in time. In this context, maximum entropy is interpreted as maximum uncertainty. The conditions used for the maximization of entropy are as simple as possible, i.e. that hydrological processes are non-negative with specified coefficients of variation (CV) and lag one autocorrelation. In this first part of the study, the marginal distributional properties of hydrological variables and the state scaling behaviour are investigated. Application of the ME principle under these very simple conditions results in the truncated normal distribution for small values of CV and in a nonexponential type (Pareto) distribution for high values of CV. In addition, the normal and the exponential distributions appear as limiting cases of these two distributions. Testing of these theoretical results with numerous hydrological data sets on several scales validates the applicability of the ME principle, thus emphasizing the dominance of uncertainty in hydrological processes. Both theoretical and empirical results show that the state scaling is only an approximation for the high return periods, which is merely valid when processes have high variation on small time scales. In other cases the normal distributional behaviour, which does not have state scaling properties, is a more appropriate approximation. Interestingly however, as discussed in the second part of the study, the normal distribution combined with positive autocorrelation of a process, results in time scaling behaviour due to the ME principle. 相似文献
106.
Stanley M. Miller 《Mathematical Geology》1988,20(5):529-542
Of the recognized nonsteady-state factors that influence slope stability, probably most critical in many field situations is the character of precipitation and infiltration activity. A groundwater response model used in conjunction with precipitation records can provide a historical catalog of estimated maximum groundwater levels in a particular study area. An extreme-value statistical analysis of this catalog is linked with geotechnical slope stability analyses to provide a landslide hazard model for estimating the probability of slope failure within a given time. This modeling approach can provide meaningful input to risk assessments for landslide mitigation programs and to decision analyses and cost-benefit studies important for land-use planning and resource management.This paper was presented at Emerging Concepts, MGUS 87 Conference, Redwood City, California, 13–15 April 1987. 相似文献
107.
Mathematical models of hydrocarbon formation can be used to simulate the natural evolution of different types of organic matter and to make an overall calculation of the amounts of oil and/or gas produced during this evolution. However, such models do not provide any information on the composition of the hydrocarbons formed or on how they evolve during catagenesis.From the kinetic standpoint, the composition of the hydrocarbons formed can be considered to result from the effect of “primary cracking” reactions having a direct effect on kerogen during its evolution as well as from the effect of “secondary cracking” acting on the hydrocarbons formed.This report gives experimental results concerning the “primary cracking” of Types II and III kerogens and their modelling. For this, the hydrocarbons produced have been grouped into four classes (C1, C2–C5, C6–C15 and C15+). Experimental data corresponding to these different classes were obtained by the pyrolysis of kerogens with temperature programming of 4°C/min with continuous analysis, during heating, of the amount of hydrocarbons corresponding to each of these classes.The kinetic parameters of the model were optimized on the basis of the results obtained. This model represents the first step in the creation of a more sophisticated mathematical model to be capable of simulating the formation of different hydrocarbon classes during the thermal history of sediments. The second step being the adjustment of the kinetic parameters of “secondary cracking”. 相似文献
108.
The seismic hazard in the Sannio-Matese area has been worked out by a modification of the McGuire (1976) computing programme, taking into account the influence of nine potential seismic source zones.The method uses truncated-quadratic intensity-frequency distribution and azimuth-dependent intensity attenuation derived from isoseismal maps for each of the seismogenetic sources. A new modification has been introduced to take into account different decay of the intensity in the near (to VIII degree) and far (from VIII degree) field.Different assumptions about maximum possible intensities and truncation of intensity-frequency laws are used to evaluate the effects of the uncertainties on the computed hazard at high intensities. Intensities associated with different level of annual probability are computed for five test sites in the considered area. Maps displaying the expected intensity for a mean return period of 500 years (pa 0.002) are presented and compared with observed intensities.Presented at the XXIst General Assembly of the European Seismological Commission, Symposium on Methods of Seismic Hazard Assessment in Europe, Sofia, 23–27 August 1988. 相似文献
109.
110.
Statistical models are proposed for the distribution of directions in three dimensions that are thought to point toward a single source. These models are based on the Fisher distribution. The method of maximum likelihood is used to obtain an estimate of position of the source and to provide corre-sponding confidence regions. When applied to shatter cone data from the Slate Islands, northern Lake Superior, the method yields estimates comparable with those obtained by Stesky and Halls (1982), as well as statistically valid confidence regions. 相似文献