基于地磁场的自主导航研究

研究了基于地磁场的自主导航,建立了以卫星轨道动力学方程为基础的系统状态方程,并详细推导了以地磁场大小和地磁场矢量为观测量时的观测方程.由于系统的非线性,传统的卡尔曼滤波无能为力,为了解决系统的非线性问题把常用来解决非线性问题的EKF引入到基于地磁场的自主导航系统中.最后用Matlab对基于地磁场的自主导航系统进行了仿真,仿真结果表明EKF有很好的收敛性和稳定性,以地磁场矢量为观测量的导航精度要远高于以地磁场大小为观测量的导航精度.     

NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF MESOSCALE STRUCTURES OF TYPHOON AND OROGRAPHIC EFFECTS USING MM5*

The track,landfall,dynamic and thermodynamic and cloud-rain physical mesoscale structures and their evolution of typhoon HERB 1996 in 36 h from 0000 UTC 31 July to 1200 UTC 1 August 1996 were simulated by using the non-hydrostatic mesoscale model MM5.This period covered the process of typhoon HERB landfall at Taiwan and Fujian Provinces.Results show that the model successfully simulated the landfall process of typhoon HERB,revealed the most important characteristics of the mesoscale dynamic and thermodynamic and cloud-rain physical structure during its landfall.The simulated typhoon track was close to the observation.The center of cyclonic circulation simulated at 0000 UTC on 1 August 1996 (24 h integration) was located in shore near Fuqing,Fujian Province at which the typhoon was reported to landfall two hours later.It shows that strong upward motion formed by low level convergence existed in the eye-wall and subsidence at the eye.The wind field shows clear asymmetrical structure near the typhoon center.The cloud and rainband was screw-typed distributed around typhoon center,and consisted of meso-β scale rain cores.During the period of typhoon HERB staying near and passing over Taiwan,the lower cloud was developed in the eye region so that the previous clear typhoon eye on the satellite pictures became fuzzy.Observation shows that the typhoon center was "warm",but the model simulations with higher space resolution show that in the mid-troposphere the region of eye-wall with stronger upward motion and more cloud-and rain-water was warmer than the eye.During the period of typhoon passing over Taiwan and its following landfall at Fujian,the track of model typhoon deviated about 30 km northward (i.e.,rightward) because of the orographic effects of Taiwan Island,but the strength of the typhoon was not affected remarkably.The amount of rainfall on Taiwan in the 36 h simulations was enhanced more than six times by the orographic lifting of Taiwan Mountain.     

确定先期固结压力的数学模型法

地基土的先期固结压力是判断土体应力历史的一个指标。在不同应力历史状况的土体变形分析中它也是一个重要的计算参数。因此,方便、准确地确定先期固结压力就显得尤为重要。依据理论研究和试验分析,提出了一种新的确定方法：数学模型法。润扬大桥土样试验的结果证明了此法的可行性。     

基于贝叶斯层次时空模型的甘肃省土地利用程度演变分析

以甘肃省为例,在基于Google Earth Engine (GEE)平台实现1995年、2000年、2005年、2010年、2015年和2020年土地变化监测的基础上,利用贝叶斯层次时空模型(BHM)分析土地利用程度的时空变化特征。结果表明：① 研究期间内甘肃省土地利用程度呈增长趋势,其中1995―2000年和2010―2015年增长速度较明显;② 土地利用程度空间格局“东高西低”,热点区域主要分布在陇中、陇东和陇南地区;③ 土地利用程度局部变化呈现明显区域差异,整体表现为“东弱西强”,局部变化热点区域主要分布在河西地区;④ 影响土地利用程度变化的主要因素是经济规模和产业结构,其中经济因素影响程度最高。     

倾斜煤层中不同倾向多分支井产能预测模型

煤层气分支井产能预测对区块优选、经济评价和排采生产管理等都具有重要的指导意义。根据多分支井在倾斜煤层不同钻进方式引起的分支井段及末端压降特点,回避煤层气从基质、裂隙系统运移的复杂过程,结合达西定律,分别建立了下倾钻进和上覆钻进两种方式下分支井段内与末端的压降模型、解吸半径模型和产气量预测模型。计算结果表明:这些模型能较准确地预测多分支井产能趋势,且方法简便、快捷,对现场排采工作制度具有一定指导作用。     

约束稀疏脉冲波阻抗反演在精细油藏描述中的应用

综合研究区地质、地震、测井、录井等各类信息,从测井约束稀疏脉冲波阻抗的反演技术的基本原理出发,探讨反演过程中测井资料的标准化处理、地震子波的提取、时深关系的转化,以及初始波阻抗模型的建立等主要的技术环节。综合分析了研究区双阳组二段重点圈闭区块砂体的发育和分布情况,并探讨在同一构造圈闭上不同井位失利的原因,为精细的油气储层研究提供了可靠的信息。     

区域矿产评价模型——以赤峰红花沟金矿为例

在矿床模型综合地质信息预测方法中,区域矿产评价模型包括远景区圈定要素组合、远景区优选要素组合、矿床数估计要素组合和资源量估算要素组合,它们成功地解决了矿产预测中的信息不对称以及知识驱动和数据驱动相结合的问题.通过对赤峰燕山期红花沟式岩浆热液型金矿资源的定位、定量预测,共圈定远景区11个,其中A类远景区4个,B类远景区3个,C类远景区4个;预测潜在矿床数8个,潜在资源量306.532 t.本区该类型金矿资源潜力巨大,具有很好的找矿远景.     

EPS颗粒轻质混合土的蠕变模型研究

EPS颗粒轻质混合土是一种新型轻质填土材料,相比EPS泡沫块体,具有更广泛的应用前景。EPS颗粒轻质混合土的基本物理及力学性质已得到了较多的研究,但其蠕变特性研究较少。通过不同围压下EPS颗粒轻质混合土的三轴不排水蠕变试验,采用三种常用的经验模型：Singh & Mitchell模型、Mesri模型和Findley模型对EPS颗粒轻质混合土的蠕变变形进行模拟,结果表明：Singh & Mithcell模型和Mesri模型能反映蠕变趋势,但是不能拟合应变初始快速上升段,用来描述EPS泡沫块体的Findley模型在应力水平较高时,拟合效果最好,某种程度上说,EPS颗粒轻质混合土的蠕变性与EPS泡沫块体相似。推导出了一种新的半经验半理论蠕变模型,用元件模型描述弹性变形部分,用经验模型描述塑性变形部分,拟合结果表明,不管应力水平的高低,新推蠕变模型都不仅能够很好地反映EPS颗粒轻质混合土的初始快速上升段变形,也能够比较准确地拟合长期变形,即蠕变性。     

Plant drought tolerance trait is the key parameter in improving the modeling of terrestrial transpiration in arid and semi-arid regions

陆面过程蒸腾作用的模拟制约着天气,气候降水预测的精确度.近几十年来,为了更好地描述植被蒸腾的水力约束,陆面过程模式发展了基于植物性状的植物水力胁迫方案.然而,我们对于植物性状在蒸腾模拟中的地位仍然缺乏了解,植物性状对蒸腾的重要性仍需进一步量化.本研究利用Morris方法评估植物性状参数在通用陆面模式植物水力胁迫方案(CoLM-P₅₀HS)中的重要性,针对17种植物性状,筛选出最为重要的:耐旱性状(P₅₀),气孔性状,和光合作用性状.在12个FLUXNET站点中,参数的重要性由归一化敏感度来衡量.P₅₀的重要性随着降水的减少而增加,而气孔性状和光合作用性状的重要性则随着降水的减少而减少.在干旱或半干旱地区,P₅₀比气孔性状和光合作用性状更重要,这意味着当植物经常经历干旱时,水力安全策略比植物生长策略更关键.而耐旱性状的巨大变异性进一步暗示了多种植物水力安全策略的共存.忽视P₅₀的变异性可能会对陆面过程模式蒸腾作用的模拟造成严重误差.因此,为了更好地表示植物水力功能的变异性,需要增加对耐旱性状的观测并耦合到陆面模式中.     

Distinct patterns of interaction between vegetation and morphodynamics

Dynamic interaction between river morphodynamics and vegetation affects river channel patterns and populations of riparian species. A range of numerical models exists to investigate the interaction between vegetation and morphodynamics. However, many of these models oversimplify either the morphodynamics or the vegetation dynamics, which hampers the development of predictive models for river management. We have developed a model coupling advanced morphodynamics and dynamic vegetation, which is innovative because it includes dynamic ecological processes and progressing vegetation characteristics as opposed to commonly used static vegetation without growth and mortality. Our objective is to understand and quantify the effects of vegetation‐type dependent settling, growth and mortality on the river pattern and morphodynamics of a meandering river. We compared several dynamic vegetation scenarios with different functional trait sets to reference scenarios without vegetation and with static vegetation without growth and mortality. We find distinct differences in morphodynamics and river morphology. The default dynamic vegetation scenario, based on two Salicaceae species, shows an active meandering behaviour, while the static vegetation scenario develops into a static, vegetation‐dominated state. The diverse vegetation patterns in the dynamic scenario reduce lateral migration, increase meander migration rate and create a smoother floodplain compared to the static scenario. Dynamic vegetation results in typical vegetation patterns, vegetation age distribution and river patterns as observed in the field. We show a quantitative interaction between vegetation and morphodynamics, where increasing vegetation cover decreases sediment transport rates. Furthermore, differences in vegetation colonization, density and survival create distinct patterns in river morphology, showing that vegetation properties and dynamics drive the formation of different river morphologies. Our model demonstrates the high sensitivity of channel morphodynamics to various species traits, an understanding which is required for floodplain and stream restoration and more realistic modelling of long‐term river development. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.