西南地区某岩溶水库渗漏分析

西南地区某水库位于云贵高原中北部,库区可溶盐岩分布较广且岩溶较发育,中部有一条近南北走向的区域性断裂（F1）穿过两岸,为论证此水库成库的可能性,通过地表调查及物探,结果表明:此水库向低邻谷渗漏的可能性小,沿F1断裂带向南部或向下游渗漏的可能性问题不大,存在沿灰岩溶蚀通道向下游和向库外渗漏的可能性,沿左岸大理岩与灰绿岩接触带或大理岩向坝下游绕坝渗漏的可能性不大;水库正常蓄水位在Kc1底板高程以下有成库的可能。      

热源法探测陡河水库左坝肩绕坝渗漏通道

通过热源法对陡河水库渗漏通道的探测发现,陡河水库左坝肩存在着绕坝渗漏通道.在左坝肩基岩10m高程附近存在低温场异常,通过对水库底部附近温度场分布测量,判定出低温水来自上游右支河水的补给,通过低温区分布确定出绕坝渗漏强渗漏通道的位置,在库水位保持在32m时,根据热源法计算出渗漏通道的渗漏量在3.59×105～4.74×105m3/d之间,钻孔发现水库边基岩中的水位比库水位低22m,水位差是造成了水库跌窝事故的主要原因,在11#钻孔中发现了来自河床的细砂,在11#和9#孔中的连通试验证实基岩中的强渗漏通道.     

东丽湖地热钻探CGSD01井钻完井技术

CGSD01井是由中国地质调查局组织实施的一口水热型地热资源调查井。该井完井深度405168 m,终孔直径216 mm。施工过程中遇到大直径套管下入安全系数不足、地层漏失、复杂地层岩心采取率低等问题。文章介绍了该井的井身结构设计、钻完井工艺技术。通过采用浮力法下管,多工艺堵漏,改进复杂地层取心工艺等措施解决了施工过程中的复杂问题,总结了该地区深部地热钻探钻井工艺并提出了完井建议。     

爆炸应力波对新浇混凝土衬砌的影响研究

爆炸应力波作用下新浇混凝土衬砌的破坏模式及安全振动速度是水电、铁道工程隧洞建设中需要解决的重要问题。根据弹性P波及SV波在介质中的传播规律,讨论了P波及SV波在薄层混凝土衬砌中的传播及近似处理方法,依照莫尔-库仑准则、极限拉应力准则、极限拉应变准则,研究了爆炸应力波作用下新混凝土衬砌的破坏模式及安全振动速度。结果表明,入射应力波及衬砌中的折射波对衬砌的破坏作用最主要,折射波在衬砌内产生的反、折射波将降低衬砌中的应力,具有卸载效果;混凝土衬砌的安全振动速度随着龄期的增大而增大,P波入射时,安全振动速度随着入射角的增大而增大,入射角较大时,胶结面容易发生剪切破坏,较小时,容易发生拉伸破坏,SV波入射时,较小角度下容易发生剪切破坏,较大角度时容易发生拉伸破坏;围岩弹性模量越高,衬砌的安全振动速度越小。     

层状盐岩中储备库油气渗漏风险的故障树分析

油气渗漏是盐岩地下储备库事故的重要类型之一,具有突发性强、损失难以估计的特点。针对国内层状盐岩中储备库运营过程中的油气渗漏风险进行分析,揭示了油气渗漏事故的发生机制并建立了相应的故障树模型。通过对该模型的分析,找出了事故发生的各基本致因事件和故障模式,并得出适用于典型层状盐岩储备库油气渗漏事故的发生概率公式。分析结果表明,国内层状盐岩中储备库发生油气渗漏事故的可能故障模式有28种,且发生条件易于满足而难于防范,因此事故发生的可能性较大;按照各基本事件结构重要度的计算结果,盐岩强度低、盐岩蠕变过量、附近有断层、地震、造腔参数控制不当、非均匀地应力、人为操作失误等是层状盐岩中储备库油气渗漏事故的主要致因事件,并据此提出有效措施防止事故发生;通过专家调查法和故障树法的综合分析得出,金坛盐矿5口老腔储库在近10年的运营期内发生油气渗漏事故的概率为0.703%,属于偶发性事故。     

深厚表土层地面注浆加固过程中井壁应变变化规律

分析了深厚表土层地面注浆加固过程中井壁的受力特点,介绍了金桥矿副井表土段地面注浆加固过程中井壁的应变观测结论,提出了深厚表土层井壁外注浆加固工程的井壁安全保证核心技术。     

“双端封堵侧漏技术”在探测大采深工作面煤层底板裂隙中的应用

我国浅部煤层的储量在近几年内大量减少,为满足工业生产,人民生活的需要,开采深部煤层成为势在必行的发展趋势,但是,深部采区条件较为复杂,尤其是在华北石炭-二叠型煤田内,底板奥灰水,溶岩水一直都限制着煤层的开采,底板突水占整个煤矿事故中90%以上的比例。大采深工作面受底板承压水的威胁较大,采动造成的裂隙一旦与导升带相连通,形成一导水通道,则会造成底板突水。双端封堵侧漏技术通过将整个钻孔细分为若干单位段,通过测试每一单位段前后两次漏水的差异,从而确定受回采影响下底板的裂隙发育情况和最大发育深度。     

Carbon pricing in practice: a review of existing emissions trading systems

This article analyses the implementation of emissions trading systems (ETSs) in eight jurisdictions: the EU, Switzerland, the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) and California in the US, Québec in Canada, New Zealand, the Republic of Korea and pilot schemes in China. The article clarifies what is working, what isn’t and why, when it comes to the practice of implementing an ETS. The eight ETSs are evaluated against five main criteria: environmental effectiveness, economic efficiency, market management, revenue management and stakeholder engagement. Within each of these categories, ETS attributes ? including abatement cost, stringency of the cap, improved allocation practices over time and the trajectory of price stability ? are assessed for each system. Institutional learning, administrative prudence, appropriate carbon revenue management and stakeholder engagement are identified as key ingredients for successful ETS regimes. Recent implementation of ETSs in regions including California, Québec and South Korea indicates significant institutional learning from prior systems, especially the EU ETS, with these regions implementing more robust administrative and regulatory structures suitable for handling unique national and sub-national opportunities and constraints. The analysis also shows that there is potential for a ‘double dividend’ in emissions reductions even with a modest carbon price, provided the cap tightens over time and a portion of the auctioned revenues are reinvested in other emissions-reduction activities. Knowledge gaps exist in understanding the interaction of pricing instruments with other climate policy instruments and how governments manage these policies to achieve optimum emissions reductions with lower administrative costs.

Key policy insights

• Countries are learning from each other on ETS implementation.

• Administrative and regulatory structures of ETS jurisdictions appear to evolve and become more robust in every ETS analysed.

• A ‘double dividend’ for emissions reductions may also exist in cases where mitigation occurs as a result of the ETS policy and when auction revenues are reinvested in other emissions-reduction activities.

     

Would different methodologies for assessing carbon leakage exposure lead to different risk levels? A case study of the Brazilian industry

Energy-intensive industries play an important role in low-carbon development, being particularly exposed to climate policies. Concern over possible carbon leakage in this sector poses a major challenge for designing effective carbon pricing instruments (CPI). Different methodologies for assessing carbon leakage exposure are currently used by different jurisdictions, each of them based on different approaches and indicators. This paper aims to analyse the extent to which the use of different methodologies leads to different results in terms of exposure to the risk of carbon leakage, using the Brazilian industry sector as a case study. Results indicate that carbon leakage exposure is an expected outcome of eventual CPI implementation in Brazilian industry. However, results vary according to the chosen methodology, so the definition of the criteria is paramount for assessing sectoral exposure to the risk of carbon leakage.

Key policy insights

• Despite increasing discussion about the implementation of carbon pricing on the Brazilian industrial sector, the evaluation of carbon leakage risks is still neglected.

• Assessments of the risk of carbon leakage are directly related to the indicators and criteria used by each methodology. Thus, a given subsector may present different levels of exposure to carbon leakage depending on the methodological choice.

• More than a purely technical discussion, the methodological definition of carbon leakage risk is a political discussion – it can be well-conducted, leading to the success of a CPI, or even sabotaged, by implicitly subsidizing energy-intensive industries.

     

Biomass strategies for climate policies?

Abstract

This paper discusses the results of the BEAP linear programming model that has been developed to study the optimal use of biomass and land for greenhouse gas emission reduction, notably the competition between food production, biomass production for energy and materials and afforestation. The model results suggest up to 100 EJ biomass use in case of global policies (about 20% of global primary energy use). The biomass is used for industrial and residential heating, transportation fuels and as a feedstock for plastics. In the electricity markets competing emission reduction options are more cost-effective than biomass. In case the Kyoto protocol is continued beyond 2010 the developed countries can rely in 2020–2030 on afforestation and land use change credits from developing countries, without any major use of other emission reduction strategies. However, in case of a planning perspective of more than half a century bioenergy is preferred instead of afforestation. The results indicate a limited impact on global agricultural trade, but food demand may be affected by CO₂ policies.