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81.
2017年5月7日广州特大暴雨模拟中的背景场影响分析 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
2017年5月7日广州发生了特大暴雨,为研究不同背景场资料对这次暴雨过程的影响,模式背景场分别采用美国NCEP的GFS资料和中国的T639资料,利用GRAPES_Meso模式对这次暴雨过程进行了数值模拟和影响分析;数值试验结果表明,采用不同的背景场对这次暴雨过程具有显著影响,用T639资料(T639_run)作为模式背景场大致模拟出了这次暴雨过程,而采用NCEP GFS数据(GFS_run)模拟的降水明显偏北。其原因是,采用T639资料做背景场时,华南暴雨区域存在深厚的水汽输送,同时存在强烈的上升运动,可以产生极端强降水;而采用GFS资料进行数值模拟时,实际暴雨区上空的上升气流较弱,水汽输送也较弱,使强降水落区偏北。GRAPES_Meso模式模拟的华南地区的云顶高度整体偏高,云顶温度整体偏低,相对来说,采用T639_run的模拟结果优于GFSrun的结果,该研究结果可以为云降水方案中的水物质和云量计算方案的改进和优化提供一定的参考。 相似文献
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The significant wave representation method is the simplest method for computing the transformation of significant wave height across-shore. However, many engineers are reluctant to use this method because many researchers have pointed out that the method possibly contains a large estimation error. Nevertheless, Rattanapitikon et al. [Rattanapitikon, W., Karunchintadit, R., Shibayama, T., 2003. Irregular wave height transformation using representative wave approach. Coastal Engineering Journal, JSCE 45(3), 489–510.] showed that the wave representation method could be used to compute the transformation of root mean square wave heights. It may also be possible to use it for computing the significant wave height transformation. Therefore, this study was carried out to examine the possibility of simulating significant wave height transformation across-shore by using the significant wave representation method. Laboratory data from small- and large-scale wave flumes were used to calibrate and examine the models. Six regular wave models were applied directly to irregular waves by using the significant wave height and spectral peak period. The examination showed that three regular wave models (with new coefficients) could be used to compute the significant wave height transformation with very good accuracy. On the strength of both accuracy and simplicity of the three models, a suitable model is recommended for computing the significant wave height transformation. The suitable model was also modified for better predictions. The modified model (with different coefficients) can be used to compute either regular wave height or significant wave height transformation across-shore. 相似文献
84.
Fernando J. Mndez Melisa Menndez Alberto Luceo Raúl Medina Nicholas E. Graham 《Ocean Engineering》2008,35(1):131-138
This paper presents a statistical model to characterize the long-term extreme value distribution of significant wave height, conditioning to the duration of the storm and accounting for seasonality. A time-dependent version of the peak over threshold (POT) approach is used to build the model, which is then applied to specific reanalysis time series and NOAA buoy records. The model considers the annual and semiannual cycles which are parameterized in terms of harmonic functions. The inclusion of seasonal variabilities substantially reduces the residuals of the fitted model. The information obtained in this study can be useful to design maritime works, because (a) the model improves the understanding of the variability of extreme wave climate along a year and (b) the model accounts for the duration of the storm, which is a key parameter in several formulations for rubble mound breakwater design. 相似文献
85.
The statistical behavior of wave energy at a site strongly depends on the wave characteristics. Wave energy converters fail to produce energy when there are no sufficiently available wave heights. Hence, evaluation of return periods and risk values of the minimum wave height becomes important for wave energy studies. A time index representing the minimum wave height is proposed here for ocean wave applications. Persistence plays a significant role in the calculation of return period and risk. Although ignoring the serial independence makes calculations easy, it leads to overestimations of the real status. In this paper, return periods and risk values are compared with each other by taking into consideration independent and dependent situations. Application of the study is achieved for the stations located in the Pacific Ocean and Gulf of Mexico. 相似文献
86.
Koji Kakinoki Shiro Imawaki Hiroshi Uchida Hirohiko Nakamura Kaoru Ichikawa Shin-Ichiro Umatani Ayako Nishina Hiroshi Ichikawa Mark Wimbush 《Journal of Oceanography》2008,64(3):373-384
Two inverted echo sounders were maintained on coastal and offshore sides of the Kuroshio south of Japan from October 1993
to July 2004. Applying the gravest empirical mode method, we obtained a time series of geostrophic transport. Estimated transports
generally agree well with geostrophic transports estimated from hydrography. Their agreement with the hydrographic transports
is better than that of transports estimated from satellite altimetry data. The geostrophic transport is expressed as the surface
transport per unit depth multiplied by the equivalent depth. The geostrophic transport varies mostly with the surface transport
and fractionally with the equivalent depth. Seasonal variation of the geostrophic transport has a minimum in March and a maximum
in September, with a range of about one fifth of the total transport. 相似文献
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88.
����GPS�������е�������Ŀ������о� 总被引:8,自引:3,他引:5
?????????12??GPS???????????????????????????GPS???????????????????????????????????GPS?????????????б???????????????3mm?????????????????????????仯????????????????????????? 相似文献
89.
��ά�ռ����ά�ռ��߲���ת����������·��� 总被引:6,自引:1,他引:5
????????????δ?????????????????????????????????·?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????÷?Χ???ó?????:????γ??????Χ??С??8???,??x??y???????????????1 cm??????????侫???????γ??(?????γ??)??Χ????С?????????? 相似文献
90.
模糊神经网络在GPS高程转换中的应用 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
介绍了T-S模糊神经网络的基本原理以及如何确定GPS高程转换的模糊神经网络模型,并采用该模型对实测数据进行了计算分析。结果表明,模糊神经网络能够对小区域GPS高程做出比较准确定的拟合,从而能够为GPS高程转换提供一种较好的方法,能够满足实际工程需要。 相似文献