扩散波的时空反演与洪水实时预报技术

以扩散波方程描述天然河道中的洪水波运动规律。将数学物理反问题理论和离散反演算法与河道流量演算相结合提出了扩散波实时预报的方法。该法的特点是在求解流量场Ｑ（ｘ,ｔ）的同时反演计算扩散波波速Ｃ（ｘ,ｔ）和扩散系数Ｄ（ｘ,ｔ）,根据不断监测的新信息系列,直接利用原偏微分方程进行参数的实时校正和预报过程实时修正。     

土壤水全时空调控的初步探讨

农业是第一用水大户,有利利用土壤是实现黑龙港地区农业可持续发展的关键,本文分析了黑龙港地区主要作物需水与降水的关系,建立了作物生长条件包气带流动系统的概念,并以此为基础提出了土壤水全时空调控的概念,探讨了土壤水全时空调控的涵义与措施,指出土壤水调控是一系统工程,必须多种措施有机结合,简单介绍了王瞳试验场开展的田间土壤水调控试验成果。     

湘黔地区中奥陶世海平面上升的沉积响应

中奥陶世克拉道克阶(Caradocian)在全球范围内为海侵期,体现在全球范围广泛的黑色页岩沉积及笔石动物的大规模繁盛,湘黔地区这一时期地层发育完全,从碳酸盐台地-斜坡-外陆架盆地均有不同程度的响应。在台地区表现为碳酸盐台地的淹没,斜坡区表现为碳酸盐重力流及黑色页岩、粉砂岩沉积,形成碳酸盐与陆源碎屑的混合沉积,而在外陆架盆地区表现为黑色岩系大规模发育及笔石的大量繁盛。     

Accounting for Estimation Optimality Criteria in Simulated Annealing

This paper presents both estimation and simulation as optimization problems that differ in the optimization criteria, minimization of a local expected loss for estimation and reproduction of global statistics (semivariogram, histogram) for simulation. An intermediate approach is proposed whereby an initial random image is gradually modified using simulated annealing so as to better match both local and global constraints. The relative weights of the different constraints in the objective function allow the user to strike a balance between smoothness of the estimated map and reproduction of spatial variability by simulated maps. The procedure is illustrated using a synthetic dataset. The proposed approach is shown to enhance the influence of observations on neighboring simulated values, hence the final realizations appear to be better conditioned to the sample information. It also produces maps that are more accurate (smaller prediction error) than stochastic simulation ignoring local constraints, but not as accurate as E-type estimation. Flow simulation results show that accounting for local constraints yields, on average, smaller errors in production forecast than a smooth estimated map or a simulated map that reproduces only the histogram and semivariogram. The approach thus reduces the risk associated with the use of a single realization for forecasting and planning.     

Flow Simulations To Evaluate Upscaling of Permeability

We study upscaling of the permeability for porous media flow on a grid with one million blocks. The purpose is to illustrate how flow simulations can be used to evaluate upscaling methods.     

泥石流的结构两相流模型：I.理论

泥石流的运动既有类似于固液两相流之处,又在很程度上不同于固液两相流。在泥石流滨汉体模型,膨胀体模型,粘塑体模型及颗粒流模型研究的基础上,本文提出了一种新的模型－泥石流的“结构两相流模型”这种模具有以往各类模型的优点,同时又便于对不同类型的泥石流进行描述,在理论上,它比现行各类模型更加严密,在应用上,它较现行各类模式更加方便,能够适用于更加广泛的各类条件,泥石流的结构两相流模型中将现行模型的作为特例     

坡面流与坡面侵蚀动力过程研究的最新进展*

在回顾了坡面流及坡面侵蚀过程研究的简史与现状的基础之上,全面总结了坡面流形成机理及其模式、坡面流水动力学特性、坡面侵蚀动力过程及其侵蚀产沙模型诸方面研究的最新进展,并对坡面流各要素分析及坡面小侵蚀陡坎的形成等进行了一些探讨。最后,提出了坡面流及坡面侵蚀过程研究中存在的主要问题及未来展望。     

珠江三角洲近期水沙分配的变化及其影响与对策

近20多年，珠江三角洲西江与北江的水沙分配发生了重大变化，相当于增多了一条北江的水量和沙量向东输送，导致珠江三角洲腹心地区洪峰水位异常壅高，河道由淤转冲，口门水域面积缩小，滩涂面积扩展，伶仃洋尤其是西岸的淤积加速，对港口和航道有较大影响。     

Particle fabric in a small, type-2 ignimbrite flow unit (Laacher See, Germany) and implications for emplacement dynamics

 Ignimbrites of the 13-ka Upper Laacher See Tephra were deposited from small, highly concentrated, moderately fluidized pyroclastic flows. Their unconsolidated nature, and the prominence of accidental Devonian slate fragments, make these ignimbrites ideal for clast fabric studies. The upper flow unit of ignimbrite M14 has characteristics typical of a type-2 ignimbrite. Layer 2a and the lower part of layer 2b of the flow unit have strong, upstream-inclined a[p] fabrics (a[p] means long particle axes parallel to flow direction). Only clasts with a/b axial ratios of 2.5 or greater preserve good a[p] fabrics, whereas the a–b planes of flat fragments dip upstream irrespective of axial ratio. The a-axis fabric becomes weaker, flatter, and more girdle-like in the upper half of layer 2b. At one locality the a-axis fabric appears to rotate 40° up through the flow unit, suggesting either shear decoupling of different levels in the moving flow or unsteadiness effects in a flow depositing progressively at its base. The existence of similarly strong a[p] fabrics in layer 2a and the lower half of layer 2b appears inconsistent with the common interpretation that ignimbrite flow units are emplaced as a plug of essentially non-shearing material (layer 2b) on a thin shear layer (layer 2a), and that the entire flow freezes en masse to form the deposit. The data suggest that, if the flow froze en masse, it was shearing pervasively through at least half its thickness. Another possibility is that the flow unit aggraded progressively from the base up, and that the fabrics record the integrated history of shear directions and intensities immediately above the bed throughout the duration of deposition. Received: 13 February 1997 / Accepted: 4 April 1998     

MAXIMUM INFORMATION ENTROPY THEORY OF EFFLUENT BAND IN OPEN CHANNEL UNIFORM FLOW

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