宜昌市龙潭河阶地的沉积特征及其环境指示

河流阶地可以记录河流所属流域的气候变化信息。笔者以宜昌市龙潭河两岸阶地作为研究对象,选取4个典型河流断面横剖面,利用沉积学、环境地球化学等研究方法,对龙潭河阶地的沉积特征及其环境指示开展了野外调查研究。运用熔片法-X射线荧光光谱法(XRF)对阶地沉积物进行物质成分特征分析;选取化学蚀变指数、风化淋溶系数、硅铝率和硅铝铁率4个指标来具体分析龙潭河地区的环境演化过程;并且运用多元统计方法对分析结果进行解释。研究结果显示：宜昌市龙潭河普遍发育四级阶地,东岸形成侵蚀阶地,西岸基座阶地广泛分布;通过分析阶地沉积物化学组分之间的相关关系,可以看出沉积物的性质和物质组成相似,具有富铝铁化和较强化学淋蚀的特征,符合龙潭河地区的温暖湿润化学风化环境。测试结果和多元统计方法的结论都反映出龙潭河流域内第四纪以来气候湿热程度趋于减弱,丰富了宜昌地区河流阶地研究的基础数据,在一定程度上反映了流域内沉积物形成时期的自然地理条件和古气候特点。     

打造我国主体能源(煤炭)升级版面临的主要问题与对策探讨

富油煤是集煤、油、气属性于一身的煤基油气资源,针对国内“相对富煤、缺油、少气”的能源禀赋,开发富油煤对缓解我国紧张的油气资源供应局势、实现煤炭的绿色开发和低碳利用具有重要的意义。以富油煤为主要关键词,通过CNKI和Web of Science数据库检索自1985—2023年底已公开发表的学术论文和专利,统计分析富油煤的发展历程和主要研究内容,梳理了富油煤研究的热点方向与前沿领域,展望了未来发展趋势。研究发现：富油煤热解、赋存特征及沉积环境、孔隙和分子结构、焦油产率预测、微生物降解、资源潜力及开发利用是当前富油煤研究热点内容。富油煤含有热解可生成油气的富氢结构,如脂肪结构的侧链与桥键及缩合芳香核周缘的弱键结构;富油煤多形成于陆相沉积物供应稳定、气候温暖湿润、强还原条件下的沉积环境;孔隙结构影响富油煤的热解反应效率、焦油析出和油气运移,而分子结构(主要为脂肪族氢含量和富氢弱键)决定了富油煤的生油潜力;富油煤通过微生物的水解、发酵、产氢产乙酸和产甲烷4个阶段向油气转化。随着地质选区技术瓶颈突破及多学科交叉与融合,富油煤富油性评价指标与预测方法、富氢组分的来源与定量判识、原位开发围岩封闭性及其评价方法、微生物降解与热解联作技术将成为今后研究的热点方向。研究成果为厘清当前富油煤的研究方向和未来走势奠定了基础。

     

Bayesian Mixture Modelling in Geochronology via Markov Chain Monte Carlo

In this paper we develop a generalized statistical methodology for characterizing geochronological data, represented by a distribution of single mineral ages. The main characteristics of such data are the heterogeneity and error associated with its collection. The former property means that mixture models are often appropriate for their analysis, in order to identify discrete age components in the overall distribution. We demonstrate that current methods (e.g., Sambridge and Compston, 1994) for analyzing such problems are not always suitable due to the restriction of the class of component densities that may be fitted to the data. This is of importance, when modelling geochronological data, as it is often the case that skewed and heavy tailed distributions will fit the data well. We concentrate on developing (Bayesian) mixture models with flexibility in the class of component densities, using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods to fit the models. Our method allows us to use any component density to fit the data, as well as returning a probability distribution for the number of components. Furthermore, rather than dealing with the observed ages, as in previous approaches, we make the inferences of components from the “true” ages, i.e., the ages had we been able to observe them without measurement error. We demonstrate our approach on two data sets: uranium-lead (U-Pb) zircon ages from the Khorat basin of northern Thailand and the Carrickalinga Head formation of southern Australia.     

利用探索式空间数据解析北京城市空间经济发展模式

城市经济空间结构是城市研究和城市规划基本内容之一。利用其探索式空间数据分析方法,根据1949-2004年企业登记就业数据在邮政区尺度上对北京市1949年以来城市空间经济发展进行了探讨。基于空间邻近矩阵和不同距离矩阵的Global Moran'sI和Local Moran'sI都表明解放后市区并没有明显的经济集聚,50多年来空间经济发展模式几乎都是以市区为核心集聚式发展;尽管郊区一些重要乡镇呈现出发展势头,但几乎没有和周边地区形成互动关系,而是和市中心或其它地区保持较强的联系。分析还表明,北京地区经济的空间相互作用在计划经济时代大体在60km以内,市场经济时代(1983-2002年)提高到75km。北京经济空间模式经历了以下6个阶段:①1957-1982年,中心集中发展;②1983-1987年,沿京津廊道空间组织;③1988-1992年,北部为主的城市中心发展;④1993-1997年,城市中心集中扩张模式;⑤1998-2002年,城市中心填充发展;⑥2002-2004年,出现了城市空心化结构态势,空间经济组织面临新一轮重组。     

PRODUCTIVITY OF AMERICAN PH.D.-GRANTING DEPARTMENTS OF GEOGRAPHY

Reviews of geographic software in this article:

DEMO-GRAPHICS: WORLD POPULATIONS AND PROJECTIONS.

ESP

GAUSS.

CEMODEL S. Damus

LIMDEP. William H. Greene

MICROSTAT 4.1

OTIS

PCIPS. (Personal Computer Image Processing System). H.J. Meyers and R. Bernstein.

REGRESSION ANALYSIS OF TIME SERIES (RATS)

SPSS/PC+

URBAN DATA MANAGEMENT SOFTWARE (UDMS)     

Cryoplanation Terrace Orientation in Alaska

Exploratory analysis of the orientation of 303 cryoplanation terraces in interior and western Alaska lends tentative support to the hypothesis that these landforms develop through localized erosion related to spatial patterns of snow accumulation and ablation. Cryoplanation terraces exhibit orientation patterns similar to those of cirques in several regions of Alaska. In climatically continental east-central Alaska, cryoplanation terraces are developed preferentially on north-facing slopes and the frequency distribution of terrace orientation is similar to but less concentrated than that of glacial cirques. In south-central Alaska, both cirques and terraces have bimodal frequency distributions corresponding to generalized wind patterns that predominated during Pleistocene glaciations. In western Alaska, terraces and cirques have relatively diffuse patterns without preferred orientation. No clear relation is apparent between the orientation of cryoplanation terraces and their size or elevation, although this may be an artifact of the current inability to differentiate terraces by age. Data from the Eagle Summit/Mastodon Dome area in interior Alaska indicate a possible relation between snowline elevation and the concentration of terrace orientation.     

Fractal geometry of faults in relation to the 12 October 1992 Cairo earthquake

The aim of this study is to demonstrate how the 12 October 1992 Cairo earthquake relates to the spatial geometry of the northern Egyptian fault systems. A box-counting algorithm was used, in a focused down approach (from regional to local scales) to analyze the fractal dimensions of the existing faults. The results indicate that these faults display fractal geometries that are self-similar over two to three orders of magnitude. It is shown that the northwest-southeast (Northern Red Sea) trending fault system has the lowest fractal dimension value. Coincidentally, this fault trend is the one that the fault plane solution shows to be active.