泰斯公式性态分析与误差估计方法

主要目的是分析在原始数据具有随机误差的情况下,利用泰斯公式进行正逆问题计算时,公式本身对误差的传递作用,即对泰斯公式的性态进行分析。研究中采用了函数对数据随机误差传递作用的随机性分析方法。通过较为简单的数学推导,建立了泰斯公式正逆计算问题的原始数据与计算结果所具有随机误差的统计参数之间的近似关系式,并推导出了两类计算问题的条件数。指出在u值较小的情况下,计算_的问题属于"病态"的;在u=0.438点及其附近,计算T的问题为"病态"的;在u值和_的相对误差与T的相对误差的比值很大的情况下,正问题为"病态"的。其它条件下的计算问题属于"良态"的。据此建议利用抽水试验后期资料计算T值,利用前期资料计算_值。另一方面,还提出了在原始数据的误差为已知的情况下,进行误差估计的方法。      

江西德兴斑岩铜矿床某些元素的扩散和渗滤作用

以江西德兴斑岩铜矿床之细矿脉为研究对象,文章介绍了细矿脉剖面采集及研究的工作方法,着重讨论了自矿脉至围岩元素的空间展布特征。成矿元素Cu、Ag、S和控矿元素Fe、Rb、K都属确定性分布型。对照元素的扩散和渗滤理想模式,得到如下认识:在成矿成晕的地球化学过程中,成矿元素Cu、Ag、S以及Fe以扩散作用为主,控矿元素K和Rb以渗滤作用为主。     

海水热力学方程TEOS-10及其与海水状态方程EOS-80的比较

新的2010年海水热力学方程TEOS-10采用1990年国际温标以及考虑世界大洋海水组成空间差异的绝对盐度,与旧的1980年海水状态方程EOS-80相比,具有更高的准确度和更广的适用范围,能够直接计算包括熵、焓、热容量在内的旧方程无法计算的热力学变量,将给海洋学研究带来重要的影响。借助气候态平均数据计算的结果表明,新旧方程计算的密度之差,在全球大多数海域可超过10-2kg/m3。在赤道以北的太平洋和印度洋海域,包括中国东海和南海的深海区域,该差别尤为显著,在精度要求较高的研究中必须予以考虑。新方程对密度计算的这一修正主要归因于其首次提出的绝对盐度,考虑了包括中性溶质在内的所有溶质的作用,弥补了实用盐标的缺陷。新旧方程计算冰点等其他物理量也有相应的修正。应尽快推广应用TEOS-10以及绝对盐度,充分发挥其对海洋学发展的推动作用。     

水平井开采煤层气藏生产动态计算新数学模型

基于朗格缪尔模型、菲克第二扩散定律和达西定律,综合考虑重力和气体压缩效应的影响,推导出描述煤层气和水渗流规律的基本偏微分方程组(并给出定解条件),且利用有限差分法对该数学模型进行了数值求解。计算结果表明,该模型能够有效模拟煤层气水平井的生产动态。通过对比是否考虑非稳态扩散和气体压缩效应时不同裂隙渗透率下的产气动态可知,忽略非稳态扩散和压缩效应,将人为缩短达到气体峰值产量的时间,增大产气峰值;将降低气体膨胀能,低估气井后期产能。煤岩裂隙渗透率越高,气井产能受渗透率回归效应影响越大,峰值产量的持续时间越短且产量下降速度快。因此在煤层气藏开采过程中,应根据气井的产气动态调整井底流压,建立合理的储层压力系统,以降低渗透率回归效应带来的不利影响。      

涪陵江东区块三维水平井优快钻井技术 ——以焦页91平台为例

涪陵二期建产区地质构造比一期更加复杂,目的层埋深更深,水平段倾角变化较大,这些客观因素造成钻井施工困难,钻井周期普遍延长。焦页91平台是部署在二期江东区块西南部的边缘井,地质条件复杂,钻井工程施工难度大。本文深入分析了该平台的第1口井焦页912HF井施工过程中遇到的复杂情况以及造成钻井周期长的主要原因,在后续2口井的施工过程中,针对第1口井出现的问题,采取改进堵漏措施,钻头、螺杆优选,优化井眼轨道,配套提速工具,提高钻井液性能,使用旋转导向工具等技术措施,精细施工,取得了良好的效果,钻头行程和机械钻速大幅提升,钻井周期大大缩短,为涪陵二期江东区块钻井施工提供了经验。     

Electrodynamic Disaggregation: Does it Affect Apatite Fission-Track and (U-Th)/He Analyses?

Apatite fission-track and (U-Th)/He analyses require the liberation of intact idiomorphic apatite grains from rock samples. While routinely being carried out by mechanical methods, electrodynamic disaggregation (ED) offers an alternative approach. The high-voltage discharges produced during the ED process create localised temperature peaks (10000 K) along a narrow plasma channel. In apatite, such high temperatures could potentially reduce the length of fission tracks, which start to anneal at temperatures > 60 °C, and could also enhance He diffusion, which becomes significant at 30–40 °C over geological time scales. A comparison of fission-track analyses and (U-Th)/He ages of apatites prepared both by mechanical (jaw crusher, disk mill) and ED processing provides a way of determining whether heating during the latter method has any significant effect. Apatites from three samples of different geological settings (an orthogneiss from Madagascar, the Fish Canyon Tuff, and a muscovite-gneiss from Greece) yielded statistically identical track length distributions compared to samples prepared mechanically. Additionally, (U-Th)/He ages of apatites from a leucogranite from Morocco prepared by both methods were indistinguishable. These first results indicated that during electrodynamic disaggregation apatite crystals were not heated enough to partially anneal the fission tracks or induce significant diffusive loss of He.     

The relationship between apparent equilibrium temperature and closure temperature with application to oxygen isotope geospeedometry

Oxygen isotope fractionation between coexisting minerals in slowly cooled rocks conveys information about their cooling history. By using the fast grain boundary （FGB） model to simulate closed-system diffusive ex- change of oxygen isotopes between coexisting minerals, I show that the apparent equilibrium temperatures （Tae） by the mineral pair with the largest isotopic fractionation （PLIF） always lies between the closure temperatures （To） of those two minerals. Therefore, when the rate of oxygen diffusion and hence Tc for the PLIF chance to be comparable （such as in the case of quartz and magnetite）, Tae will serve as a good approximation of To regardless of variation in mineral proportions. The specialty of the PLIF in constraining Tac within their Tc range can be generalized to other stable isotope systems and element partitioning. By approximating Tc with Tac and inverting Dodson＇s equation, the cooling rate of plutonic or metamorphic rocks can be inferred.     

安溪雷暴24h潜势预报模型研究

利用安溪县国家气象站2004年至2015年的雷暴观测资料，分析了安溪县雷暴的气候特征及环境背景分类。并根据雷暴活动特征及雷暴天气产生的环境场条件，诊断和分析T639数值模式输出产品与雷暴观测资料的相关性，对41个相关因子做显著性检验，挑选相关性较好的9个因子做分析。对9个预报因子进行0,1化处理并进行逐步回归，最后选取850hPa垂直速度、850hpa假相当位温、700hPa温度、K指数、850hPa比湿等5个因子，建立雷暴潜势预报方程。利用2015年至2017年T639模式资料进行回代分析评估，发现当雷暴概率预报Y值>0.6时，雷暴预报准确率最高，达85.60%，且漏报率、空报率很低。再以2018年T639数值模式资料对雷暴潜势概率进行计算评估，准确率为83.84%，漏报率为5.75%，空报率为10.41%。由此可见，基于T639数值产品的雷暴潜势方程可以为安溪县雷暴天气的预警预报和防雷减灾服务提供客观的参考和依据。     

数值天气预报中的两类反问题及一种数值解法──理想试验

针对数值预报中产生误差的两个来源提出了数值预报中存在着两类反问题。并在一维的非线性平流扩散方程上，用共轭方程的解法对提出的两类反问题作出了理想场的数值试验。试验结果表明，这种解反问题的方法非常有效。它利用＂观测资料＂所包含的时间演变的信息确定出了方程的初值或方程中误差订正项的空间分布状况。而且无论对＂观测资料＂的超定还是欠定都能得出较有意义的结果。因而有很大的利用前景。     

The Role of Planetary Boundary-Layer Parameterizations in the Air Quality of an Urban Area with Complex Topography

The effect of different planetary boundary-layer (PBL) parameterization schemes on the spatial distribution of atmospheric pollution over the complex topography of the greater Athens area is investigated. Four PBL schemes originally implemented in a numerical meteorological model and a fifth one simulating the urban effect are examined. Two different atmospheric conditions are analyzed; a typical summer and a typical winter pollution episode. The relative importance of chemical and physical processes of the pollution predictions is discussed using process analysis. It is revealed that, for primary pollutants, a local scheme seems more adequate to represent the maximum observed concentrations while, completely different in structure, a non-local scheme reproduces the mean observed values in the basin. Concerning secondary pollutants, peak concentration differences, due to the different PBL schemes, are smoothed out. Nevertheless, the PBL scheme selection shapes the horizontal and the vertical extension of maximum values. The non-local and semi non-local schemes are superior to the others, favouring strong vertical mixing and transport towards the surface. The stronger turbulence accommodated effectively by the semi non-local urban scheme enhances ozone production along the sea-breeze axis and preserves the high ozone concentrations during the nighttime hours in the urban core.