基于复杂性科学的绿洲城镇化演进理论探讨

基于复杂性科学,引入涌现、协同、“吸引盆”等概念和模型,从涌现生成、协同维生、临界相变三个维度构建绿洲城镇化演进的理论框架。对绿洲城镇化的生成、演化和转型的过程与机理进行系统剖析,并据此对诺瑟姆曲线进行新的解读。研究表明：① 绿洲城镇是以人为核心的绿洲地域系统在多时空维度上的结构和功能的整体涌现现象,涌现形成的条件包括生成主体、自组织与受限生成机制、环境策略;② 竞争与协同机制维持了绿洲城镇化系统的生命活力与进化稳定,是系统演化的根本动力,系统不同层级具有不同的协同维生机制,根据协同学和耗散结构理论构建的绿洲城镇化演进的协同度和有序度可以识别系统演化方向;③ 绿洲城镇化过程实质上也是系统的自组织临界相变,该过程是一个渐变与突变、有序与混沌、稳态与非稳态的辩证统一;④ 时空间的正负反馈机制使绿洲城镇化复杂性与有序性不断提高,且不断向自组织临界态靠近,城镇化系统外在表现为活力与多样性增强。     

The job of the river

Earth scientists have traditionally conceptualized rivers and streams as geomorphic machines, whose role is to transfer sediment and to sculpt the landscape. Steady‐state relationships between sediment supply and transport capacity have traditionally been considered normative in fluvial systems. Rivers are hydrological entities, however, whose function is to redistribute excess moisture on land. The geomorphic work of the river – erosion, transport, deposition, etc. – is a byproduct of the hydrological job of the river. There is therefore no reason to expect any particular relationship between sediment supply and transport capacity to develop as a normative condition in fluvial systems. The apparent steady‐state equilibrium slope adjustments of rivers are a byproduct of four basic phenomena: (1) hydraulic selection, which favors channels and branching networks over other flux patterns; (2) water flows along the available path of least resistance; (3) energy dissipation; and (4) finite relaxation times. Recognizing converging trends of stream power or slope and sediment supply as common (but far from inevitable) side effects rather than self‐regulation has important implications for interpreting and predicting fluvial systems, and for river management and restoration. Such trends are variable, transient, contingent, and far from universal. Where they occur, they are an emergent byproduct of fundamental physical mechanisms, not a goal function or attractor state. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Paleolimnology of three Jackman Sound Lakes,Southern Baffin Island,based on down-core diatom analyses

Three lakes, informally named Lakes Inqua, Instaar and Mercer, from the Jackman Sound area in Southern Baffin Island were cored. The elevation of the three lakes are 36 m above high tide (aht), 10 m aht and 1 m aht. The cores from Lakes Inqua and Mercer penetrated the marine/lacustrine boundary; the core from Lake Instaar is estimated to have come within ca. 5 cm of this boundary. In addition, grab samples and water samples were retrieved from the lakes. The cores have been ¹⁴C dated (AMS). Emergence of the three lake basins from the sea occurred approximately 8650 BP (Lake Inqua), 8630 BP (Lake Instaar) and 7900 BP (Lake Mercer, averaged date). This suggests a very rapid rate (>5 m/100 yrs) of glacio-isostatic rebound for this area. Down-core analyses of diatom assemblages indicate that the paleolimnology in the three lakes was similar. The diatom analyses suggest a change in climate between approximately 8000 and 6000 BP, which is also reflected in the marine record from the same area, and the onset of the neoglacial period around 4500 to 3800 BP. A decrease in diatom-inferred pH is evident in the lakes' development and can probably be related to the general change of the watershed vegetation with time.