Textural analysis and modelling of a flood deposit: River severn,U.K.

Samples of sediment collected from the Severn floodplain between Worcester and Gloucester following the severe flooding in January and February 1990, were analysed for their grain size distribution. The results show that most sand was deposited within 20 m of the channel bank, but that fine sand may contribute to flood sediment across the width of the floodplain. James' (1985) numerical model of overbank sedimentation attempts to predict the transfer of sediment to the floodplain during flooding. Geometrical and hydraulic data relating to the Severn flood are used as input for a computer program of James' (1985) model. The pattern of sediment concentrations predicted by the model was compared with that obtained from statistical analysis of the flood sediment. The patterns were found to be similar, so James' (1985) model was considered to predict in a relative sense the distribution of flood sediment.     

我国日照时数和总辐射的空间分布场

运用多项式回归分析和双随机样本检验,模拟日照时数和总辐射及其影响因子(可照时间、总云量和天文辐射、日照百分率)年值和1月值、7月值的三度空间分布场,取得了满意结果。这可应用在无测站地区,仅凭经纬度和海拔估算出上述气候要素值,估算的平均相对误差大多在5％以下(最好的达0.3‰)。     

刘家坪杂岩体的岩石特征及时代

刘家坪杂岩体出露于扬子准地台西北边缘。该区扬子期岩浆活动,早期为刘家坪组海底喷发的中～酸性火山岩系,晚期先后侵入有角闪辉长岩—石英闪长岩—斜长花岗岩—辉绿岩脉。岩浆岩具有幔源岩浆及造山带地区火山岩的特征。据震旦系覆于刘家坪杂岩体之上,其底部砂砾岩的砾石中有杂岩体成分,以及杂岩体侵入于同位素年龄值为6.43亿年的刘家坪组之中,认为刘家坪杂岩体时代为前震旦纪。     

Risk assessment for the Yucca Mountain high-level nuclear waste repository site: Estimation of volcanic disruption

In this article, we model the volcanism near the proposed nuclear waste repository at Yucca Mountain, Nevada, U.S.A. by estimating the instantaneous recurrence rate using a nonhomogeneous Poisson process with Weibull intensity and by using a homogeneous Poisson process to predict future eruptions. We then quantify the probability that any single eruption is disruptive in terms of a (prior) probability distribution, since not every eruption would result in disruption of the repository. Bayesian analysis is performed to evaluate the volcanic risk. Based on the Quaternary data, a 90% confidence interval for the instantaneous recurrence rate near the Yucca Mountain site is (1.85×10^–6/yr, 1.26×10^–5/yr). Also, using-these confidence bounds, the corresponding 90% confidence interval for the risk (probability of at least one disruptive eruption) for an isolation time of 10⁴ years is (1.0×10^–3, 6.7×10^–3), if it is assumed that the intensity remains constant during the projected time frame.     

青藏高原地面热力异常对夏季江淮流域持续暴雨形成作用的数值试验

本文采用OSU-AGCM大气环流模式，对青藏高原下垫面热力异常与夏季江淮流域暴雨形成的关系进行了数值试验。模拟结果表明，青藏高原下垫面热力状况的异常对东亚环流形势及云量分布异常的影响是形成1991年夏季江淮流域持续性降水的重要原因之一。青藏高原异常热力强迫还可以引起大范围云量的异常分布和云量异常区类似于二维Rossby波列没大圆路径传播的特征。     

用CAPPI和PPI资料测定区域降水量精度比较

应用上海中心气象台７１４数字化天气雷达的体积扫描资料所得的不同高度上的ＣＡＰＰＩ资料和低仰角时ＰＰＩ资料。估算区域降水量并得到降水量分布形势。然后采用平均校准法进行了校准，最后又与用雨量计网测量的区域降水量及其分布形势作了比较，得到一些有意义的结果。     

云南双沟变质橄榄岩中蛇纹石的稀土元素空间分布

本文探讨变质橄榄岩的ＬＲＥＥ富集型及Ｕ型分布的ＲＥＥ球粒陨石模型，是橄榄石固有的还是后期蚀变形成的。并寻求复原蚀变前橄榄石的ＲＥＥ丰度及型式。我们用蛇纹石颗粒代表蚀变后的橄榄石，用分选法和化学分层剥离法对样品进行予处理。用中子活化分析（ＮＡＡ）手段进行了测试。结果表明：分选法确定了ＬＲＥＥ的主要赋存载体是蛇纹石。分层剥离最后内核的ＲＥＥ丰度及模型，可近似地作为原来（未蚀变前）橄榄石的ＲＥＥ丰度及模型。     

四川盆地川西坳陷高异常地层压力分布特征

本文通过分析川西坳陷２０多个含气构造的主要地层压力资料，对川坳陷高异常地层压力的分布特征有了一定的认识。认为川西高异常地层压力在纵向层位上主要分布于侏罗系和上三叠统，压力分段明显，相同的力段在不同的构造既不等时也不等深；在平面上高异常地层压力分布广泛，超高压区刚分布于川西北地区，并形成两个超高压中心，整个高异常地层压力的分布虽然总体上基本一致，但在不同层位，不同时期也存在着差异。