中国对钢铁资源的长期需求预测

钢铁工业是我国的支柱产业,对国内钢铁的长期需求进行科学预测,可以为我国经济发展的战略发展进行科学决策提供重要依据。由于我国铁矿资源不能满足国民经济发展需求,对钢铁需求的预测,不仅对我国钢铁工业布局和全球产业链配置具有重要参考价值,更对我国企业海外矿山投资具有重要指导意义。本文通过模型组合预测了"十二五"期间我国对钢的需求及其供需平衡,抛砖以引业内外人士高水平长期预测之玉。     

平面不对称结构非弹性地震反应分析的平扭耦联Bouc-Wen模型

综合考虑强度退化、刚度退化、捏拢效应等典型滞回特性的影响,建立了双向地震作用下平面不对称结构非弹性地震动力响应分析的平扭耦联Bouc-Wen模型.该模型采用圆形屈服面来描述双向抗侧恢复力之间的耦合效应,而采用锥体或球体屈服面来描述双向抗侧和抗扭恢复力之间的耦合效应,并结合69条强震记录,定量地分析了平扭耦联效应对平面不...     

河北临城水资源现状分析及节水对策

临城县属于缺水地区,随着社会经济的发展,需水量急剧增加,供需矛盾日益加剧.水资源可持续利用问题亟待解决.农业是用水大户,为实现水资源的可持续利用,论述农业节水几种途径及生活、工业节水的途径,合理开发利用水资源.     

菏泽市加强“双保工程”建设的几点做法

城乡建设用地增减挂钩试点和指标置换政策是国土资源部统筹城乡发展的一项重大创新举措,该文从菏泽市实际出发,对严格土地用途管制,严格规划计划,严控建设用地规模,严格执行国家产业政策和供地政策,落实好城乡建设用地增减挂钩试点和指标置换政策提出自己的见解。     

Environmental capacity of chemical oxygen demand in the Bohai Sea: modeling and calculation

A three-dimensional advection-diffusion model coupled with the degradation process is established for describing the transport of chemical oxygen demand (COD). Comparison of the simulated distribution of COD at the surface in the Bohai Sea in August, 2001 with field observations, shows that the model simulates the dataset reasonably well. The Laizhou Bay, Bohai Bay, and Liaodong Bay were contaminated heavily near shore. Based on the optimal discharge flux method, the Environmental Capacity (EC) and allocate...     

基于灰色自记忆模型的城市月需水量预测

建立了以灰色微分方程为动力核的自记忆模型,并首次应用于城市月需水量预测.先将具有季节性特征的实测历史数据通过季节指数法获得相对平滑的序列,再用所建灰色自记忆模型进行模拟、预测.研究表明,灰色自记忆模型建模方法简单且模拟和预测精度较为满意,平均相对误差为5.74％,灰色GM(1,1)模型预测平均相对误差是8.77％,其精...     

城市化背景下滇池流域生态系统健康重建思考

在分析城市化背景下滇池流域生态系统健康内涵与生态重建途径基础上,从城市布局与流域自然生态格局的关系,城市用水与流域生态用水的关系,以及城市污染控制与流域环境承载力的关系,分析城市化对于滇池流域生态系统健康的影响,提出城市化背景下滇池流域生态系统健康重建主要策略:(1)优化城市布局形态,恢复流域生态功能;(2)遵循区域地带规律,保障流域生态用水;(3)加强控制措施整合,促进流域水质达标。     

Traffic accessibility and the coupling degree of ecosystem services supply and demand in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River urban agglomeration,China

Journal of Geographical Sciences - The spatial relationships between traffic accessibility and supply and demand (S&D) of ecosystem services (ESs) are essential for the formulation of...     

Estimation of hysteretic energy demand using concepts of modal pushover analysis

Hysteretic energy dissipation in a structure during an earthquake is the key factor, besides maximum displacement, related to the amount of damage in it. This energy demand can be accurately computed only through a nonlinear time‐history analysis of the structure subjected to a specific earthquake ground acceleration. However, for multi‐story structures, which are usually modeled as multi‐degree of freedom (MDOF) systems, this analysis becomes computation intensive and time consuming and is not suitable for adopting in seismic design guidelines. An alternative method of estimating hysteretic energy demand on MDOF systems is presented here. The proposed method uses multiple ‘generalized’ or ‘equivalent’ single degree of freedom (ESDOF) systems to estimate hysteretic energy demand on an MDOF system within the context of a ‘modal pushover analysis’. This is a modified version of a previous procedure using a single ESDOF system. Efficiency of the proposed procedure is tested by comparing energy demands based on this method with results from nonlinear dynamic analyses of MDOF systems, as well as estimates based on the previous method, for several ground motion scenarios. Three steel moment frame structures, of 3‐, 9‐, and 20‐story configurations, are selected for this comparison. Bias statistics that show the effectiveness of the proposed method are presented. In addition to being less demanding on the computation time and complexity, the proposed method is also suitable for adopting in design guidelines, as it can use response spectra for hysteretic energy demand estimation. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Pseudo‐dynamic test of a full‐scale CFT/BRB frame—Part II: Seismic performance of buckling‐restrained braces and connections

This paper is Part II of a two‐part paper describing a full‐scale 3‐story 3‐bay concrete‐filled tube (CFT)/buckling‐restrained braced frame (BRBF) specimen tested using psuedo‐dynamic testing procedures. The first paper described the specimen design, experiment, and simulation, whereas this paper focuses on the experimental responses of BRBs and BRB‐to‐gusset connections. This paper first evaluates the design of the gusset connections and the effects of the added edge stiffeners in improving the seismic performance of gusset connections. Test results suggest that an effective length factor of 2.0 should be considered for the design of the gusset plate without edge stiffeners. Tests also confirm that the cumulative plastic deformation (CPD) capacity of the BRBs adopted in the CFT/BRBF was lower than that found in typical component tests. The tests performed suggest that the reduction in the BRB CPD capacities observed in this full‐scale frame specimen could be due to the significant rotational demands imposed on the BRB‐to‐gusset joints. A simple method of computing such rotational demands from the frame inter‐story drift response demand is proposed. This paper also discusses other key experimental responses of the BRBs, such as effective stiffness, energy dissipation, and ductility demands. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.