Selection of regional historical rainfall time series as input to urban drainage simulations at ungauged locations

It has become established practice during the past 20 years to use high-resolution historical rainfall time series as input to hydrological model packages for detailed simulation of urban drainage systems. However, sufficiently long rain series are rarely available from the exact catchment in question and simulations are hence often based on available rain series from other locations. Extreme rainfall properties of importance to the performance of urban storm drainage systems vary significantly even in regions with only minor physiographic differences. Part of this variation can be explained by regional variations of the mean annual rainfall and the remaining statistical residue can be interpreted as statistical uncertainty.In Denmark, more than 75 high-resolution rain gauges are installed across a total area of 43,000 m. About 40 gauges had sufficiently long records to be included in a comprehensive national investigation where newly developed statistical regionalisation procedures were used to model the regional variation of extreme rainfalls. On this basis, a spreadsheet model was made available for estimation of extreme design rainfalls and the associated uncertainty at any location in the country. Statistics were furthermore computed to classify historical rainfall time series according to the developed regional model, and this makes it possible to assess the uncertainty related with using different historical rain series for simulations at ungauged locations.This research indicates that use of historical point rainfall data at ungauged locations introduces a significant uncertainty that is largely overlooked in today's practice. The engineering recommendation is to select historical rain series based on an evaluation of the local physiographic characteristics (e.g., the mean annual rainfall) and a (pre-defined) desired safety level of the simulations.     

松辽平原西部水文地质空间数据库建设方法

松辽平原西部地下水资源调查评价水文地质空间数据库应用MapGis软件作为图形工具平台,在建库过程中,遵循统一的建库标准和工作指南,进行属性数据库和空间数据库的建设.     

天津市高精度GPS地面沉降监测网数据处理中的若干技术问题探讨

本文以天津市区地面沉降GPS监测网为例,探讨了高精度GPS地面沉降监测网数据处理中的若干技术问题。研究表明,GPS数据处理软件、GPS监测网的框架基准、大气延迟改正和粗差对计算结果的精度有很大影响。在对GPS原始观测数据进行后处理时,只有对影响计算精度的各种误差源进行有效改正,GPS高程分量的精度才有可能达到毫米级,才能满足地面沉降监测的要求。     

Traveltime measurements from noise correlation: stability and detection of instrumental time-shifts

We test the feasibility of using Green's functions extracted from records of ambient seismic noise to monitor temporal changes in the Earth crust properties by repeated measurements at regional distances. We use about 11 yr of continuous recordings to extract surface waves between three pairs of stations in California. The correlations are computed in a moving 1-month window and we analyse the temporal evolution of measured interstation traveltimes. The comparison of the arrival times in the positive and negative correlation time of Rayleigh and Love waves allows us to separate time-shifts associated with any form of physical change in the medium, those resulting from clock drift or other instrumental errors, and those due to change in the localization of the noise sources. This separation is based on the principle of time symmetry. When possible, we perform our analysis in two different period bands: 5–10 and 10–20 s. The results indicate that significant instrumental time errors (0.5 s) are present in the data. These time-shifts can be measured and tested by closure relation and finally corrected independently of any velocity model. The traveltime series show a periodic oscillation that we interpret as the signature of the seasonal variation of the region of origin of the seismic noise. Between 1999 and 2005, the final arrival time fluctuations have a variance of the order of 0.01 s. This allows us to measure interstation traveltimes with errors smaller than 0.3 per cent of the interstation traveltime and smaller than 1 per cent of the used wave period. This level of accuracy was not sufficient to detect clear physical variation of crustal velocity during the considered 11 yr between the three stations in California. Such changes may be more easily detectable when considering pairs of stations more closely located to each other and in the vicinity of tectonically active faults or volcanoes.     

A partial least-squares regression approach to land use studies in the Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou region

In several LUCC studies, statistical methods are being used to analyze land use data. A problem using conventional statistical methods in land use analysis is that these methods assume the data to be statistically independent. But in fact, they have the tendency to be dependent, a phenomenon known as multicollinearity, especially in the cases of few observations. In this paper, a Partial Least-Squares (PLS) regression approach is developed to study relationships between land use and its influencing factors through a case study of the Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou region in China. Multicollinearity exists in the dataset and the number of variables is high compared to the number of observations. Four PLS factors are selected through a preliminary analysis. The correlation analyses between land use and in-fluencing factors demonstrate the land use character of rural industrialization and urbaniza-tion in the Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou region, meanwhile illustrate that the first PLS factor has enough ability to best describe land use patterns quantitatively, and most of the statistical relations derived from it accord with the fact. By the decreasing capacity of the PLS factors, the reliability of model outcome decreases correspondingly.     

化探资料在东海-新沂地区农业环境中的应用

利用1:20万区域化探资料及1:2万化探普查资料,通过对母质(岩)常量元素、微量元素、土壤中重金属元素的分布分配特征的研究,结合区内地下水化学类型的分布特点,阐述了东海-新沂地区土壤农业地质背景及土壤环境质量,并对1:20万区域化探圈出的异常地段中元素的改良处理提出了相应的建议,为农业生产和产业结构调整指明了方向.充分说明了地球化学探矿资料作为基础性的资料,除了为找矿服务以外,更能象基础地质图一样,服务于农业、工业、环境等各个领域.     

青藏高原北部成矿带划分

青藏高原北部地质构造复杂,成矿条件优越,金属矿产资源成群成带分布特征明显,研究程度相对较低。通过对1999年以来,在青藏高原北部空白区相继完成的1∶25万区域地质调查、1∶5万区域地质调查和一批1∶50万、1∶20万区域化探成果资料的综合研究,根据青藏高原北部金属矿产资源的时、空分布特征,结合区域物、化探资料和区域成矿地质背景,将青藏高原北部地区初步划分为3个级成矿带(域),5个级成矿带,9个级成矿带,对以后青藏高原北部地区地质矿产勘查评价工作具有十分重要的意义。     

A Parametric Approach for Dealing with Compositional Rounded Zeros

In this work, a parametric approach for replacing data below the detection limit, also known as rounded zeros, in compositional data sets is proposed. Compositional rounded zeros correspond to small proportions of some whole that cannot be reliably detected by the analytical instruments under given operating conditions. This kind of zeros appear frequently in the data collection process in geosciences. They must be treated in an adequate way before some multivariate analysis can be applied. Our procedure results from a modification of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm and is based on the additive log-ratio transformation. Its coherence with the nature of compositional data and with basic operations in the simplex sample space is checked. Using real data sets, we find that this approach improves other parametric and non-parametric techniques for compositional rounded zeros.