Figures of equilibrium in close binary systems

The equilibrium configurations of close binary systems are analyzed. The autogravitational, centrifugal and tidal potentials are expanded in Clairaut's coordinates. From the set of the total potential angular terms an integral equations system is derived. The reduction of them to ordinary differential equations and the determination of the boundary conditions allow a formulation of the problem in terms of a single variable.     

Wavelet analysis and applications to some dynamical systems

For about five years the wavelet transform technique has given interesting results in a great number of different fields such as mathematics, quantum mechanics, signal analysis and image processing, cluster analysis... The wavelet transform appears as a new time-frequency method which is particularly well-suited to detect and to localize discontinuities and scaling behaviours in signals. The main properties of the wavelet transform and its improvements over classical analyzing methods are summarized. Some results among the first applications to the dynamical systems are presented: solution of partial differential equations, fractal and turbulence characterization, and asteroid family determination from cluster analysis.     

Light Curve Analysis of Early-Type Overcontact Systems

A method is presented to include irradiation effects in the modeling of over-contact binaries. The Roche potential is numerically modified in a way to account for mechanical effects of the mutual irradiation of the two binary components. The efficiency of radiative interaction is parametrized by means of the fraction of radiative over gravitational forces for each component of the binary. The modified Roche geometry is implemented as binary model in an eclipse light curve solution code, which is based on the general Wilson–Devinney scheme. As an example the method is applied to the early-type over-contact system V606 Cen.     

Binary progenitors of Supernovae

Supernovae of both Type I (hydrogen-poor) and Type II (hydrogen-rich) can be expected to occur among binary stars. Among massive stars (>10 M•), the companion makes it more difficult for the primary to develop an unstable core of >1.4.M• while still retaining the extended, hydrogen-rich envelope needed to make a typical Type II light curve. Among 1–10 M• stars, on the other hand, a companion plays a vital role in currently popular models for Type I events, by transferring material to the primary after it has become a stable white dwarf, and so driving it to conditions where either core collapse or explosive nuclear burning will occur. Several difficulties (involving nucleosynthesis, numbers and lifetimes of progenitors, the mass-transfer mechanism,etc.) still exist in these models. Some of them are overcome by a recent, promising scenario in which the secondary also evolves to a degenerate configuration, and the two white dwarfs spiral together to produce a hydrogen-free explosion, long after single stars of the same initial masses have ceased to be capable of fireworks.     

高稳定度频率计的设计

介绍了一种高稳定度频率计。该频率计采用彩电副载频作为内时基并引进了单片微机系统，因此有很高的频率稳定度及准确度，各种辅助功能强。体积小，耗电省，尤其适用于野外条件下的频率测量和校准。     

Probability field for the post-processing of stochastic simulations

A combination of factorial kriging and probability field simulation is proposed to correct realizations resulting from any simulation algorithm for either too high nugget effect (noise) or poor histogram reproduction. First, a factorial kriging is done to filter out the noise from the noisy realization. Second, the uniform scores of the filtered realization are used as probability field to sample the local probability distributions conditional to the same dataset used to generate the original realization. This second step allows to restore the data variance. The result is a corrected realization which reproduces better target variogram and histogram models, yet honoring the conditioning data.     

集合预报最优ETKF初始扰动方法设计及其在暴雨中的应用

为改进集合转换卡尔曼滤波方法(Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter,ETKF)在初始扰动中离散度偏小的问题,考虑引入物理不确定性。使用初始时刻离散度检验两种ETKF初始扰动方案改进的程度,通过动力和水汽条件分析探求改进机制。利用WRF模式构建更新预报系统,选取2014年5月一次暴雨个例进行集合降水预报试验,通过ETKF方法设计两种不同的初始扰动方案。结果表明:在分析循环中引入多物理扰动的初始扰动方案(multi)相比单一物理过程的初始扰动方案(mono)在初始时刻离散度和模拟动力水汽条件以及降水评分上均有较大改进。初始扰动中multi的离散度相比mono整体更优,显然添加了多物理扰动方案的试验对结果有改进作用;在对两种方案的机理分析中,multi对于降水位置的明显改善主要取决于散度及水汽通量散度模拟能力的提高;在离散度分析中,multi方案在强对流区域的改进效果比在整个区域中的更好,而对各变量的离散度和均方根误差之比相当,说明集合预报系统的合理性;对各量级预报结果评分显示,multi方案均呈现较好表现能力。     

Impact of Perturbation Schemes on the Ensemble Prediction in a Coupled Lorenz Model

Based on a simple coupled Lorenz model, we investigate how to assess a suitable initial perturbation scheme for ensemble forecasting in a multiscale system involving slow dynamics and fast dynamics. Four initial perturbation approaches are used in the ensemble forecasting experiments: the random perturbation(RP), the bred vector(BV), the ensemble transform Kalman filter(ETKF), and the nonlinear local Lyapunov vector(NLLV) methods. Results show that,regardless of the method used, the ensemble ave...     

Multi-scale Incremental Analysis Update Scheme and Its Application to Typhoon Mangkhut (2018) Prediction

In the traditional incremental analysis update(IAU) process, all analysis increments are treated as constant forcing in a model’s prognostic equations over a certain time window. This approach effectively reduces high-frequency oscillations introduced by data assimilation. However, as different scales of increments have unique evolutionary speeds and life histories in a numerical model, the traditional IAU scheme cannot fully meet the requirements of short-term forecasting for the damping of hig...     

宽城台定点形变气压干扰小波分析及干扰排除

通过小波分解对宽城台定点形变仪器受气压干扰的典型事件进行分析,得出气压干扰在不同频段对不同仪器的干扰特征,并通过小波阈值去噪对各测项受气压干扰的观测数据进行干扰排除,取得较好的效果。