基于2014～～2017年Ka毫米波雷达数据分析北京地区云宏观分布特征

本文利用2014年1月至2017年12月Ka毫米波雷达数据对北京地区云宏观特征进行统计分析。云出现率方面，4年平均值约36.3%；冬季最低，夏季最大；月出现率值9月最大，12月最小；出现率日变化有季节差异，春夏两季呈现中午（11:00，北京时间，下同）开始逐步升高至下午17:00后逐步下降的特点，增高幅度大于15%；冬、秋两季日变化特征不显著。高度方面，4年平均云底高约4.9 km，平均云顶高约7.2 km；云顶高和云底高的月变化特征明显，从年初1月开始逐步上升，在6月达到峰值，而后下降到12月达到低值；3～10月，高云（云底高>5 km)占约一半左右比例；厚度小于1 km的云在各月中所占比例最高；厚度1～4 km的云，厚度越大所占比例越低；特别地，厚度大于4 km的云所占比例在4～9月中仅次于厚度小于1 km云的比例。4年期间，北京地区单层云居多约占66.7%，两层云占比约25.2%，两层以上云占8.1%；冬季约80%的云为单层云，而6～9月云层分布变化最多，其中9月单层云比例最低约为40%。本文基于4年高时空分辨率雷达数据对北京地区云分布特征，特别是云垂直分布特征在数值上准确刻画，该项工作在已有云气候研究中尚未见开展，所获得的知识将对了解地区气候特征、区域模式云参数化选择提供参考。     

Comparative analysis of scalar upper tail indicators

ABSTRACT

Different upper tail indicators exist to characterize heavy tail phenomena, but no comparative study has been carried out so far. We evaluate the shape parameter (GEV), obesity index, Gini index and upper tail ratio (UTR) against a novel benchmark of tail heaviness – the surprise factor. Sensitivity analyses to sample size and changes in scale-to-location ratio are carried out in bootstrap experiments. The UTR replicates the surprise factor best but is most uncertain and only comparable between records of similar length. For samples with symmetric Lorenz curves, shape parameter, obesity and Gini indices provide consistent indications. For asymmetric Lorenz curves, however, the first two tend to overestimate, whereas Gini index tends to underestimate tail heaviness. We suggest the use of a combination of shape parameter, obesity and Gini index to characterize tail heaviness. These indicators should be supported with calculation of the Lorenz asymmetry coefficients and interpreted with caution.     

甘肃省及邻区Ms4.0以上地震前的电磁波异常特征

本文根据分布在甘肃省河西地区１４个电磁波台站近６年来的观测资料，分析了近几个来发生在甘肃省及邻近地区的１１个Ｍｓ４．０以上地震的电磁波异常特征。结构表明，震前电磁波异常信号主要有低频脉冲和阵发性脉冲两类；异常信号出现的时间强度与地震的大小及距离远近有关，震级大、距离远的地震信号出现的时间早、幅度大；震源浅的地震异常信号强，累计持续时间长，其信号呈脉冲形式，震源深信号相对较弱，并显示低频脉动特征；震     

正常高改正公式的一个注记

对正常高改正式中的重力异常改正项进行了积分置换，将原来主要依赖于沿水准路线的重力异常的公式置换为主要依赖于水准路线两端高程的公式，以更便于使用。同时对这一新的匠精度，特点和应用作了评述。     

大气层结的非均匀性对重力内波波射线的影响

文中利用ＷＫＢ近似，讨论了非均匀层结对惯性重力内波和纯重力内波能量传播路径的影响，得到了波的能量密度，广义波作用密度，和广义拟能密度守恒的条件，导得了重力内波不稳定的必要条件，给出了在波的传播过程中控制波射线折射的方程，得到了两类不同的临界层，最后还利用四阶Ｒｕｎｇｅ－Ｋｕｔｔａ方法计算了不同层结分布下的波射线。     

有能量吸收的一维波动方程的阻抗反演

本文讨论了一维粘弹性波阻抗反演的迭代法。根据一维波动方程和ＫｅｌｖｉｎＶｏｉｇｔ粘弹模型导出了一个适于数值计算的第二类Ｖｏｌｔｅｒｒａ型积分方程，用迭代法求解。通过对已有方法的改进和完善，数值计算表明了该反演方法具有一定的精度、抗干扰能力和分辨率以及应用于实际水平层状地层反射地震记录反演阻抗的可能性．     

A different intensity recording for reducing the uncertainty in its assessment: An application to the completeness analysis of earthquake catalogues

The purpose of this paper is to emphasize the consequences of the ordinal and qualitative nature of seismic intensity regarding its recording. The classical way of recording by an integer value implies that on many occasions it can be difficult to associate only one intensity degree to an event. Therefore, we propose to record the intensity in a new way so that the expert is no longer restricted to indicating only one value, but can express his belief that the considered event belongs to any one of the intensity classes in the scale. Following this approach, as an example, we study the completeness of the Sannio-Matese catalogue and show how the degree of completeness changes according to the degree of uncertainty in intensity assessment.     

500百帕大气环流对云南地震的影响和震级的预测

本文用北半球５００百帕大气月均高度场资料，与云南地区每年发生的最大地震的震级作相关分析，选出其中影响地震的主要环流因子，分别构成每年上半年和下半年的最大震级预报方程。经三年的预报试验，效果尚好。     

Electromagnetic response of a buried cylindrical conductor for sheet and line current sources

A major problem in electromagnetic induction studies in regions of localized source fields, such as the auroral and equatorial electrojet regions, is the source effect. Using an analytical model, the electromagnetic response of a buried conducting cylinder to sheet current and line current excitations has been studied for the period rangeT=5 s to 24 h. The validity of the numerical results obtained from the analytical model are compared with the numerical results obtained from a finite difference model. The results show that for periods less than 30 min, there is no significant difference in the response of the cylinder to both source fields. However, significant differences are observed at longer periods. It was also observed that the equivalent height at which a uniform sheet current at 100 km above the earth's surface can be approximated by a line current varies as a function of the source period.     

Application of a generalized power transformation to geochemical data

In the context of analysis of variance, Box and Cox (1964) developed a generalized technique for power transformation of frequency distributions to normality. It is here applied to geochemical data, based on the nonlinear optimization of skewness and kurtosis. The transform appears to be particularly well suited to the preprocessing of geochemical data prior to multivariate analysis.