理解前兆异常变化机理和地震短临前兆

本文概要介绍了国内外近几年在地壳形变一地球自转日长变化十年尺度相关性、静寂地震、前驱波三方面的重要研究发现,并分析了这三项研究发现在地震前兆异常机理认识中的作用。初步分析表明：深部核幔耦合作用引起的地壳形变、地球物理场十年尺度波动,是数年至十年尺度地震场兆波动性变化的重要调制因素之一;源于断层脆韧转换带(过渡层)的静寂地震一慢地震缓慢破裂过程,是数天至数月尺度地震短期异常变化产生的重要原因;源于脆韧转换层上部或弹脆性层薄弱部分慢地震过程所辐射出来的低频前驱波(慢地震波),是目前已发现的可重复出现的短临前兆信号,具有数小时至7天左右的地震短临预报指标意义。     

柴达木盆地北缘盆-山耦合特征及对砂岩型铀成矿的控制作用

柴达木盆地北缘盆地-造山带体系在西北地区有一定的代表性,盆-山耦合过程与成矿的研究是当代地质科学研究的热点之一。以盆-山耦合体系演化、铀矿化目的层改造作用、砂岩型铀成矿理论为基础,将柴达木盆地北缘划分成四大构造单元,讨论了主要构造运动时期的盆-山耦合特征,分析了盆-山耦合体系对侏罗系、古近系和新近系的改造作用,指出了该区的主要找矿类型。     

Kinematics of Convergence and Deformation in Luzon Island and Adjacent Sea Areas:2-D Finite-Element Simulation

The Luzon Island is a volcanic arc sandwiched by the eastward subducting South China Sea and the northwestward subducting Philippine Sea plate.Through experiments of plane-stress,elastic,and 2-dimensional finite-element modeling,we evaluated the relationship between plate kinematics and present-day deformation of Luzon Island and adjacent sea areas.The concept of coupling rate was applied to define the boundary velocities along the subduction zones.The distribution of velocity fields calculated in our models was compared with the velocity field revealed by recent geodetic (GPS) observations.The best model was obtained that accounts for the observed velocity field within the limits of acceptable mechanical parameters and reasonable boundary conditions.Sensitivity of the selection of parameters and boundary conditions were evaluated.The model is sensitive to the direction of convergence between the South China Sea and the Philippine Sea plates,and to different coupling rates in the Manila trench,Philippine trench and eastern Luzon trough.We suggest that a change of±15° of the di rection of motion of the Philippine Sea plate can induce important changes in the distribution of the computed displacement trajectories,and the movement of the Philippine Sea plate toward azimuth330° best explains the velocity pattern observed in Luzon Island.In addition,through sensitivity analysis we conclude that the coupling rate in the Manila trench is much smaller compared with the rates in the eastern Luzon trough and the Philippine trench.This indicates that a significant part of momentum of the Philippine Sea plate motion has been absorbed by the Manila trench;whereas,a part of the momentum has been transmitted into Luzon Island through the eastern Luzon trough and the Philippine trench.     

地壳形变与密度变化耦合运动探析

为整体解释现代大地测量数据,提出了地壳变形与密度变化耦合运动的基本思想;分析了地壳变形与密度变化耦合运动的基本理论;导出了由地壳形变与密度变化耦合运动引起的重力时间变化一般严格公式。     

A study of formation and development of one kind of cyclone on the mei-yu (Baiu) front

The paper presents one diagnosis of baroclinity and the coupling of jets during the developing process of a cyclone that occurred on the mei-yu (Baiu) front around the end of the second stage of the mei-yu (Baiu)in 1998. Results have shown that: (1) The advantageous changes of upper-level large-scale circulation caused the appearance and maintenance of the coupling between the upper-level jet (ULJ) and lower-level jet (LLJ) over the cyclone‘s area. The coupling of jets in this case possesses some different characteristics from previous cases. Moreover, the coupling between the ULJ and LLJ caused the intensification of both lower-level convergence and upper-level divergence, which was favorable for the development of this cyclone. (2) From the analysis of the voricity budget, the role of lower-level convergence in the development of the cyclone was emphasized. Divergent wind in the lower troposphere was a direct contributor to the development of the cyclone. (3) During the development of the cyclone, cold air and warm air were_active over the cyclone‘s domain. Although this cyclone occurred at the mei-yu (Baiu) front, its development assumed baroclinity to a certain extent, which was just the main difference between this kind of cyclone and the first kind of low which is usually barotropic (or quasi-barotropic). (4) In recent years, studies on mei-yu front lows have paid more attention to the lower troposphere. In this paper, the analysis of the energy budget further supports this point: the certain effect of baroclinity forcing in the upper troposphere on mei-yu front lows cannot be ignored.     

强矿震地球物理过程及短临阶段预测的研究

基于中尺度地震实验场高密度数字地震和前兆台网对抚顺老虎台矿两次强矿震进行连续的现场观测,用地震学方法和小波工具分析强矿震孕震过程采集到的数据,提取短临阶段的异常信息;用区域强震震源机制解、强矿震的震源机制解、极近场震源调查、震源高精度定位、现场绝对地应力测量、三维有限差分数值试验方法,分析强矿震的孕震应力场环境和震源机制;通过定量观察采矿与矿震活动的相关性,分析强矿震的直接诱发原因．提出地质构造环境、地应力场和采矿活动共同作用诱发强矿震的机理和局部应力场在孕育该震过程起主导作用、卸荷重力应力场抑或耦合了高压瓦斯的膨胀起主要诱发作用的观点;发现煤炭深部开采条件下,矿震和瓦斯存在密切的相关性,有可能存在一种开采卸荷和高压瓦斯气体膨胀耦合作用诱发的新型矿震——卸胀耦合型矿震;提取到震前短临阶段存在的b值、η值、频次、波速比等可信的地震学异常和定点潮汐形变前兆异常,对异常信息的提取方法和强矿震短临阶段的预测进行了探讨．     

Cross-scale coupling at a perpendicular collisionless shock

A full particle simulation study is carried out on a perpendicular collisionless shock with a relatively low Alfven Mach number (M_A = 5). Recent self-consistent hybrid and full particle simulations have demonstrated ion kinetics are essential for the non-stationarity of perpendicular collisionless shocks, which means that physical processes due to ion kinetics modify the shock jump condition for fluid plasmas. This is a cross-scale coupling between fluid dynamics and ion kinetics. On the other hand, it is not easy to study cross-scale coupling of electron kinetics with ion kinetics or fluid dynamics, because it is a heavy task to conduct large-scale full particle simulations of collisionless shocks. In the present study, we have performed a two-dimensional (2D) electromagnetic full particle simulation with a “shock-rest-frame model”. The simulation domain is taken to be larger than the ion inertial length in order to include full kinetics of both electrons and ions. The present simulation result has confirmed the transition of shock structures from the cyclic self-reformation to the quasi-stationary shock front. During the transition, electrons and ions are thermalized in the direction parallel to the shock magnetic field. Ions are thermalized by low-frequency electromagnetic waves (or rippled structures) excited by strong ion temperature anisotropy at the shock foot, while electrons are thermalized by high-frequency electromagnetic waves (or whistler mode waves) excited by electron temperature anisotropy at the shock overshoot. Ion acoustic waves are also excited at the shock overshoot where the electron parallel temperature becomes higher than the ion parallel temperature. We expect that ion acoustic waves are responsible for parallel diffusion of both electrons and ions, and that a cross-scale coupling between an ion-scale mesoscopic instability and an electron-scale microscopic instability is important for structures and dynamics of a collisionless perpendicular shock.     

非结构化网格下大范围波生流模拟和应用

波浪破碎引起的沿岸流是近岸海域的关键水动力因素。利用基于缓坡方程得到的光程函数方程和波作用守恒方程建立了考虑绕射效应的大范围波浪传播模型,模型可以考虑流场的影响;将波浪模型计算得到的辐射应力、波浪紊动系数等参数添加到三维水动力模型中,得到大范围近岸波生流的计算模型。模型中流场和波浪可以共用计算网格,且可同步耦合计算;模型基于非结构化网格,可以拟合复杂岸线的变化。模型对波生沿岸流、环流和逆流进行了验证,同时对实际海域的波生流进行了计算,结果表明:该模型对近岸波浪破碎引起的波生流具有很好的精度和适用性,可用于实际工程的计算。     

四川盆地东南缘河坝MVT铅锌矿与古油气藏的成生关系

MVT铅锌矿与(古)油气藏在空间上的密切共生/伴生关系,说明成矿与成藏具有密切的成因联系。四川盆地东南缘的河坝铅锌矿产于震旦系灯影组古油气藏中,虽然二者在空间上密切共生,但铅锌矿的规模远较古油气藏的规模小。形成铅锌矿的流体具有较高的盐度(w(NaCl)=21.33%~23.83%)并富含有机质,成矿流体的峰温为122~134 ℃。与闪锌矿共生萤石的Rb Sr和Sm Nd同位素年龄显示成矿发生于128~130 Ma。研究区的古油气藏先后经历了多期成藏与破坏。奥陶纪-中志留世时期第一次成藏,加里东期末被破坏;二叠纪-中三叠世时期二次生烃形成油藏,晚三叠世-侏罗纪时期随着埋藏深度增加,石油发生热裂解形成古气藏,燕山期古气藏被破坏。铅锌矿的成矿仅与石油的热裂解和古气藏的破坏密切相关。石油热裂解形成硫化氢,热裂解过程中的超压使硫化氢溶于水为铅锌矿成矿提供硫源,构造隆升造成古气藏破坏,含硫化氢的油田卤水与成矿流体混合成矿。     

泥石流排导结构耦合磨损随机过程建模及分析

泥石流排导结构对于减轻泥石流对周围建筑物的损毁起到了显著作用,但目前大多数排导结构难以抵御泥石流的强烈侵蚀磨损和周围环境恶劣时伴随产生的腐蚀磨损。首先,通过分析泥石流排导结构侵蚀和腐蚀磨损机理,应用相关磨损量计算公式,提出了考虑侵蚀和腐蚀的泥石流排导结构耦合磨损计算公式。然后,以此为基础,针对磨损过程的动态性和随机性,建立了泥石流排导结构耦合磨损随机过程模型,推导了任意时刻磨损量的分布函数,实现了评估泥石流排导结构的动态可靠性和概率失效时间。最后,通过具体算例分析验证了模型的实用性,可为今后泥石流排导结构的磨损定量评估提供理论参考。