震后震型早期判定的人工神经网络方法

应用人工神经网络的方法，利用３０次强震震后１天和２天内的地震资料作为学习样本，对广西及其邻区发生的４次地震的震型作了早期预测判定，结果表明应用效果较好，正确率达７５％。该方法值得进一步研究。     

强地震地点预报方法─—交汇法

利用小震调制比法、动态空区法、震群链式活动轨迹交汇法和短期震中迁移带交汇法这4种地震活动时空图像动态监测方法，结合震源模式中震源和其它单元之间的差异性以及各调整单元、调整层、深浅构造之间的差异性对若干震例进行研究，发现应用不同时段多个异常区边界或空区边界或条带交汇可求得未来强震的位置。交汇法使地震的预报范围大大缩小，这对防震减灾有一定的现实意义。另外，交汇法不仅具有明确的物理基础，而且具有可操作性和普适性。只要异常边界比较正确，采用的又是动态监测方法，这种预测强震位置的思路和方法还可推广到其它各种地震活动性参数和前兆场的分析中。     

新疆月太阳总辐射气候学计算方法的研究

本文先对现有各种太阳总辐射气候学计算公式进行讨论，并确定Ｑ＝Ｑ２为新疆最佳计算公式，然后根据新疆９个月日射站的资料分南疆，北疆两大区域按月给出区域统一式，最后验证了它们的计算效果。     

Application of discovery process models in estimating petroleum resources at the play level in China

Discovery process modeling has gained wide acceptance in the Chinese exploration community. In recent years, a variety of discovery process models have been applied to the prediction of undiscovered petroleum resources at the play level in sedimentary basins in China. However, challenging problems have been encountered, particularly when one method alone has been applied to small plays in nonmarine sedimentary basins or in plays with an unusual order of discovery wells. This paper presents results gotten by using the lognormal discovery process model of the Geological Survey of Canada and the geoanchored method for three petroleum plays in basins with different geologic settings. Although the predicted shapes of the parentsize distributions which use these two models, were not always similar, the expected values of the total resources and the number of fields (pools) to be discovered are comparable. The combined use of two discovery process models in the same play compensates for the weaknesses in one method compared with the other and vice versa. Thus, more reliable estimates are the result.     

郴桂地区中大比例尺成矿预测的方法与效果

郴桂地区是南岭多金属成矿带的重要地段，地质矿产工作研究程度较高，我院在此开展了大中比例尺成矿预测研究。本文扼要介绍了本区成矿预测的基本做法和预测方法，以及其主要成果和验证效果。     

变频激电法在四川某金矿中的应用

本文介绍了用变频激电法寻找含金硫化物矿体 ,通过对视幅频效应 Fs,和交流视电阻率 ρsf的分析 ,取得了良好的地质效果     

近场源二极激电法在贫硫银金矿床的应用效果

在管地贫硫银金矿床进行了近场源二极激电法的应用研究，获得了三高一低的次级低缓激电异常，即高ηｓ、Ｒ_２、Ｊｓ，低ρｓ，表明用次级参数表示的激电弱异常要明显，为增加矿量，提高地质找矿效果起了积极作用。     

随机地震荷载作用下饱和粉土的液化特性

为了考虑随机地震荷载作用下饱和粉土的液化特性，研究了如何通过合理的地震响应分析确定饱和粉土层受到的随机地震荷载，进一步探讨了随机地震荷载作用下的动三轴试验技术，以及利用此种试验分析饱和粉土液化特性的方法。研究结果为形成判别饱和粉土层地震液化可能性的新方法提供了依据。     

Numerical modeling of 3-D terrain effect on MT field

Using the boundary element method, the numerical modeling problem of three-dimensional terrain effect on magnetotelluric (MT) field is solved. This modeling technique can be run on PC in the case of adopting special net division. The result of modeling test for 2-D terrain by this modeling technique is basically coincident with that by 2-D modeling technique, but there is a great difference between the results of 3-D and 2-D modeling for 3-D terrain. Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China.     

几种空气质量预报方法的预报效果对比分析

目前应用于我国各个城市空气质量预报业务的预报方法主要有三种 :数值模式预报、统计预报和综合经验预报。这几种预报方法都有其各自的优势 ,同时也存在一些不足。应用以上方法对天津市市区进行空气质量业务预报 ,通过实测资料与预报结果进行对比分析 ,给出这几种方法在天津市区空气质量预报中的预报效果客观评价。