The spectral composition of fluxes and variances over land and sea out to the mesoscale

We discuss the accuracy requirements for measuring mesoscale (roughly horizontal scales > 10 km or 5 to 10 times the planetary boundary-layer (PBL) depth) fluxes in the convective PBL, and the ability of current research aircraft to achieve this accuracy. We conclude that aircraft equipped with inertial nagivation systems capable of < 3 km hr⁻¹ navigational accuracy are able to resolve mesoscale fluctuations in velocity, and thus variances and fluxes on the mesoscale. We then discuss measurements of velocity and scalar spectra, and cospectra of vertical velocity with horizontal velocity components and scalars, obtained from long flight legs with the National Center for Atmospheric Research Electra aircraft over the boreal forest of Canada in summer during the BOreal Ecosystem-Atmosphere Study (BOREAS), over the tropical Pacific Ocean from the Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Response Experiment (TOGA COARE), and over the East China Sea during wintertime cold-air outbreaks from the Air Mass Transformation Experiment (AMTEX). Each of these studies has somewhat different forcings and boundary conditions, so we can compare their consequences on the spectra and cospectra. On average, we found no significant scalar or momentum fluxes for horizontal scales > 10 km. We also develop a simple model based on observed thermal structure to explain the phase angle between vertical velocity and the along-wind horizontal velocity as a function of height, which shows good agreement with the observed phase angle in AMTEX. The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science Foundation.     

卫星遥感地表植被及其在华南暴雨中尺度数值模拟中的应用试验

将我国植被资料和NCAR资料分别用于非静力平衡中尺度模式MM5, 对1998年5月23~24日华南暴雨进行数值模拟试验, 比较其对降水量和动力热力场预报的影响, 结果表明, 当网格格距为45 km时, 二者差别很小, 当网格格距减小到5~15 km, 预报降水量最大值增加了12%~14%, 更接近观测值, 同时对低层大气热力动力结构也有一定影响。     

“98.7”武汉及其附近地区特大暴雨中若干观测事实的分析

利用高空和地面加密观测资料、常规观测报告及每小时GMS IR卫星云图, 分析了1998年7月20~23日出现在长江中下游各省的暴雨过程, 重点揭示发生在武汉及其附近地区特大暴雨的若干观测事实。研究指出, 造成该地区特大暴雨的直接影响系统是对流层中低层的中α尺度辐合中心, 该系统具有冷心结构特征, 它的上空对流层上部为暖心, 出现强烈的增温。高层扰动、地面流场的中小尺度扰动与暴雨增幅紧密关联。     

The Atmospheric Boundary-Layer Structure Within A Cold Air Outbreak: Comparison Of In Situ, Lidar And Satellite Measurements With Three-Dimensional Simulations

A cold-air outbreak over the Mediterranean, associated with a Tramontane event, has been simulated with the atmospheric non-hydrostatic model Meso-NH using a horizontal resolution of 2 km. Results are compared with in situ aircraft, airborne lidar and satellite measurements. On average, the mean and turbulent parameters simulated in the surface layer and mixed layer compared well with in situ measurements. The model was able to reproduce accurately the Foehn effect in the wake of Cape Creus, as well as the occurence of rolls in the coastal region in connection with cloud streets observed with AVHRR. Over the sea, the threshold value of turbulent kinetic energy defining the height of the atmospheric boundary-layer top in the model (defined as 25% of the maximum turbulent kinetic energy in the profile) enables the simulated atmospheric boundary-layer height to match the one retrieved from lidar measurements. Nevertheless, the model did not handle very well the abrupt gradients of all meteorological parameters observed at the top of the atmospheric boundary-layer. Reasons for this are investigated.     

An experimental simulation of a coastal fog-stratus case using COAMPS(tm) model

This paper presents an experimental simulation of a summer season marine fog-stratus case along the west coast of California using the US Navy COAMPS(tm) model. The purpose is to show the potential usefulness of mesoscale models in forecasting this type of marine boundary weather phenomenon. The role of data assimilation and the impacts of solar radiation, microphysics, and vertical resolution in improving the forecasts are examined. The model capability in forecasting the burn-off process over the San Francisco Bay area is also tested with very high horizontal resolution (2-km grid size) using the model's one-way nesting technique. The model demonstrates promising capacity in this case to replicate the temporal and spatial cloud coverage over the San Francisco Bay and surrounding area, shown in satellite imagery, despite a 2-h lag to complete clearing over the bay. This study also suggests that a better microphysics parameterization and proper representation of microphysics in the solar radiation scheme are both important for COAMPS(tm) to produce more realistic simulations and to improve the burn-off forecast.     

Relative Influence of Urban And Orographic Effects for Low Wind Conditions in the Paris Area

The relative roles of land-use and orography on the meteorological fields in the Paris area are studied by means of numerical simulations of two Special Observing Periods (SOP), of the ECLAP experiment. Sensitivity experiments have been performed with flat orography to investigate the strength of the urban effects, and with a uniform land-use surface to replace the surface heterogeneities, to isolate the orographic forcing. Comparisons of the simulated fields with a reference simulation including all forcing are analysed. It is found that during these two SOP of spring-time conditions, despite the low terrain elevation, the orographic effect is the main forcing of the dynamic field but that although the land use is the dominant factor reproducing the thermal evolution of the boundary layer, the orography alone also plays a role in the temperature pattern with slope flows in and out of the Paris basin.     

9406号台风与中纬度系统相互作用的中尺度特征

利用非静力中尺度模式MM5,对9406号台风从1994年7月11日12时（世界时,下同）到12日12时之间的24h降水进行了模拟,采用滤波分析方法对模式结果进行了尺度分离。中尺度场的分析表明:台风与中纬度系统的相互作用非常显著地表现在中尺度系统的活动上;高低空中尺度散度场的分布对中低纬系统相互作用所产生的降水具有一定的指示意义;台风及西风槽强度的改变将直接导致中尺度系统强度的变化,从而造成降水强度的不同。另外,还从能量学角度对不同尺度系统的能量变化进行了分析。结果表明,中尺度场的能量变化极值区与中低纬度系统的强度变化密切相关,且与降水的变化有较好的对应关系。     

1998年6月28日～7月2日淮河流域暴雨分析

文中对比分析了 1998年 6月 2 8～ 2 9日和 7月 1～ 2日淮河水循环试验期间两次特大暴雨过程的天气形势、红外卫星云图上降水云系的特征及其水汽来源。结果表明 :(1) 6月底的暴雨是一次东移的西南低涡引发的暖性切变线降水 ,β中尺度对流系统起主要作用。 7月初的暴雨过程是一次移动缓慢的锋面降水 ,锋面上有中尺度的云团活动 ,这是一次大中尺度系统相互作用的结果。 (2 )两场特大暴雨的水汽源地都为中国南海北部地区 ,而强度达到18～ 2 2m/s的西南低空急流是水汽的输送带。     

Mesoscale modeling study of the oceanographic conditions off the southwest coast of India

A high resolution model, using the Miami Isopycnic Coordinate Ocean Model (MICOM), has been implemented for the first time to study the seasonal circulation and coastal upwelling off the southwest Indian coast during 1974. This model is part of a model and data assimilation system capable of describing the ocean circulation and variability in the Indian Ocean and its predictability in response to the monsoon system. Along the southwest coast of India the dominant coastal current is the reversing West Indian Coastal Current which is well simulated and described, in addition to the weaker undercurrent of the opposite direction. Upwelling of cold water, 4‡C lower than offshore temperatures appear in April. The upwelling intensifies with the southwest monsoon and is simulated in accordance within situ observations. Upwelling appears to be strongest off Cochin and Quilon, and the upwelling of cold water is seen together with a decrease in salinity in the model simulation.     

中尺度系统的模拟Doppler图像

从数学上分析了Doppler速度（径向速度分量）和水平风场之间的基本关系，利用模拟的Doppler图像讨论了切变线、涡旋和低空急流等各种典型中尺度系统的Doppler速度图像的主要特征。所得结果在短时预报中可用于对实时观测到的Doppler图像作定性解释。