On the choice of data transformation for modelling time series of significant wave height

Autoregressive models have been shown to adequately model the time series of significant wave height. However, since this series exhibits a seasonal component and has a non-gaussian nature, it is necessary to transform the series before a model can be fit to the data. Two different transformations that have been used in earlier work are shown not to be appropriate for all types of applications. A third transformation is proposed here, which combines the better features of the two earlier ones and which is appropriate for simulation work. This is demonstrated with an example of a series from Figueira da Foz, a location of the Portuguese Coast.     

我国铁路水害及其评估模型研究

文章分析了我国铁路水害的特点,并用1980~1995年的断道时间和次数与同期的大雨、暴雨日数,分别建立了全国和成都、郑州、哈尔滨、沈阳4个铁路局的铁路水害统计模型,为定量评估气候异常对铁路交通的影响奠定了基础。     

Polymetallic Mineralization at the Shin-Ohtoyo Deposit, Harukayama District, Hokkaido, Japan

Abstract: The Shin-Ohtoyo Cu–Au deposit is located in the Harukayama district, 20 km west of Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan. Both acid-type disseminated and adularia–quartz–type vein Au mineralizations have been recognized within a small distance of less than 500 m in the district. Mineralogical characteristics of sulfide ores from the Shin-Ohtoyo deposit have been proved to be polymetallic. Ore minerals containing Sn, V, Bi and Te are recognized. Nine ore types are recognized in terms of characteristic mineral assemblage; (1) chalcedonic quartz veinlets in silicified zone around the deposit, (2) bismuthinite, emplectite, friedrichite and tetrahedrite, (3) an unnamed Cu–Sn–Fe–Zn sulfide, colusite-series minerals, stannoidite, emplectite and tetrahedrite, (4) bournonite, Se-bearing galena and tetrahedrite, (5) luzonite/famatinite and Ag-bearing tetrahedrite, (6) colusite-series minerals, emplectite, aikinite and tetrahedrite/goldfieldite, (7) luzonite/famatinite, colusite-series minerals, mawsonite and tetra–hedrite/goldfieldite, (8) enargite, luzonite/famatinite and tetrahedrite, and (9) colusite-series minerals and tetrahedrite. The first occurrence of friedrichite and stibiocolusite from Japan are reported. The chemical formula of the unnamed phase corresponds to Cu₆(Cu, Fe, Zn)Sn₃S₁₀. Sulfur isotopic ratios (δ³⁴S) of sulfides from the stockpile range from –0. 5% to +1. 9%, and those from drill cores recovered by Metal Mining Agency of Japan (MMAJ) vary from –2. 7% to +0. 8%. Sulfur isotopic ratio of barite in a cavity in the silicified tuff breccia collected from the stock pile yields +27. 1%, while that of barite collected from MMAJ core is +21. 7%. Sulfur isotopic thermometry applied for a pair of barite (+21. 7%) and associated pyrite (+1. 8%) indicates about 300°C. High–Te tetrahedrite composition from both the chalcedonic quartz vein in the silicified zone around the Shin-Ohtoyo deposit and the polymetallic sulfide ores from the adit of the deposit, suggests that the Au mineralization in the former is attributed to a hydrothermal system marginal to the polymetallic mineralization.     

江苏省小麦播种期的干旱研究及应用

本文确定了以降水量和蒸散量为参数的干旱指数计算方法,以小麦适宜播种期及前后各一句的时间范围内综合考虑各旬干旱指数,确定干旱指标,并讨论了江苏省小麦播种期干旱的发生规律。     

相空间相似预报的一种新方法

本文针对相空间相似预报方法应用过程中存在需要同时确定时滞和维数的困难,引入历史预报准确率最高原则,提出了一种相空间相似预报的新方法。应用昆明站近百年（1901年～1992年）逐月雨量和气温时间序列对该方法进行了检验。计算结果表明此方法是可行的。     

Reconstruction of High Resolution Timescale in Weinan Loess Section of Late Quaternary

TheWeinanloesssectionislocatedatNanjiangVillage(34"21'N,lO9"3l'E),YangguoTown,Weinan,ShaanxiProvince,whichisoneofthecontinuousloesssequencedis-coveredofthelasto.l5MaB.P.,whichhassoforbeenthebestdatedbyboththeAMSl4CandTL(Liuetal.,l994),andisusedasastratigraphicstandard.Basedontheorbitaltuningmethod(Dingetal.,l99l)lapreliminaryhighresolu-tiontimescaleofthissectionhasbeenestab1ished(Liuetal.,l995).Howeverlinrecentyears,increasingeffortshavebeenmadetodocumentsub-orbitalscaleclimaticvariat…     

计算机2000年问题对地震观测的影响及其预防方法

简要分析了计算机２０００ 年问题对地震观测的影响．这些影响主要表现在各种应用软件方面．提出了几种预防方法,除了更换必要的观测仪器之外,还要解决各类软件的２０００ 年问题     

地下流体地震前兆多层次跟踪法在华南及沿海地区的应用

利用多层次跟踪法,对８０年代以来华南及沿海地区发生的９次大于Ｍｓ５．０级和２次陆区接近Ｍｓ５．０级地震的发震时间进行了系统验证。在１１个震例中预测时段正确的有：中期１０个、短期５个和短临２个,表明该方法应用于华南及其沿海地区未来中强震发震时间的预报。     

新疆西天山金属矿床,成矿系列及形成演化规律

笔者根据对西天山北部大量矿床和矿点研究,在对西天山成矿类型及成矿控制因素分析的基础上,将该区金属矿床主要划分为３个成矿系列类型,即：①与中酸性、酸性花岗岩类有关的Ｃｕ－Ｆｅ－Ａｕ－ＭｏＯ－Ｗ－Ｓｎ－Ｐｂ－Ｚｎ成矿系列类型;②与基性－中性－酸性火山岩建造有关的Ｃｕ－Ｆｅ－Ａｕ成矿系列类型;③与沉积岩、热水沉积岩有关的层控Ｃｕ－Ｐｂ－Ｚｎ成矿系列类型。每个成矿系列类型具有不同的成矿特征和成矿背景。成矿     

山东临沂西部地区次火山杂岩与金矿成矿系列

临沂西部地区潜火山杂岩体广泛发育,其分布及产出主要受两组断裂构造控制,潜火山杂岩体岩石类型复杂,主要有：闪长玢岩系列,花岗闪长岩系列,正长岩系列,二长斑岩系列。据潜火山杂岩体与金矿成矿的密切时空关系,建立了区内金矿床成矿系列：闪长玢岩铜、铁、金成矿系列;花岗闪长岩金、铜、铁成矿系列;正长岩金、钼、铅成矿系列;二长斑岩金、银、碲成矿系列。