利用天气数值预报产品建立贵州黔西南州分县温度预报方程的方法及应用

利用2002～2004年1～12月EC、T213天气数值产品的温度格点实时分析资料、预报资料以及贵州省黔西南州8个测站观测资料,从160个样本中筛选出相关较好的因子,利用多元回归统计模型,以及根据地理环境,天气形势分型造成的温度差值(ΔT)为逐步订正值,建立黔西南州分县温度预报方程。在2005年11月～2006年2月应用中取得较好效果,预报误差小于±3.0℃,平均误差1.3℃。     

Automatic Interpretation of Magnetic Data Using Euler Deconvolution with Nonlinear Background

The voluminous gravity and magnetic data sets demand automatic interpretation techniques like Naudy, Euler and Werner deconvolution. Of these techniques, the Euler deconvolution has become a popular choice because the method assumes no particular geological model. However, the conventional approach to solving Euler equation requires tentative values of the structural index preventing it from being fully automatic and assumes a constant background that can be easily violated if the singular points are close to each other. We propose a possible solution to these problems by simultaneously estimating the source location, depth and structural index assuming nonlinear background. The Euler equation is solved in a nonlinear fashion using the optimization technique like conjugate gradient. This technique is applied to a published synthetic data set where the magnetic anomalies were modeled for a complex assemblage of simple magnetic bodies. The results for close by singular points are superior to those obtained by assuming linear background. We also applied the technique to a magnetic data set collected along the western continental margin of India. The results are in agreement with the regional magnetic interpretation and the bathymetric expressions.     

Stability and accuracy analysis of outer loop dynamics in real‐time pseudodynamic testing of SDOF systems

Real‐time pseudodynamic (PSD) testing is an experimental technique for evaluating the dynamic behaviour of a complex structure. During the test, when the targeted command displacements are not achieved by the test structure, or a delay in the measured restoring forces from the test structure exists, the reliability of the testing method is impaired. The stability and accuracy of real‐time PSD testing in the presence of amplitude error and a time delay in the restoring force is presented. Systems consisting of an elastic single degree of freedom (SDOF) structure with load‐rate independent and dependent restoring forces are considered. Bode plots are used to assess the effects of amplitude error and a time delay on the steady‐state accuracy of the system. A method called the pseudodelay technique is used to derive the exact solution to the delay differential equation for the critical time delay that causes instability of the system. The solution is expressed in terms of the test structure parameters (mass, damping, stiffness). An error in the restoring force amplitude is shown to degrade the accuracy of a real‐time PSD test but not destabilize the system, while a time delay can lead to instability. Example calculations are performed for determining the critical time delay, and numerical simulations with both a constant delay and variable delay in the restoring force are shown to agree well with the stability limit for the system based on the critical time delay solution. The simulation models are also used to investigate the effects of a time delay in the PSD test of an inelastic SDOF system. The effect of energy dissipation in an inelastic structure increases the limit for the critical time delay, due to the energy removed from the system by the energy dissipation. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

VLBI、SLR、GPS综合数据处理方案研究

按参与平差观测值类型的选取不同，对VLBI、SLR、GPS综合处理方案进行了分类。给出了各类方案的平差模型，结合当前我国三种技术的实测情况，分析了各种方案的优缺点，提出了较为可行的综合处理方案。     

花粉浓度预报

重点探讨气候和植物对空气中花粉浓度的影响。通过对天津市河西区气象铁塔站、和平区南京路站1999年4月－2000年10月花粉观测资料分析表明：一年中花粉浓度有明显的周期性和季节性。经统计分析得出：当日花粉实况、气温日较差、日平均气温距平与未来25小时花浓度相关显著，用基作因子分别建立了春季、夏秋逐日花粉浓度预报主程，复相关系数分别为0．73和0．76，均通过F检验。同时利用降水、风、云量气象要素以及植物物候加以订正，作花粉浓度预报效果很好。     

Laplace方程Cauchy问题的一种数值解法

研究了Laplace方程Cauchy问题的数值求解，该问题是一个典型的病态问题。利用格林（Green）公式将Laplace方程的Cauchy问题转化为Hausdorff矩问题。本文利用一种新方法，即矩问题的积分方程方法，求解矩问题，设计了二维Laplace方程Cauchy问题稳定的算法，给出了近似解的误差估计，并对二维Cauchy问题进行了数值模拟。     

复杂地质构造波动方程数值模拟

利用全声波方程进行地震波场的数值模拟，虽然可以计算全声波波场值，但是也常常会出现层间多次波，给资料解释造成一定的困难。作者在本文中根据无反射声波方程，采用有限差分数值解法，实现了自激自收时间剖面的制作，避免了层间多次波的产生。本方法不但允许速度有纵向变化，而且允许速度有横向变化，这使得模拟复杂地质构造的地震响应成为可能。实际计算结果表明，该方法是一种行之有效的自激自收时间剖面的计算机数值模拟方法。     

机载GPS、姿态和激光扫描测距集成定位系统的精确定位方程、误差分析与精度评估

全球定位系统（GPS），姿态测量（惯性导航系统（INS））和激光扫描测距技术集成的直接空对地定位系统是近年来遥感与测绘领域发展起来的新型定位技术，是定量化三维遥感中获取地面几何信息和生成数字高程模型的主要新技术手段之一。该文给出了该系统的精确定位方程，分析了误差源对定位精度的影响，并给出了数量级评估。结果对实际应用具有重要的参考价值。     

兰州市心血管病与气象条件分析

利用兰州市区三大医院 1996～ 2 0 0 0年病历资料和兰州观测站 1996～ 2 0 0 0年的压、温、湿资料以及天气图资料 ,对兰州市区心血管病与气象条件的关系进行分析总结 ,并用逐步回归法建立了春季心血管病等级预报方程     

盆地超压层段非幕式突破期的地热场模型数值解法

盆地超压层段的地热场模拟对超压成因研究及油气生成，排放机理分析有重要意义，但求解超压层段的热传递方程的数值解法至今仍没有被很好地解决，问题的关键在于确定超压流体速度场，由于超压流体发生幕式突破之前的排出速率极低，其速度场v=vxi vzk近似满足条件Эux/Эx Эuz/Эz＝0，可将其近似地视为稳定的不可压缩的无源流体，利用这一条件及相应的边界压力条件，可使整个计算过程得到简化，在此基础上所建立的地热场模型有限元数值解法和模拟软件，能够实现对含油气盆地在幕式突破之前的超压层段地热场进行动态模拟。