中国台湾南部及其周边岛屿现今地壳形变的位错模型

通过建立非震形变的位错模型,用混合全局反演方法,拟合了中国台湾南部1990-1995年间的GPS观测资料.根据地质构造和地震观测,构筑了包括6个刚性块体和19个断层的简单模型.反演结果表明,菲律宾海板块以(69±2)mm/a,方向为317°±2°的速度与欧亚板块会聚,其中约一半的会聚率在台东纵谷消耗掉,另外部分则平均分配在其西边的块体交界处.菲律宾海板块和中央山脉地质区均向西北方向挤压,过了中央山脉后,块体运动呈扇形分布,与应力方向一致.西部麓山地质区与滨海平原地质区交界处的断层均以逆冲分量为主,由南向北倾角逐渐变小,断层宽度一般为10km左右,均表现为强锁定,历史上的大地震多发生在这个地区.     

地震安全性评价制度改革的问题与展望

地震安全性评价制度是地震灾害预防制度的重要组成部分,自中华人民共和国成立之初演化发展至20世纪90年代基本成形,并纳入《中华人民共和国防震减灾法》。在深化“放管服”改革中,国务院先后取消了地震安全性评价资质许可和结果审定的行政审批事项,提出施行区域评估。在建立新制度过程中,面临着审批部门须承担委托开展地震安全性评价责任、区域性地震安全性评价与地震小区划及地震区划同质化、地震安全性评价结果质量监管困难、重大建设工程“应评未评”“评而未用”等问题。本文在分析地震安全性评价制度历史变迁、改革现状的基础上,提出地震安全性评价制度改革的展望,以期为地震安全性评价制度改革和《中华人民共和国防震减灾法》《地震安全性评价管理条例》修订提供参考。     

四川盆地大气边界层气象资料数据系统

本文介绍在IBM-PC微机(或兼容机)上利用DBASEⅡ、BASIC和FOR-TRAN语言设计和研制的一套大气边界层气象资料数据库软件系统,给出它的主要结构和功能。该系统实现了大气边界层气象资料共享和信息化处理,不但操作简便、快速、准确、稳定性好,而且具有较强的通用性和较大的实用价值。     

3S一体化技术支持下的西南地区冬小麦估产——以安宁河谷四县为例

农作物遥感估产已经是广泛应用的技术 ,但由于西南地区复杂的地貌类型以及遥感信息源等因素的限制 ,农作物估产方面的研究起步较晚 ,因而研究山区的农作物遥感估产对西南地区有重要的理论价值和现实意义。安宁河谷为一南北走向的山间盆地 ,是四川省第二大粮食生产基地。本文运用遥感 (RemoteSensing)、地理信息系统 (GIS)和全球定位系统(GPS)———简称 3S ,采取全数字式判读方式提取冬小麦的播种面积 ,进行野外点、线采样 ,并利用数理统计方法 ,建立了该地区的冬小麦估产模型     

‘Unionising’ the new spaces of the new economy? Alternative labour organising in India’s IT Enabled Services-Business Process Outsourcing industry

This paper explores the lived experiences and aspirational social constructions of call centre work and employment in India’s high profile IT Enabled Services-Business Process Outsourcing (ITES-BPO) industry; the ways in which they differ from those previously documented amongst call centre workers in the Global North (specifically the UK); and the consequences of that geographical reconfiguration of offshored call centre work for the replicability in India of workplace collective bargaining strategies successfully developed in some UK call centres. These issues are analysed using new empirical evidence from a regional survey of 511 non-unionised ITES-BPO workers and 42 in-depth interviews in India’s National Capital Region. Based on this analysis, the paper then discusses the operation, outcomes and ongoing challenges faced by the newly formed ‘Union for ITES Professionals’ (UNITES Pro) in developing an alternative occupational organising model better suited to the particular needs, motivations and preferences of India’s young, mobile, call centre workers. The empirical analysis presented in the paper is located, therefore, within wider debates on the role of geographical context in shaping possibilities for organising white-collar service workers at different ends of global service chains in the new economy.     

环渤海虚拟台网的运行管理

针对天津市＂十一五＂期间的建设成果环渤海虚拟台网,从系统部署、运行监控、信息发布、系统维护等方面介绍了虚拟台网技术在天津地区的应用情况,并利用JAVA图像裁切技术解决了环渤海虚拟台网对天津地区速报地震的乡镇级震中位置显示问题。该台网的建成,不仅提高了天津台网对渤海海域的地震监测能力和研究水平,同时也为天津市各区县地办完善监测预报体系、提升社会显示度,提供了良好的机遇。     

CSAMT在碎屑岩地区地热勘查中的应用

碎屑岩因质软,导水、储水条件不良,通常作为地热有利保温盖层,而碎屑岩电阻率普遍低,厚度大的情况下形成低阻屏蔽层,勘探下伏有利储层难度极大,寻找碎屑岩中构造裂隙水是最佳的选择。但碎屑岩中的储水构造与围岩电阻率差异小,构造迹象微弱,因此在碎屑岩地区找地热技术含量较高。茅山镇位于句容盆地东缘茅山西侧,沉积了厚度超过1800m的白垩系碎屑岩,水文地质条件较差,本文应用CSAMT大范围普查、小范围精细查证布置方式,采用磁场插值校正的技术手段、收发距选取优先保证信噪比的思路,控制白垩系碎屑岩中储水断裂构造,克服低阻的碎屑岩地区构造异常微弱的难点。钻探验证结果表明,CSAMT可以经济有效地应用于碎屑岩地区地热勘查。     

The possible response of life zones in China under global climate change

The response of natural vegetation to climate change is of global concern. In this research, an aggregated Holdridge Life Zone System was used to study the possible response of life zones in China under doubled atmospheric CO₂ concentration with the input climatic parameters at 0.5×0.5° resolution of longitude and latitude from NCAR regional climate model 2 (RegCM2) coupled with the CSIRO global climate model. The results indicate that the latitudinal distribution of life zones would become irregular because of the complicated climate change. In particular, new life zones, such as subtropical desert (SD), tropical desert (TDE) and tropical thorn woodland (TTW), would appear. Subtropical evergreen broadleaved forest (SEBF), tropical rainforest and monsoon forest (TRF), SD, TDE and TTW zones would appear in the northeastern China. Cool-temperate mixed coniferous and broadleaved forest (CMC) and warm-temperate deciduous broadleaved forest (WDBF) zones would appear at latitudes 25–35°N. The temperate desert (TD) in the western China would become Tibetan high-cold plateau (THP), SEBF, WDBF and temperate steppe (TS), and a large part of THP would be replaced by TRF, TDE, SEBF, TS and TTW. The relative area (distribution area/total terrestrial area) of CMC, TRF, TDE and TTW zone would increase about 3%, 21%, 3% and 6%, respectively. However, the relative area of SEBF, TS, TD and THP would decrease about 5%, 3%, 19% and 4%, respectively. In all, the relative area of forests (CCF, CMC, WDBF, SEBF, TRF) would increase about 15%, but the relative area of desert (TD, SD, TDE, and TTW) and THP would decrease about 9% and 4%, respectively. Therefore, responses of different life zones in China to climate change would be dramatic, and nationwide corridors should be considered for the conservation of migrating species under climate change.     

上海市防震减灾应急决策信息系统-GPS的应用

为了适应上海经济建设高速发展和超大型城市防震减灾工作的需要,建立城市防震减灾应急决策信息系统已成为必然．本文将地理信息系统（GIS）技术应用于上海市防震减灾应急决策信息系统（宝山试点区）,介绍了此系统各功能模块的结构和作用．此系统由７个功能模块组成,即地震地质基本信息、地震灾害快速评估子系统、地震应急决策信息子系统、信息查询、系统维护管理、帮助和退出等．其核心部分是地震灾害快速评估子系统和地震应急决策信息子系统．本文还介绍了彩红外航片遥感技术在上海市防震减灾应急决策信息系统中的应用．