帕默尔干旱指数在天山北坡典型绿洲干旱特征分析中的适用性

以天山北坡为实验区,采用2002-2008年精河、乌苏、石河子、蔡家湖4个气象站的气象数据,进行月的水分平衡及其各分量的多年平均值计算,然后计算各气候常数;基于气候常数计算气候适宜蒸散量、气候适宜补水、气候适宜径流量、气候适宜失水量,确定月正常气候所需的水量,即气候适宜降水量;进而计算水分距平,最终确定研究区的帕默尔干旱指数.对帕默尔干旱指数与本地的历史文献记录的实际干旱情况进行对比,验证了帕默尔干旱指数模式的可应用性,并得出了研究区内4站点的帕默尔干旱指数计算公式,根据该指数计算的结果与实际的旱情记录相符合.     

Integration of spatial data in vector and raster formats in a geographic information system environment

This paper examines the common methods for converting spatial data sets between vector and raster formats and presents the results of extensive benchmark testing of these procedures. The tests performed are unique in this field since: (1) they used both synthetic and real test data sets; (2) they measured conversion quality, accuracy and efficiency, not just how fast the procedure operated; and (3) they were conducted in a generic geographic information system (GIS) environment without the aid of specialized computer hardware. The results show that the best overall techniques are the ones which take advantage of spatial relationships inherent in the data sets. These were the Scan Line algorithm for vector to raster conversions and the Boundary Linking algorithm for raster to vector conversions.     

Measuring the significance of a divide to local drainage patterns

This article presents a framework for estimating a new topographic attribute derived from digital elevation models (DEMs) called maximum branch length (B _max). Branch length is defined as the distance travelled along a flow path initiated at one grid cell to the confluence with the flow path passing through a second cell. B _max is the longest branch length measured for a grid cell and its eight neighbours. The index provides a physically meaningful method for assessing the relative significance of drainage divides to the dispersion of materials and energy across a landscape, that is, it is a measure of ‘divide size’. B _max is particularly useful for studying divide network structure, for mapping drainage divides, and in landform classification applications. Sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the robustness of estimates of B _max to the algorithm used to estimate flow lengths and the prevalence of edge effects resulting from inadequate DEM extent. The findings suggest that the index is insensitive to the specific flow algorithm used but that edge effects can result in significant underestimation along major divides. Edge contamination can, however, be avoided by using an appropriately extensive DEM.     

上海地磁加卸载响应比资料分析与地震研究

采用GM4型磁通门磁力仪与佘山台57型地磁记录得到的地磁加卸载响应比值以刁进行地震中短期预测分析,通过对两种设备在共同观测时期得到的只2）值进行分析。结果表明：由不同设备得到的旧值能满足以往的异常判定标准,GM4磁通门磁力仪得到的P（Z）值映震能力较好．可与余山台57型地磁记录仪匹配使用。     

喜马拉雅东构造结周边地区地壳磁异常分布特征研究

根据波茨坦地磁场模型(POMME6.2),研究喜马拉雅东构造结周围地区地壳磁异常的空间分布、磁异常随高度的衰减特征.利用二维小波变换方法对地表磁异常进行分解,分析小波细节组合和逼近信号的异常特点.讨论磁异常与地质构造的联系.结果表明,研究区内地壳磁异常分布相当不均匀.喜马拉雅—东构造结—龙门山—大巴山地区分布着较强的负磁异常;四川盆地为正磁异常,其他地区磁异常较弱.东构造结对周围地区磁异常有重要影响,它及其周围地区的地壳磁异常都是在负磁或弱磁异常背景上,叠加着中短波长的正负磁异常.这些中小尺度磁异常由中、上层地壳磁性物质产生,走向与地质构造基本一致.沿金沙江、红河断裂带分布着清晰的弱磁异常带.龙门山断裂带、丽江—小金河断裂带和红河断裂带是磁异常强弱过渡带.青蒇高原中部东西向的磁异常,在东构造结弧顶地区呈弧形分布.青藏高原中部和滇中地块带状、团状磁异常具有相同的衰减规律.     

利用F10.7和Mg II构建太阳极紫外辐射长时间序列

利用SOHO/SEM在1996-2008年的太阳EUV观测数据,比较和评估F10.7和Mg II作为EUV代理参数的代表性,不能支持Viereck等关于Mg II是比F10.7更好的代理参数的结论.通过比较对两种参数的多种回归计算结果,确立双因子极大似然估计方法构建EUV计算模式,通过模型计算结果与SEM观测数据比较,表明该模型能够很好地重建EUV数据系列.利用该模式,构建了1978年11月以来的太阳极紫外辐射数据序列.     

Convection with heat flux prescribed on the boundaries of the system. I. The effect of temperature dependence of material properties

Abstract

We study the bifurcation to steady two-dimensional convection with the heat flux prescribed on the fluid boundaries. The fluid is weakly non-Boussinesq on account of a slight temperature dependence of its material properties. Using expansions in the spirit of shallow water theory based on the preference for large horizontal scales in fixed flux convection, we derive an evolution equation for the horizontal structure of convective cells. In the steady state, this reduces to a simple nonlinear ordinary differential equation. When the horizontal scales of the cells exceed a certain critical size, the bifurcation to steady convection is subcritical and the degree of subcriticality increases with increasing cell size.     

A drought outlook study in Korea

Abstract

Techniques are proposed for developing a monthly and weekly drought outlook and the drought outlook components are evaluated. A drought index, the surface water supply index (SWSI) was modified and used for the drought outlook. A water balance model (abcd) was successfully calibrated using a regional regression, including monthly and weekly factors, and was used to convert meteorology to hydrology. For the monthly drought outlook, an ensemble technique was applied, both with and without monthly industrial meteorology information (MIMI). For the weekly drought outlook, a deterministic forecasting technique was applied employing the Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System (GDAPS). The methodologies were applied to the Geum River basin in Korea. While only the weekly outlook using the GDAPS has sufficient forecasting capability to suggest it might be useful, the accuracy of the monthly drought outlook is expected to improve as the climate forecast accuracy increases.

Editor Z.W. Kundzewicz; Associate editor D. Hughes

Citation Kim, Y.-O., Lee, J.-K., and Palmer, R.N., 2012. A drought outlook study in Korea. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 57 (6), 1141–1153.     

Comparison of ten notable meteorological drought indices on tracking the effect of drought on streamflow

ABSTRACT

Ten notable meteorological drought indices were compared on tracking the effect of drought on streamflow. A 730-month dataset of precipitation, temperature and evapotranspiration for 88 catchments in Oregon, USA, representing pristine conditions, was used to compute the drought indices. These indices were correlated with the monthly streamflow datasets of the minimum, maximum and mean discharge, and the discharge monthly fluctuation; it was revealed that the 3-month Z-score drought index (Z3) has the best association with the four streamflow variables. The Mann-Kendall trend detection test applied to the latter index time series mainly highlighted a downward trend in the autumn and winter drought magnitude (DM) and an upward trend in the spring and summer DM (p = 0.05). Finally, the Pettitt test indicated an abrupt decline in the annual and autumn DM, which began in 1984 and 1986, respectively.     

3个时期骆马湖大型水生植物的分布及变化

大型水生植物对湖泊的生物地球化学循环具有重要影响.一方面,大型水生植物在生长过程吸收营养;另一方面,其通过向水体释放氧气而影响磷元素以及其他相关因子,进而影响磷元素的生物地球化学循环.为了从宏观上了解骆马湖生态系统变化,以1990年9月20日、2000年5月2日和2008年10月15日Landsat TM/ETM+影像为主要数据源,以大型水生植物的归一化植被指数(NDVI)为测试变量,运用分类回归树(classifica-tion and regression tree,CART)方法确定分割阈值,通过构建知识决策树的方法识别骆马湖大型水生植物动态变化特征.3个时期的遥感分类的总体精度与kappa系数分别为92.28％和0.87、91.73％和0.86、93.38％和0.88,因此,该方法的分类精度完全满足骆马湖水生植物分布及变化的研究.研究结果表明,骆马湖大型水生植物分布面积由1990年的55.461 6 km2,减少到2000年的41.801 4 km2,2008年又增加到79.065 km2;大型水生植物主要分布在骆马湖北部河湖交汇区;人类活动干扰是造成骆马湖大型水生植物分布面积发生变化的主要原因.