无人飞艇长导线源时域地空电磁勘探系统及其应用

以无人飞艇作为载体的时域地空电磁探测系统,具有高效、低成本、勘探深度大和空间分辨率高等优点.本文基于二维有限差分方法,分析了长导线源地空电磁响应的特征和变化规律、以及飞行高度的影响;在此基础上,采用32位Cortex-M3内核处理器,以全差分模拟前端压制电磁干扰,实现了24位低噪声多通道海量电磁数据的同步采样及存储,研制了一套可搭载于无人飞艇的时域电磁接收系统,并基于Wi-Fi Mesh无线多跳网络实现了地面远程监控.通过分析飞艇发动机的电磁噪声特点,采用独立分量分析法进行实测数据的噪声去除.研制的地空电磁接收系统使用无人飞艇搭载,在江苏省南通市如东县和内蒙古巴彦宝力格地区进行了电磁探测实验,地空电磁勘探结果与地面瞬变电磁和大地电磁方法进行了对比,证明了地空电磁探测方法的有效性.无人飞艇时域地空电磁探测系统的成功飞行实验,为在我国草原沙漠地区、海陆交互地带、沼泽地带、无人山区等特殊景观地区开展矿产资源、水资源、地质灾害等电磁探测提供了新方法和新思路.     

Asymmetric copula in multivariate flood frequency analysis

The univariate flood frequency analysis is widely used in hydrological studies. Often only flood peak or flood volume is statistically analyzed. For a more complete analysis the three main characteristics of a flood event i.e. peak, volume and duration are required. To fully understand these variables and their relationships, a multivariate statistical approach is necessary. The main aim of this paper is to define the trivariate probability density and cumulative distribution functions. When the joint distribution is known, it is possible to define the bivariate distribution of volume and duration conditioned on the peak discharge. Consequently volume–duration pairs, statistically linked to peak values, become available. The authors build trivariate joint distribution of flood event variables using the fully nested or asymmetric Archimedean copula functions. They describe properties of this copula class and perform extensive simulations to highlight differences with the well-known symmetric Archimedean copulas. They apply asymmetric distributions to observed flood data and compare the results those obtained using distributions built with symmetric copula and the standard Gumbel Logistic model.     

Wave propagation in a fully nonlinear numerical wave tank: A desingularized method

The problem of wave propagation in a fully nonlinear numerical wave tank is studied using desingularized boundary integral equation method coupled with mixed Eulerian–Lagrangian formulation. The present method is employed to solve the potential flow boundary value problem at each time step. The fourth-order predictor–corrector Adams–Bashforth–Moulton scheme is used for the time-stepping integration of the free surface boundary conditions. A damping layer near the end-wall of wave tank is added to absorb the outgoing waves with as little wave reflection back into the wave tank as possible. The saw-tooth instability is overcome via a five-point Chebyshev smoothing scheme. The model is applied to several wave propagations including solitary, irregular and random incident waves.     

FGOALS模式4个版本太平洋年代际气候变率模拟的比较

本文选用中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室(LASG/IAP)发展的全球海洋—大气—陆面气候系统模式(FGOALS)的4个版本g2.0、s2.0、g1.1和g1,利用模式的长时间积分结果,结合观测、再分析资料比较、评估模式对太平洋年代际变率的模拟能力,并通过对海气相互作用及其海洋动力过程分析,探讨了模式中太平洋年代际振荡形成机制.研究发现,FGOALS 模式g2.0和s2.0版本对太平洋年代际振荡(PDO/IPO)的模拟能力优于 g1.1和g1.模式中太平洋年代际变率的正反馈过程与Bjerknes(1969)提出的海气相互作用正反馈机制有关,其负反馈则主要与海洋内部动力过程有关.太平洋异常经向热量输送将热带与中纬度海洋联系在一起,可以抑制正反馈作用,但无法使得年代际振荡变化位相发生反转;FGOALS模式中,热带海表温度(SST)暖距平信号通过大气桥影响热带外大气环流,在海气作用下,热带与热带外海洋次表层分别以Kelvin 波和Rossby 波的形式传播,使得冷暖位相反转,4个版本均能再现这种负反馈机制.但不同版本Rossby波所处的纬度不同,太平洋SST异常年代际变化信号最明显的范围越宽,则由此激发的Rossby 波便更为偏北,纬度越高Rossby 波西传的时间也越长,PDO/IPO的周期与其SST异常的经向尺度密切相关.     

An unconditionally stable explicit and precise multiple timescale finite element modeling scheme for the fully coupled hydro-mechanical analysis of saturated poroelastic media

An unconditionally stable, fully explicit and highly precise multiple timescale finite element modeling scheme is described for a fully coupled hydro-mechanical (FCHM) analysis of saturated poroelastic media. The finite element method (FEM) is used for the discretization of the FCHM differential equation in the space domain. Direct integration is performed based on the precise time step integration method (PTSIM) for the time derivatives. Two configurations for the proposed scheme are constructed (abbreviated as PTSIM-f1 and -f2, respectively). The stability and convergence of the PTSIM-f1 and -f2 are proved using a matrix-based spectral analysis in the time domain. It is demonstrated that the explicit scheme proposed in this paper is unconditionally stable and independent of the time-step size. The algorithmic error estimation results indicate that the numerical modeling performed using PTSIM-f1 and -f2 in the time domain match the computer precision. Theoretically, the algorithmic error is caused by only the mesh discretization. Therefore, the proposed modeling scheme is a semi-analytical scheme. The applicability and accuracy of the proposed scheme are examined using sample calculations. By comparing with the analytical solutions, it is indicated that the modeling results have significant advantages over the standard FEM in terms of precision and computational efficiency for large timescales.     

Extreme wave run-up and pressure on a vertical seawall

The performance of coastal vertical seawalls in extreme weather events is studied numerically, aiming to provide guidance in designing and reassessing coastal structures with vertical wall. The extreme wave run-up and the pressure on the vertical seawall are investigated extensively. A time-domain higher-order boundary element method (HOBEM) is coupled with a mixed Eulerian-Lagrangian technique as a time marching technique. Focused wave groups are generated by a piston wave-maker in the numerical wave tank using a wave focusing technique for accurately reproducing extreme sea states. An acceleration-potential scheme is used to calculate the transient wave loads. Comparisons with experimental data show that the extended numerical model is able to accurately predict extreme wave run-ups and pressures on a vertical seawall. The effects of the wave spectrum bandwidth, the wall position and the wave nonlinearity on the wave run-up and the maximum wave load on the vertical seawall are investigated by doing parametric studies.     

Viscous free surface effect on coastal embankment hydrodynamics

A finite-differnece method was used to calculate the nonlinear hydrodynamic pressures acting on the coastal embankment faces by seismic-wave actions. The nonlinearity of free surface flow, convective acceleration, viscosity and surface tension of fluid are included in the analysis. The kinematic and dynamic free surface boundary conditions are employed for calculating the horizontal fluid velocity, pressure at the free surface and the surface profile of the fluid. The time-dependent water surface is transformed to the horizontal plane, and the flow field is mapped onto a rectangular, making it convenient to model the complex sea bottom geometry and the wavy water surface by the finite-difference method. Fully nonlinear and weakly nonlinear dynamic free surface conditions are used and compared. The effects of surface tension of fluid are also discussed. The nonslip boundary condition is applied on the most part of the interface between fluid and solid face, except the region near the intersection between free surface and wall face. The numerical results are presented for various water depths and ground motion intensities, and their associate viscous effects on coastal embankment hydrodynamics are discussed.     

Numerical simulation of non-linear regular and focused waves in an infinite water-depth

Inviscid three-dimensional free surface wave motions are simulated using a novel quadratic higher order boundary element model (HOBEM) based on potential theory for irrotational, incompressible fluid flow in an infinite water-depth. The free surface boundary conditions are fully non-linear. Based on the use of images, a channel Green function is developed and applied to the present model so that two lateral surfaces of an infinite-depth wave tank can be excluded from the calculation domain. In order to generate incident waves and dissipate outgoing waves, a non-reflective wave generator, composed of a series of vertically aligned point sources in the computational domain, is used in conjunction with upstream and downstream damping layers. Numerical experiments are carried out, with linear and fully non-linear, regular and focused waves. It can be seen from the results that the present approach is effective in generating a specified wave profile in an infinite water-depth without reflection at the open boundaries, and fully non-linear numerical simulations compare well with theoretical solutions. The present numerical technique is aimed at efficient modelling of the non-linear wave interactions with ocean structures in deep water.     

评“紫坪铺水库造成孔隙弹性耦合变化及其对2008年汶川地震触发作用”二维模拟的局限性

2014年10月《地球物理学报》出版的陶玮等(2014)"紫坪铺水库造成孔隙弹性耦合变化及其对2008年汶川地震触发作用"一文基于完全耦合孔隙弹性理论,采用二维有限单元法模拟了紫坪铺水库蓄水造成的库区应力场和孔隙压力场的变化.该文模拟计算原则和思路是正确的,但仍然采用二维模型是一个不足.真实三维模型中水库是有限的一定面积内的载荷;而二维计算模型,却把水库载荷作为无限长的带状载荷,夸大了水库的作用.如果考虑三维模型,该研究得到的震源处库仑应力增长2~25kPa的结论可能只能解读为0.7~8.0kPa.对于紫坪铺水库是否对汶川地震有触发作用,目前各个研究组估计的库仑应力变化恰好处在是否可以触发的边缘.取得进一步认识的关键有赖于对地下结构、状态和物性认识的突破性进展.     

基于街景图像的可解释性城市感知模型研究方法

理解城市环境对人类感知的影响,对城市合理规划及布局具有重要的人文参考价值。城市环境是一个动态变化的复杂系统,具有空间异质性的特点。由于研究方法的限制,在复杂的城市环境中,以往基于街景图像的城市感知研究难以全面精细地分析环境关键要素对人类感知的影响。本研究以武汉市中心为研究区,首先利用全卷积神经网络将街景图像分割为城市地物类型,耦合感知打分数据和随机森林算法建立6类城市感知模型;然后基于沙普利值方法分解在随机森林模型中各类城市地物对人类感知的影响,并识别城市环境关键要素;最后结合分解结果,探究在非线性模型中沙普利值方法的适用性和优势。结果表明：沙普利值方法能够有效考虑环境异质性,精确地定量表示在不同场景中各类地物对人类感知的影响;城市高楼、天空、绿地空间是对人类感知影响最大的3类地物,且地物的体积和分布与其对人类感知的影响有关,图像占比大、分布连续的地物对人类感知的影响比图像占比小、分布离散的地物对人类感知的影响大;受城市环境空间异质性的影响,主要地物类型对各类感知的影响程度和形式有显著不同;高楼与人类感知为非线性关系,且具有明显的单调递增或递减的形式;绿地空间与积极感知呈非线性关系,与...