东亚春季强冷锋结构及其动力学诊断研究 I. 东亚春季强冷锋结构

本文利用常规探空资料和华东中尺度试验的部分资料，对1983年春季一次快速南下，并在江淮地区产生大范围强对流天气的冷锋进行了三维结构的分析。通过研究发现，这次冷锋过程主要有以下特征: （1） 与冷锋相对应的高空槽前存在一支下沉（DVM）气流；（2）有一强的辐合区出现在对流层中层，锋前上升运动的最大值也出现在对流层中层；（3）比较强的锋生过程主要集中于对流层中下层；（4）存在一支明显的热力直接环流（TDC），即暖湿空气沿冷锋倾斜上升；（5）在冷锋后存在一支较强的下沉气流（DVM），这支DVM对冷锋逆温层（或等温层）的形成可能有重要作用。并将此次东亚春季强冷锋个例与小仓义光（Ogura）等分析的北美春季冷锋（SESAME）个例作了对比，发现此次冷锋个例中，锋区的温度密集区主要在对流层中层，而北美SESAME个例温度密集区主要在对流层低层。这可能是由于东亚高空急流较强，动力强迫而引发锋生所致。     

地形对地转适应和锋生的影响

作者的目的是分析地形对由于热力差异所引起的局地锋生现象和地转适应过程的影响．为此，分别用零位涡流和均匀位涡流来近似代替实际大气，并借助位涡、绝对动量、位温的守恒关系，就地形对适应锋生和适应过程中能量转换等问题进行了简单讨论。初始位温扰动的水平分布及其相对于地形的位置对适应锋生有重要影响。当初始热力扰动主要位于地形迎风坡山脚时，地形不利于锋面形成，这时要形成锋面不连续，初始位温梯度的水平变化必须非常显著；当初始热力扰动主要位于山顶附近时，地形促进流体运动的辐合，有利于锋面不连续的形成，这时即使初始位温梯度的水平变化不是很大，也可能会形成锋面；当初始热力扰动主要位于背风坡时，地形是否有利于锋面不连续的形成取决于流体的层结情况，如果流体的基本层结很弱，地形促进锋面不连续的形成，反之，地形不利于锋面不连续的形成，这种差异主要是由于在这两种情况下，地形引起的下沉增温效应的强弱是不同的。另外，地形对地转适应过程中动能和位能之间的能量转换率也有影响，与没有地形的情况相比，当初始热力差异显著区位于迎风坡时，能量转换率减小，当不平衡场位于背风坡时，能量转换率增加，原因是在迎风坡流体要克服重力作功，在背风坡重力对流体作正功。     

GOCE Gravity Field Processing Strategy

A processing strategy and the corresponding software architecture for the processing of GOCE (Gravity field and steady-state Ocean Circulation Explorer) observables is presented and described, with the major objective to compute a high-accuracy, high-resolution spherical harmonic model of the Earth's gravity field. The combination of two numerical solution strategies, i.e. the rigorous solution of the corresponding large normal equation systems applying parallel processing (on a PC cluster) as the core solver, and the fast semianalytic approach as a quick-look gravity field analysis (QL-GFA) tool, is proposed. Such a method fusion benefits from the advantages of the individual components: the rigorous inversion of the system providing also the full variance-covariance information, and the quickness enabling the consecutive production of intermediate gravity field solutions, for the purpose to analyse partial and incomplete data sets and to derive a diagnosis of the performance of the GOCE measurement system. The functionality and operability of the individual components are demonstrated in the framework of a closed loop simulation, which is based on a realistic mission scenario both in terms of the orbit configuration and the coloured measuring noise. Special concern is given to the accuracy of the recovered coefficients, the numerical behaviour, the required computing time, and the particular role of the individual modules within the processing chain. In the case of the core solver, it is demonstrated that the assembling and rigorous solution of large normal equation systems can be handled by using Beowulf clusters within a reasonable computing time. The application of the quick-look tool to partial data sets with short-term data gaps is demonstrated on the basis of several case studies. Additionally, the spectral analysis of the residuals of the adjustment is presented as a valuable tool for the verification of the noise characteristics of the GOCE gradiometer.     

Study on financial loss and its adjustment in earthquake insurance

Introduction Earthquake often brings large catastrophe to the mankind, especially in recent years when a large number of destructive earthquakes occur in the whole globe, which have caused tremendous casualties and losses to the people. Obviously, it is not very reasonable to make up financial losses and carry out post-seismic reconstruction by the government only for such kind of huge earth- quake losses. Therefore, as an effective measure to raise fund and make up financial losses, earth- qu…     

论不同模式大气中的静力适应过程

为了研究大气静力平衡适应过程的本质,利用波动理论和能量转换角度,分别对完全可压缩的等温大气模型、滞弹近似下的等温大气模型和层结中性大气模型进行研究比较.结果表明：大气静力平衡适应过程的本质是声波和混合声重力波对扰动能量的频散过程,滞弹近似模型和层结中性模型均不能完全描述此适应过程;在波动假设下,此三类大气模型中扰动物理量之间的偏振关系同波动的性质有关,气团的运动方程均为椭圆方程,声波和混合声重力波对气团运动的作用差异较显著.
大气静力平衡适应过程中扰动能量以有效势能、有效弹性势能、动能或波动能量的形式存在并相互转换;扰动有效势能与其他形式能量之间的转换与混合声重力波或者重力内波有关,扰动有效弹性势能与其他形式能量之间的转换与声波有关.在完全可压缩的等温大气模型中,扰动有效势能增加1个单位,其中69.9%来自扰动垂直动能,其余30.1%来自扰动有效弹性势能.     

多网重力数据联合平差和系统误差改正

华北地区现行的地震重力监测网由于独立联测, 自成体系, 绝对控制点较少, 获得的重力场动态变化图像在绝对控制较弱的地区会产生畸变, 也不能有效的消除仪器标定系统所引起的测量误差。 本文以华北大网作为控制网, 结合绝对重力点进行联合平差计算, 使各省区地震重力监测网平差精度提高了(0~4)×10^-8 m/s², 平差起算基准相统一, 绝对控制较弱的地区畸变减小。 采用相关系数检验法, 对华北地区各省区地震重力监测网2010年二期重力平差计算结果进行检验, 部分重力点位系统误差高达60×10^-8 m/s², 经过系统误差改正后, 重力场动态变化趋于一致。 经过各项改正后, 华北地区2010年重力场动态差分图像对地震前兆具有更好的反映。     

Vegetation turnover in a braided river: frequency and effectiveness of floods of different magnitude

This work addresses the temporal dynamics of riparian vegetation in large braided rivers, exploring the relationship between vegetation erosion and flood magnitude. In particular, it investigates the existence of a threshold discharge, or a range of discharges, above which erosion of vegetated patches within the channel occurs. The research was conducted on a 14 km long reach of the Tagliamento River, a braided river in north‐eastern Italy. Ten sets of aerial photographs were used to investigate vegetation dynamics in the period 1954–2011. By using different geographic information system (GIS) procedures, three aspects of geomorphic‐vegetation dynamics and interactions were addressed: (i) long‐term (1954–2011) channel evolution and vegetation dynamics; (ii) the relationship between vegetation erosion/establishment and flow regime; (iii) vegetation turnover, in the period 1986–2011. Results show that vegetation turnover is remarkably rapid in the study reach with 50% of in‐channel vegetation persisting for less than 5–6 years and only 10% of vegetation persisting for more than 18–19 years. The analysis shows that significant vegetation erosion is determined by relatively frequent floods, i.e. floods with a recurrence interval of c. 1–2.5 years, although some differences exist between sub‐reaches with different densities of vegetation cover. These findings suggest that the erosion of riparian vegetation in braided rivers may not be controlled solely by very large floods, as is the case for lower energy gravel‐bed rivers. Besides flow regime, other factors seem to play a significant role for in‐channel vegetation cover over long time spans. In particular, erosion of marginal vegetation, which supplies large wood elements to the channel, increased notably over the study period and was an important factor for in‐channel vegetation trends. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

新时期弱震区地市级地震局(办)的改革思路和对策

在现阶段由计划经济转向社会主义市场经济的新形势下,本文就地市地震局(办)的自身性质,提出了弱震区地震局(办)改革的总体构想和思路,并从管理理论出发就人才生命周期的特点,提出拓宽业务领域,强化科研意识,引进竞争机制,完善服务手段等对策。对目前地方地震队伍的发展提出了方向性意见和预测。     

THE RIVER CHANNEL ADJUSTMENT AS INFLUENCED BY THE FLOODPLAIN GEOECOSYSTEM： AN EXAMPLE FROM THE HONGSHAN RESERVOIR

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概括平差模型的解法探讨

分析了概括平差模型系数矩阵可能出现非列满秩情况的原因,研究了如何使系数矩阵为列满秩矩阵,避免了系数矩阵为非列满秩时的复杂解算过程。