Modelling the compliance of crustal rock—II. Response to temporal changes before earthquakes

There have been several claims that seismic shear waves respond to changes in stress before earthquakes. The companion paper develops a stress-sensitive model (APE) for the behaviour of low-porosity low-permeability crystalline rocks containing pervasive distributions of fluid-filled intergranular microcracks, and this paper uses APE to model the behaviour before earthquakes. Modelling with APE shows that the microgeometry and statistics of distributions of such fluid-filled microcracks respond almost immediately to changes in stress, and that the behaviour can be monitored by analysing seismic shear-wave splitting. The physical reasons for the coupling between shear-wave splitting and differential stress are discussed.
In this paper, we extend the model by using percolation theory to show that large crack densities are limited at the grain-scale level by the percolation threshold at which interacting crack clusters lead to pronounced increases in rock-matrix permeability. In the simplest formulation, the modelling is dimensionless and almost entirely constrained without free parameters. Nevertheless, APE modelling of the evolution of fluid-saturated rocks under stress reproduces the observed fracture criticality and the narrow range of shear-wave azimuthal anisotropy in crustal rocks. It also reproduces the behaviour of temporal variations in shear-wave splitting observed before and after the 1986, M = 6, North Palm Springs earthquake, Southern California, and several other smaller earthquakes.
The agreement of APE modelling with a wide range of observations confirms that fluid-saturated crystalline rocks are stress-sensitive and respond to changes in stress by critical fluid-rock interactions at the microscale level. This means that the effects of changes in stress and other parameters can be numerically modelled and monitored by appropriate observations of seismic shear waves.     

南极长城站地区粘土矿物的空间分布规律与成因探讨

对南极长城站地区粘土矿物的空间分布与某些元素的地球化学行为之间的相关关系给予了较为详细的研究，并从地球化学方面探讨了粘土矿物的成因。研究表明，Ｃａ和Ｍｇ元素是高岭石生成的主要控制因子，高岭石的空间分布是两者共同作用的结果。Ｓｉ、Ｃａ、Ｍｇ和Ｆｅ元素的地球化学行为与蒙脱石在空间上的含量变化有明显的相关关系。Ｓｉ元素对蒙脱石的生成起到了较大的作用。     

The Zihuatanejo, Mexico, earthquake of 1994 December 10 (M= 6.6): source characteristics and tectonic implications

An analysis of the Zihuatanejo, Mexico, earthquake of 1994 December 10 ( M = 6.6), based on teleseismic and near-source data, shows that it was a normal-faulting, intermediate-depth ( H = 50 ± 5 km) event. It was located about 30 km inland, within the subducted Cocos plate. The preferred fault plane has an azimuth of 130°, a dip of 79° and a rake of −86°. The rupture consisted of two subevents which were separated in time by about 2 s, with the second subevent occurring downdip of the first. The measured stress drop was relatively high, requiring a Δσ of about a kilobar to explain the high-frequency level of the near-source spectra. A rough estimate of the thickness of the seismogenic part of the oceanic lithosphere below Zihuatanejo, based on the depth and the rupture extent of this event, is 40 km.
This event and the Oaxaca earthquake of 1931 January 15 ( M = 7.8) are the two significant normal-faulting, intermediate-depth shocks whose epicentres are closest to the coast. Both of these earthquakes were preceded by several large to great shallow, low-angle thrust earthquakes, occurring updip. The observations in other subduction zones show just the opposite: normal-faulting events precede, not succeed, updip, thrust shocks. Indeed, the thrust events, soon after their occurrence, are expected to cause compression in the slab, thus inhibiting the occurrence of normal-faulting events. To explain the occurrence of the Zihuatanejo earthquake, we note that the Cocos plate, after an initial shallow-angle subduction, unbends and becomes subhorizontal. In the region of the unbending, the bottom of the slab is in horizontal extension. We speculate that the large updip seismic slip during shallow, low-angle thrust events increases the buckling of the slab, resulting in an incremental tensional stress at the bottom of the slab and causing normal-faulting earthquakes. This explanation may also hold for the 1931 Oaxaca event.     

X2检验假设分布有效性的岩体工程应用

在工程地质问题中许多现象是不确定、且具有随机分布的特性，而这种随机分布特性往往可以采用某种形式的密度函数来描述。采用Ｘ２检验假设分布有效性是一个重要的方法，采用该法可以获得观测数据最佳拟合的概率模型，通过自编程序可以同时检验多种概率密度函数并选取最佳模型。本文将介绍这一方法，并通过一个实例加以说明。     

从生物化石的性质和分布分析秦岭上升的阶段性与幅度

本文从生物化石的性质、分布的与我国南、北方同期生物群的对比，分析了秦岭从中生代晚期以来各个时期上升的幅度。秦岭在三叠纪末期成陆后即开始隆起，但隆起幅度有限。白垩纪与古新世该区地形高低悬殊不大。早第三纪中、后期秦岭有一次强烈的隆起活动，地形起伏，且对动物的迁移起了明显的阻碍作用。相继产生的夷平作用使晚第三纪秦岭区内的动物仍与区外的保持着较好的往来交流。早更新世末期秦岭再次表现出了垂直运动的特点。由于     

使用“对数正态分布”时易犯的错误

本文对对数正态分布的数学含义及其与原始分布之间的关系作了重新说明，纠正了目前化探中使用对数正态分布假设时常犯的一个错误。     

中国北西部地区地浸砂岩型铀矿床的成矿条件与分布规律

中亚地区发现大量可地浸砂岩型铀矿床引起了我国的重视 ,目前正在积极开展此类型铀矿的找矿工作。我国北西部是寻找类似中亚地区层间氧化带后生地浸砂岩型铀矿床最理想的地区 ,本文在论述了区域大地构造特征、地壳演化与区域铀成矿带形成的基础上 ,着重阐明了区域中新生代盆地地浸砂岩型铀矿床形成的铀源条件、盆地类型与结构及富铀性对形成地浸砂岩型铀矿的影响 ;并以区内已有层间氧化带地浸砂岩型铀矿床为例 (伊犁盆地、二连盆地与测老庙盆地砂岩型铀矿床 ) ,论述了盆地砂岩型铀矿床形成的岩相古地理条件、水文地质与层间氧化带发育条件及对铀成矿的影响 ;并阐述了本区层间氧化带地浸砂岩型铀矿床的分布规律     

试论HACSAMT法

HACSAMT法在不增加任何设备、工作人员、工作时间的前提下,观测基波信号的同时,采集其高次谐波的振幅和相位的数据,大大地提高了劳动效率,而且,由于运用了谐波的有用信号,加密了CSAMT法勘探的频率,从而,提高了CSANT法的纵向勘探分辨率     

考虑入渗和蒸发影响的土坡稳定性分析方法

本研究建议的一种分析方法假定斜坡非饱和土体的水分运动参数及剪强度参数与饱和度的依赖关系均可根据实验或经验确定。通过数值计算方法妥任意给定的入渗和蒸发边界条件下斜坡土体的瞬态含水率分布及与其相对应的瞬态抗剪强度参数分布。在此基础上瞬态斜坡安全因数即可通过常规的稳定性分析方法求得。     

An application of factor analysis for the study of the hydrogeological conditions in Plio-Pleistocene aquifers of NW Achaia (NW peloponnesus, Greece)

R- andQ-mode factor analysis is applied to 51 groundwater samples collected from wells drilled in the Plio-Pleistocene aquifers of NW Achaia, Greece. The purpose ofR- andQ-mode factor analysis application is to identify (i) the regional groundwater flow pattern, and (ii) the deterioration of groundwater quality. Sixteen hydrogeological parameters are used in order to examine their importance and to provide significant insight into their correlations. In theR-mode factor analysis, a six-factor model is suggested which can explain more than 77.5% of the total variance. The contribution of each factor at every site (factor scores) also is computed. Maps are constructed showing the geographical distribution of the factor scores. From these maps, the high salinity areas are delineated (seawater intrusion, possible appearance of halite layers) and the areas with elevated contribution of karastic-water are defined. Using theQ-mode correspondence analysis the meaning of the electrical conductivity as the most important variable in groundwater quality characterization is demonstrated.