Multiple‐tuned liquid column dampers for torsional vibration control of structures: theoretical investigation

This paper presents a theoretical investigation on the performance of multiple‐tuned liquid column dampers (MTLCD) for reducing torsional vibration of structures in comparison with single‐tuned liquid column dampers (STLCD). The analytical model is first developed for torsional vibration of a structure with an MTLCD under either harmonic excitation or white noise excitation. The experimental results are then used to verify the analytical model for coupled MTLCD‐structure systems under harmonic excitation. The performance of an MTLCD and its beneficial parameters for achieving the maximum torsional response reduction to white noise excitation are finally investigated through an extensive parametric study in terms of the distance from the centre line of the MTLCD to the rotational axis of the structure, the ratio of the horizontal length to the total length of liquid column, frequency bandwidth, head‐loss coefficient, the number of TLCD units in an MTLCD, frequency‐turning ratio and the spectral level of excitation moment. The results show that there is an optimal head‐loss coefficient and an optimal frequency bandwidth for an MTLCD to achieve the maximum torsional response reduction. It is also demonstrated that the sensitivity of an optimized MTLCD to the frequency‐tuning ratio is less than that of an optimized STLCD, and it can be further improved by increasing the bandwidth but at the cost of less torsional vibration reduction. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

考虑地层变异特征一致性的围岩变形不确定性分析

目前地层变异性分析大多基于地层重复性沉积和变异特征一致性假设,而未考虑地质构造和风化作用的影响,忽略了地层变异性特征一致性的检验。为此,提出地层变异特征一致性的检验和分区方法,采用岩土相局部状态转移概率矩阵的相关系数作为一致性的定量判据,基于耦合Markov链模型模拟地层分布,并通过Monte Carlo方法分析隧道围岩变形的不确定性。利用青岛轨道交通某斜井的地质钻孔数据,探讨了地层变异特征一致性对地层分布和变形模拟精度的影响,分析了所提方法的有效性。结果表明,当地质构造和风化作用导致地层变异特征不一致时,增加钻孔数量无法提高地层分布模拟精度,采用所提方法对地层变异特征一致性检验并分区后,可避免状态转移概率矩阵中局部地层分布特征缺失的问题,提高围岩变形不确定性分析的准确性。     

Objective quantitative spatial verification of distributed snow cover simulations—an experiment for the whole of Switzerland / Vérification quantitative spatiale objective de simulations distribuées de la couche de neige—une étude pour l'ensemble de la Suisse

Abstract

Skill measures based on 2 × 2 contingency tables were adopted for the quantitative internal verification of snow cover simulations with the distributed hydrological model PREVAH, which provided a high resolution simulation of the hydrological cycle for Switzerland for the 1981–2000 period. Simulated snow cover has been compared to data monitored at 103 stations. The skill measures provide valuable quantitative indications on the correspondence of the modelled and observed values. The analysis with objective scores reveals better model estimates of snow cover presence and distribution in locations above 1000 m a.s.l., relative to lower areas. For explicit spatial verification, 20 NOAA-AVHRR snow cover scenes were compared to the model results. The spatial and temporal differences in the agreement between observed and simulated snow cover patterns were assessed. PREVAH provides reliable snow cover simulations. The results also reveal that scores from 2 × 2 contingency tables provide objective methodological support in the quantitative estimation of the agreement between observed and simulated spatial patterns.     

基于SWAN雷达拼图产品在暴雨过程中的对流云降水识别及效果检验

本文基于SWAN雷达拼图产品,选取了组合反射率因子、组合反射率因子水平梯度、回波顶高及垂直累积液态水含量作为识别参数,采用模糊逻辑法对暴雨过程中的对流云与层状云降水进行了分类试验,对发生在重庆的12次区域性暴雨天气过程分类结果进行了验证。并以ADTD地闪资料作为对流云降水的实况观测数据,分别采用了四种不同半径的空间匹配与四种不同时间匹配方式对识别出的对流云降水产品进行了定量检验。检验结果显示:随着空间匹配半径的增大,正确率明显提高,而6 min地闪相对于6 min拼图产品提前6、3、0 min及滞后3 min四种时间匹配方式,其正确率变化很小。对于12次暴雨过程的总体评分较高,检验方法具有清楚的物理意义,在不同的时空匹配方式下的评分结果符合实际情况,同时说明对流云与层状云降水分类效果较好,也是对对流云降水识别定量检验的一次探索。     

Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensity Guidance Evaluations Using an Alternative Verification Technique

In this study, six intensity forecast guidance techniques from the East China Regional Meteorological Center are verified for the 2008 and 2009 typhoon seasons through an alternative forecast verification technique. This technique is used to verify intensity forecasts if those forecasts call for a typhoon to dissipate or if the real typhoon dissipates. Using a contingency table, skill scores, chance, and probabilities are computed. It is shown that the skill of the six tropical cyclone intensity guidance techniques was highest for the 12-h forecasts, while the lowest skill of all the six models did not occur in 72-h forecasting. For both the 2008 and 2009 seasons, the average probabilities of the forecast intensity having a small error (6 m s-1) tended to decrease steadily. Some of the intensity forecasts had small skill scores, but the associated probabilities of the forecast intensity errors > 15 m s-1 were not the highest.     

2018年6月青岛近岸一次海雾导致能见度变化的成因分析

2018年6 月5~9日青岛近海发生一次海雾天气过程,为6月9日2018上海合作组织青岛峰会开幕式演出的天气预报服务,特别是能见度精细化预报带来了很大的预报难点。本文分析了此次海雾天气的生消过程,并重点讨论了6月9日能见度变化的主要原因。4~7日边界层内接近接地的强逆温层的建立,有利于海雾的形成与维持。由于白天时段日射增温导致能见度好转,海雾出现日变化。自7日夜间开始地面气压场梯度明显减弱,南风减弱转为偏东风,暖湿气流供应减弱不利于海雾天气的维持。8日之后,边界层内上升运动逐渐增强且混合层高度明显增加,中低层干冷空气的侵入,导致边界层内逆温结构被破坏、近地面湿层消失,使此次海雾过程趋于消散。9日傍晚的能见度条件基本达到演出要求。9日夜间受焰火燃放污染物影响,能见度短时波动。各种海雾客观预报方法预报准确率达到66%左右,主观预报订正准确性高于客观预报。     

GPS卫星天线特性与相位中心一致性检定

天线相位中心一致性的检测是GPS接收机检定工作中必不可少的内容。介绍了GPS卫星天线特性与微带天线相位中心变化模型．对天线相位中心的一致性检定原理及校准方法等进行了研究和探讨。     

基于矿业权实地核查的湖北省矿政管理信息系统

为了将湖北省矿业权核查、矿产资源规划等数据库有机融合,为矿政管理提供一体化服务模式,提出了一张图管矿的总体工作思路、数据库建设、系统框架及实现方法,并开发了相应的信息系统.实际应用表明,“一张图管矿”系统改进了矿政管理业务模式,有效提升了服务水平,应用效果良好.     

矿业权实地核查关键技术探析

矿业权实地核查是国土资源大调查中的一项重要工作,是国家加强矿政管理的重要举措,其成果是合理设置矿业权、保障矿产资源勘查开发秩序的重要依据。该文结合山东省矿业权实地核查工作经验,对影响核查成果质量及工作效率的测量技术、数据转换、数据库建设等关键技术进行了探讨,对今后矿业权实地核查工作具有指导意义。     

极端天气指数在强对流天气中的应用及检验

数值预报特别是集合预报技术大大提高了对极端天气的预报能力,目前对于温度、风、降水等要素,欧洲中心基于集合预报产品计算的极端指数产品为其极端性提供了定量化依据。但目前尚没有应用于业务预报的强对流天气极端指数产品,本文统计了与强对流天气密切相关的物理量,并计算了其极端天气指数,统计了极端天气指数在不同强对流天气中的阈值分布。结果表明,极端天气指数与强对流天气有密切的关系,且不同类型的强对流天气极端指数的分布和阈值具有各自的特点。基于上述结果,利用极端指数和模式降水资料,使用支持向量机方法,建立了不同类型强对流天气的客观预报方法,为业务预报极端强对流天气提供客观支持产品。