2004年12月26日印尼北苏门答腊以西近海Ms9.0地震与地震的类临界点模型

使用哈佛CMT资料， 研究了2004年12月26日印尼北苏门答腊以西近海MW9.0地震前的长期地震活动. 这次地震前， 在1/4世纪的时间尺度、 1 500 km的空间尺度上， 存在加速矩释放（AMR）现象. 在这一空间尺度范围内，MW9.0地震仍落在分段的幂律分布上. 因此, 从地震的类临界点模型的角度考虑， 对这次特大地震的发生和地震的大小既无预测、 亦无预报的情况， 并非由物理上的ldquo;不可预测性rdquo;所致.      

On the Consistency of Large Earthquake Moment and Strain Rate Inferred from GPS Data in North China

INTRODUCTIONStudyingthe relation between the accumulation of crustal strain and the release rate of seismicmoment is animportant subject of earth science research.It is also one of the important methods ofestimatingthe future seismic risk(Ward,1994;1998a;…     

Moment tensor inversion and source rupture process of the September 27, 2003 M_S=7.9 earthquake occurred in the border area of China, Russia and Mongolia

IntroductionOn September 27, 2003, an earthquake of MS=7.9 struck the border area of China, Russia and Mongolia. According to the field investigation from the Earthquake Administration of XinjiangAutonomous Region, the whole northern Tianshan region felt the hit. Buildings and structures within six counties and one city in Altay region, which is total about 0.11×106 km2 area, were damaged to different extent and caused certain economic losses. The epicenter determined by China National …     

Inclusion of P–Δ effect in displacement‐based seismic design of steel moment resisting frames

A procedure for treating the P– Δ effect in the direct displacement‐based seismic design of regular steel moment resisting frames with ideal elastoplastic material behaviour is proposed. A simple formula for the yield displacement amplification factor as a function of ductility and the stability coefficient is derived on the basis of the seismic response of an inelastic single degree‐of‐freedom system taking into account the P– Δ effect. Extensive parametric seismic inelastic analyses of plane moment resisting steel frames result in a simple formula for the dynamic stability coefficient as a function of the number of stories of a frame and the column to beam stiffness ratio. Thus, the P– Δ effect can be easily taken into account in a direct displacement‐based seismic design through the stability coefficient and the yield displacement amplification factor. A simple design example serves to illustrate the application of the proposed method and demonstrate its merits. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Artificial neural network application to estimate kinematic soil pile interaction response parameters

Six artificial neural network (ANN) models are developed to predict various response parameters of kinematic soil pile interaction. These responses include (1) kinematic response factors for free and fixed head piles in homogenous soil layer to derive foundation input motion (2) normalized bending moment at fixed head of pile in homogenous soil layer (3) normalized kinematic pile moment at the interface of two soil layers of sharply different soil stiffnesses. These ANN models represent simple solutions that can be implemented in a simple calculator capable of matrix operation and bypass the site response analysis and the complex wave diffraction analysis. The data required for ANN training is generated using beam on dynamic Winkler formulation (BDWF). Fifty percent of the data is used to train the ANN models while remaining 50% is used to test the ANN models. The trained ANN models show good agreement with BDWF results.     

一个潮流不对称计算方法及其在北仑河口的应用

河口近岸海域潮流不对称对于物质输运、地形地貌变化有重要作用,因此研究河口近岸海域潮流不对称具有重要的意义。从统计学角度出发推导了一种潮流不对称的计算方法,并将该方法应用于全日潮类型的北仑河口。研究认为:从三阶原点矩出发推导的计算方法能够合理的量化潮流不对称;潮流不对称的方向由分潮的相对相位决定,不同分潮对潮流不对称的影响大小由其相对振幅和相对相位共同决定;在正规全日潮海区,三阶原点矩即可满足对潮流不对称的计算。北仑河口潮流表现为落潮流速占主导,潮流不对称空间上表现为口门强于外海,浅滩强于深槽。     

年径流频率分析的一次二阶矩法及其应用

针对流量资料极短时传统年径流频率分析方法——适线法不再适用的问题,分析了基于水文过程,由影响径流形成的因子推求年径流频率的一次二阶矩法的可行性,并讨论其在无流量资料流域应用中所存在的问题与解决方法。以江西省20个流域为研究对象,采用无参数Schreiber方程与单参数Fu-Zhang方程的水量平衡式作为年降雨—径流模型,结果表明:①一次二阶矩法的分析结果与实测年径流的经验频率较为吻合;②无流量资料流域中,忽略土壤含水量年间变化的作用,Fu-Zhang模型的分析结果比Schreiber模型好;③无流量资料流域中,Fu-Zhang模型中的参数ω可采用反距离权重法估计。     

Stochastic inversion for the roll gyradius second moment mass property in ships at full-scale and model-scale

In current Naval Architecture practice, employing static considerations is an important and necessary step in assessing ship stability and seakeeping properties (e.g. inclining experiments, load line regulations, range of stability calculations). However, damaged vessels and vessels operating in heavy weather or in conditions where topside icing is a concern may require an additional assessment of stability that considers dynamic effects. Within such contexts, the actual (i.e. current) second moment properties of the vessel mass become very important in the associated equations of motion for a given ship. One such critical second mass moment property is the roll gyradius, as it is closely related to the occurrence of capsizing. The present paper furnishes a means for reckoning the actual roll gyradius of a given ship operating within a seaway. The approach hinges on the formulation and solution of a stochastic inverse problem that leverages existing seakeeping software against the shipboard inertial measurement unit (IMU) telemetry. The method is demonstrated at full-scale and validated at model scale.