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91.
通过对逐步逼近法1995年试验情况与国内外预报台的综合预报以及与国内一些客观预报方法的比较分析,总结出该方法对移动路径明显转折的热带气旋有较好的预报能力,48小时平均误差达到300km以内,特别是当热带气旋的移速发生明显变化时,该方法较之其它客观方法有明显的优越性。 相似文献
92.
93.
Comparison of eolian transport during five high-velocity wind events over a 29 day period on a narrow estuarine beach in Delaware Bay, New Jersey, USA, reveals the temporal variability of transport, due to changes in direction of wind approach. Mean wind speed measured 6 m above the dune crest for the five events ranged from 8·5 to 15·9 ms?1. Mean wind direction was oblique to the shoreline (63° from shore-normal) during one event but was within 14° of shore-normal during the other events. Eolian transport is greatest during low tide and rising tide, when the beach source area is widest and when drying of surface sediments occurs. The quantity of sediment caught in a vertical trap for the five events varied from a total of 0·07 to 113·73 kgm?1. Differences in temperature, relative humidity and moisture and salt content of surficial sediments were slight. Mean grain sizes ranged from 0·33 to 0·58 mm, causing slight differences in threshold shear velocity, but shear velocities exceeded the threshold required for transport during all events. Beach width, measured normal to the shoreline, varied from 15·5 to 18·0 m; beach slope differed by 0·5°. The oblique wind during one event created a source width nearly double the width during other days. Beach slope, measured in the direction of the wind, was less than half as steep as the slope measured normal to the shoreline. The amount of sand trapped during the oblique wind was over 20 times greater than any other event, even those with higher shear velocities. The ability of the beach surface to supply grains to the air stream is limited on narrow beaches, but increased source width, due to oblique wind approach, can partially overcome limitations of surface conditions on the beach. 相似文献
94.
利用广东省86个国家气象观测站建站以来近70a的逐月最大风速序列和近20a(1999—2018年)的逐月最大风速序列,基于POT抽样法,分别采用三参数广义帕累托分布函数对各站的重现期风速进行了概率计算,计算过程中三参数广义帕累托分布函数分别采用矩估计(MOM)、极大似然估计(MLE)、似然矩估计(LM)和概率权矩估计(PWM)等4种参数估计方法,结合表征参数估计优良性的指标:均方根误差RMSE、拟合相对偏差和显著性水平为0.05的科莫戈洛夫检验拟合适度指标K_f对拟合效果进行检验,结果表明:基于POT抽样的概率权矩估计(PWM)拟合效果最好。 相似文献
95.
P. Bergamini G. Bonelli A. Paizis L. Tommasi M. Uslenghi R. Falomo G. Tondello 《Experimental Astronomy》2000,10(4):457-471
The scientific performance evaluation of a photon countingimaging system is presented. The detector is constituted by an ICCD camera with RbTe photocathode(optimized for UV radiation), and dedicated electronics for the acquisition and analysis ofthe events. For each photon event on the CCD, a real-time centroid calculation is performed, inorder to reach spatial resolution down to 25 m FWHM. The system has been tested usingthe 182 cm telescope of the Asiago Observatory.A standard stars field through U Johnson filter,and the Crab pulsar (PSR 0531+21) were observed. From the photometric data, relative magnitudes of the standard stars have been derived, showing a goodlinearity of the detector in the range of flux under consideration, as expected fromprevious laboratory measurements.The pulsar's data have been processed by FFT and epoch foldingtechniques to testthe detector's timing performances in the highest resolutionmode (4.512 ms).These observations show that a space resolved time analysis ofperiodic sources can be performed with 10-7 s accuracy. 相似文献
96.
Juan Carlos Bergmann 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2006,119(1):171-179
Precision measurements indicate that the stability capping of the neutral planetary boundary layer (PBL) that leads to a reduced
PBL height is caused by the very stable upper part of the PBL, rather than by an overlying inversion. Radiative processes
related to liquid water in boundary-layer clouds seem to play the key role for the formation of the stable upper PBL. The
famous Leipzig Profile – generally considered as an example of a neutral PBL – has been included in Hess’s analysis because
its PBL height is considerably lower than the ca. 3000 m to be expected by numerical models in truly neutral conditions. An
analysis of the original observations reveals that the Leipzig PBL was stable and that it can be consistently treated as a
‘normal’ stable PBL with a height of ca. 700 m. A further finding is that the super-geostrophic PBL wind speed maxima predicted
by almost all models are not observed in near-steady-state conditions. For the ‘ranking’ of analytical models versus numerical
models, the comparisons with measurements show that the analytical models perform comparably well and even partially better
than the numerical models. 相似文献
97.
98.
利用线性分析方法,分析了濮阳近50 a平均风速、大风日数的变化特征,并利用滑动的t检验法分析了风速突变,结果显示:年平均风速以0.498(m/s)/10 a的倾向率减少,大风和扬沙日数分别以2.7 d/10 a和5.6 d/10 a的倾向率减少;平均风速,大风、扬沙日数在20世纪80年代初期发生突变。 相似文献
99.
100.
ZHANG KeCun QU JianJun ZU RuiPing & FANG HaiYan Key Laboratory of Desert Desertification Cold Arid Regions Environmental Engineering Research Institute Chinese Academy of Sciences Lanzhou China 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2007,50(2):247-253
Pulsatory characteristics of wind velocity in sand flow over Gobi and mobile sand surface have been investigated experimentally in the wind tunnel. The primary goal of this paper is to reveal the relation- ship between pulsatory characteristics of instantaneous wind speed in sand flow and the motion state of sand grains. For a given underlying surface, pulsation of wind velocities in sand flow on different heights has a good correlation. As the space distance among different heights increases, fluctuation of instantaneous wind speed presents a decreasing trend and its amplitude is closely related to the mo- tion state of sand grains and their transport. Pulsatory intensity increases with the indicated wind speed, but its relative value does not depend on it, only agrees with height. 相似文献