海岸沙席对台风的形态响应特征

采用RTK GPS测量技术与方法,在2014—2017年对福建平潭岛典型海岸沙席进行了连续16次形态高精度测量,分析了海岸沙席在台风作用下的形态变化及台风季后的形态恢复变化特征.结果表明:1)海岸沙席对台风的形态响应特征明显,基本表现为海滩及沙席前缘高度降低(最大侵蚀深度为0.92 m),沙席中部高度变化相对较小(≤0...     

内蕴大地边值问题

提出内蕴大地边值问题,使得有可能利用重力场边界观测研究地球重力场的内蕴结构。文中构造了椭球问题的迭代逼近求解程式,并给出了具体解式。     

南天山西段地震尾波Q值研究

基于新疆地震台网的数字地震波形资料,采用Aki的地震尾波单次散射模型,选取了南天山西段10个台站周围60km范围内M_S≥2.0的397次地震事件计算并得到了不同台站的尾波Qc值。结果显示,南天山西段尾波Q_0值平均值在140~390之间,其中喀什台和乌恰台Q_0值最低;频率相关系数η的平均值在0.62~1.00之间,拟合平均Q值与对应频率之间的关系结果为Q=261.2±110.8f~(0.80±0.28),表明该地区是以低Q_0高η值为特征的构造活跃区。     

An ensemble approach for the analysis of extreme rainfall under climate change in Naples (Italy)

In the present paper, an ensemble approach is proposed to estimate possible modifications caused by climate changes in the extreme precipitation regime, with the rain gauge Napoli Servizio Idrografico (Naples, Italy) chosen as test case. The proposed research, focused on the analysis of extremes on the basis of climate model simulations and rainfall observations, is structured in several consecutive steps. In the first step, all the dynamically downscaled EURO‐CORDEX simulations at about 12 km horizontal resolution are collected for the current period 1971–2000 and the future period 2071–2100, for the RCP4.5 and the RCP8.5 concentration scenarios. In the second step, the significance of climate change effects on extreme precipitation is statistically tested by comparing current and future simulated data and bias‐correction is performed by means of a novel approach based on a combination of simple delta change and quantile delta mapping, in compliance with the storm index method. In the third step, two different ensemble models are proposed, accounting for the variabilities given by the use of different climate models and for their hindcast performances. Finally, the ensemble models are used to build novel intensity–duration–frequency curves, and their effects on the early warning system thresholds for the area of interest are evaluated.     

减小水平分量磁变仪记录非线性的技术措施

讨论了减小水平分量磁变仪记录非线性的技术措施。选择适宜的标度值(C/M)、选取适当的入射角α_0、选择适当的记录距离R是改善水平分量磁变仪记录状态的主要途径。文中对比作了具体分析。     

任意色阶区间精细选区创建方法初探

在通道中利用“阂值”命令创建选择X-255。在通道混合中创建任意色阶区间选择X1～X2。利用通道混合“减去”模式中“缩放”“补偿值”实现深度自由选择。     

沉积型一水硬铝石型铝土矿床勘查评价中 几个问题的探讨—以黔北铝土矿床为例

以黔北铝土矿为例,对沉积型一水硬铝石型铝土矿勘查评价中的4个问题进行讨论,并提出:(1)将勘查类型按普查、详查、勘探阶段分别用初定、暂定、确定来进行定性;(2)用"菱形孔"而非"矩形孔"的布置方法来解决勘查类型的变更与工程控制间距非整倍数的问题;(3)"地表工程间距加密一倍"的适用范围是:露采且处于"剥蚀区"内的矿体。地表露头线呈线状展布且上覆有岩层或虽也强风化,但仍保存原岩层层理迹象的范围,则可与勘查类型和勘查阶段同距同网;(4)普查、详查阶段中工程矿体边界A/S的取值可在1.8～2.6之间,以保证块段矿体中的A/S值达到工业要求即可。     

河西走廊地区A(b)值动态演化特征及在地震预测中的应用

采用A(b)值空间扫描方法对1980年以来河西走廊及其临近地区ML 2.3到ML 4.9地震资料进行了研究,统计分析了Ms 4.6以上地震前A(b)值异常情况,结果显示大多数Ms 4.6以上地震发生前的1-3年内,震中周围出现A(b)≥5.0的高值异常区域.R值检验结果为0.458.     

Long-term pan evaporation observations as a resource to understand the water cycle trend: case studies from Australia

Abstract

Acceleration of the global water cycle over recent decades remains uncertain because of the high inter-annual variability of its components. Observations of pan evaporation (E_pan), a proxy of potential evapotranspiration (ET_p), may help to identify trends in the water cycle over long periods. The complementary relationship (CR) states that ET_p and actual evapotranspiration (ET_a) depend on each other in a complementary manner, through land–atmosphere feedbacks in water-limited environments. Using a long-term series of E_pan observations in Australia, we estimated monthly ET_a by the CR and compared our estimates with ET_a measured at eddy covariance Fluxnet stations. The results confirm that our approach, entirely data-driven, can reliably estimate ET_a only in water-limited conditions. Furthermore, our analysis indicated that ET_a did not show any significant trend in the last 30 years, while short-term analysis may indicate a rapid climate change that is not perceived in a long-term perspective.

Editor Z.W. Kundzewicz; Associate editor D. Gerten

Citation Lugato, E., Alberti, G., Gioli. B., Kaplan, J.O., Peressotti, A., and Miglietta, F., 2013. Long-term pan evaporation observations as a resource to understand the water cycle trend: case studies from Australia. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 58 (6), 1287–1296.     

一类非线性二阶常微分方程解的多重性

考虑一类二阶非线性常微分方程的边值问题（p（t）u′）′＋h（t）f（u）=0，0＜t＜1和u（0）=u（1）=0。通过引入f（s）／s在∞与0处的极限值，并运用打靶法和相应的Sturm比较定理得到解的多重性定理，推广有关文献中的许多重要结果。