大型基坑工程水平位移监测与预测结果分析

以银川大世界商务广场的基坑为例,介绍了大型基坑工程水平位移监测的实施方案,给出了水平位移监测方法的精度,并对监测成果进行了分析。在此基础上,分别用多项式拟合和时间序列分析模型两种方法进行建模,对基坑水平位移进行预测,结果表明,该基坑水平位移较小,在规范规定的要求之内,说明基坑是稳定的;时间序列分析模型的预测精度要高于多项式拟合模型的精度。     

基于噪声随机模型的加权观测融合方法

信息融合技术中,在各局部传感器的有色观测噪声为一阶AR模型的情况下,可以利用观测扩增方法消除有色噪声的影响,得到最优加权观测融合方程,从而实现状态的最优滤波解。对于有色观测噪声为MA或ARMA模型的情况,观测扩增方法不再适用。提出了基于有色观测噪声随机模型级数展开的方法,求解出各局部传感器有色观测噪声的方差,并利用该方差对加权观测融合滤波器进行了构造。通过计算实例证明,该方法不仅适用于观测噪声为AR模型,同时适用于噪声MA或ARMA模型。     

卫星测高问题的球谐级数解法

研究了球界面下卫星测高问题的解法，利用有限逼近方法得到了下列结论：若陆地部分是球冠，则卫星测高问题的解可以转换成关于球谐级数位系统的线性方程组。同时证明了常用的Stokes问题、Dirichlet问题、Neumann问题可以看成卫星测高问题的特殊情况。     

Assessment of the abnormal growth of floating macrophytes in Winam Gulf (Kenya) by using MODIS imagery time series

The objective of this research study is to assess the capability of time-series of MODIS imagery to provide information suitable for enhancing the understanding of the temporal cycles shown by the abnormal growth of the floating macrophytes in order to support monitoring and management action of Lake Victoria water resources.The proliferation of invasive plants and aquatic weeds is of growing concern. Starting from 1989, Lake Victoria has been interested by the high infestation of water hyacinth with significant socio-economic impact on riparian populations.In this paper, we describe an approach based on the time-series of MODIS to derive the temporal behaviour, the abundance and distribution of the floating macrophytes in the Winam Gulf (Kenyan portion of the Lake Victoria) and its possible links to the concentrations of the main water constituencies.To this end, we consider the NDVI values computed from the MODIS imagery time-series from 2000 to 2009 to identify the floating macrophytes cover and an appropriate bio-optical model to retrieve, by means of an inverse procedure, the concentrations of chlorophyll a, coloured dissolved organic matter and total suspended solid.The maps of the floating vegetation based on the NDVI values allow us to assess the spatial and temporal dynamics of the weeds with high time resolution.A floating vegetation index (FVI) has been introduced for describing the weeds pollution level.The results of the analysis show a consistent temporal relation between the water constituent concentrations within the Winam Gulf and the FVI, especially in the proximity of the greatest proliferation of floating vegetation in the last 10 years that occurred between the second half of 2006 and the first half of 2007.The adopted approach will be useful to implement an automatic system for monitoring and predicting the floating macrophytes proliferation in Lake Victoria.     

Nontectonic signals in reprocessed continuous GPS position time series of CMONOC

The nearly nine-year continuous GPS data collected since 1 March 1999 from the Crustal Motion Observation Network of China (CMONOC) were consistently analyzed. Most of the nonlinear movements in the cumulative position time series produced by CMONOC data center disappeared; and more accurate vertical terms and tectonic signals were extracted. Displacements caused by atmospheric pressure loading, nontidal ocean loading, soil moisture mass loading, and snow cover mass loading using the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Reanalysis I/II models and Estimation of the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean (ECCO) data can explain most of the vertical annual terms at many stations, while only parts can be explained at Lhasa and southern coastal sites, indicating that there are some deformation mechanisms that are still unknown or not modeled accurately. The remarkable differences in vertical position time series for short-baseline sites reveal that GPS stations can be greatly affected by local factors; and attention should be paid when explaining observed GPS velocity vectors.     

Development of time series stacks of Landsat images for reconstructing forest disturbance history

Abstract

Forest dynamics is highly relevant to a broad range of earth science studies, many of which have geographic coverage ranging from regional to global scales. While the temporally dense Landsat acquisitions available in many regions provide a unique opportunity for understanding forest disturbance history dating back to 1972, large quantities of Landsat images will need to be analysed for studies at regional to global scales. This will not only require effective change detection algorithms, but also highly automated, high level preprocessing capabilities to produce images with subpixel geolocation accuracies and best achievable radiometric consistency, a status called imagery-ready-to-use (IRU). This paper describes a streamlined approach for producing IRU quality Landsat time series stacks (LTSS). This approach consists of an image selection protocol, high level preprocessing algorithms and IRU quality verification procedures. The high level preprocessing algorithms include updated radiometric calibration and atmospheric correction for calculating surface reflectance and precision registration and orthorectification routines for improving geolocation accuracy. These automated routines have been implemented in the Landsat Ecosystem Disturbance Adaptive System (LEDAPS) designed for processing large quantities of Landsat images. Some characteristics of the LTSS developed using this approach are discussed.     

天津地区Sentinel-1A雷达影像PSInSAR地面沉降监测

利用2015-05—2016-02获取的天津地区23景哨兵-1A(Sentinel-1A)卫星IW模式影像,进行基于地面散射特性保持稳定的高相干点永久散射体干涉测量处理(PSIn SAR),获取了地面沉降速率,分析了重点沉降区域时序形变特征和成因。实验结果表明,天津地区沉降严重区域主要集中在北辰区和大寺镇,结合北辰区沉降速率图和第2、3承压含水组水位降落漏斗等值线图,分析发现地面沉降中心和地下水位漏斗大致吻合,呈现整体向东北方向偏移的趋势,得出造成地面沉降的主导因素可能为超量开采地下水的结论。     

基于时间序列模型的沉降监测预报分析

时间序列模型预测具有可靠性与高效性的特点。本文结合沉降监测工程,采用Matlab进行建模预报分析,分别基于预测模型(AR、MA、ARMA)进行应用。对比自回归模型、滑动平均模型及自回归滑动平均模型预测结果的精度,表明3种模型可预测期连续分布,模型组合可提高预测精度。     

平顶山城区碳环境演变时间序列分析

大气中日益上升的温室气体浓度,已导致温室效应日益增强,从而引发一系列不利的环境与生态后果,并会对世界粮食生产、水资源利用等关系人类生存发展的方面产生重要影响。1994~2014年是平顶山城市化进程不断加快和经济社会高速发展的时期,土地利用、人口、能源消耗和城市植被等影响碳源、碳汇的主要方面也都发生了重大的变化。将1994~2014年河南省平顶山市城区的碳平衡变化情况作为研究对象,计算出碳平衡主要影响因素各自的变化情况并加以分析,得出有关平顶山城区碳环境演变的结论。最后,为促进平顶山城区的碳源碳汇平衡,提出实现城市快速发展过程中低碳效应策略。     

山东地壳运动速度场模型建立与分析

建立高精度的地壳运动速度场模型是实现区域大地基准动态维持,反映地面形变,保障基础设施工程建设的重要途径。针对点位分布密集、精度可靠和多年连续重复观测等准确获取区域地壳运动速度场模型的关键问题,通过对山东及周边省份2010年1月—2015年11月连续近6a的130座连续运行参考站点在ITRF2008框架下进行处理,获取时间序列。首次完整建立了山东省地壳运动速度场模型。通过模型分析表明:水平方向,山东省地壳整体向东南方向运动,平均速率为34.3mm/a,运动方向为SE110.25°;垂直方向,鲁中山区及胶东半岛地区地壳较为稳定,鲁北、鲁西等华北平原地区存在显著沉降,最大沉降量位于广饶漏斗区,年沉降量81.6mm/a。