张北6.2级地震序列显著余震现场灰色预测

根据张家口地震台记录的１９９８年张北早期地震序列资料,对其显著余震（系指ＭＬ≥４．０,下同）建立了ＧＭ（１,１）动态灰色预测模型,并进而依此模型对张北震区主震后,短时内连续发生的５次显著余震进行了尝试性现场预测,结果与实事较吻合,表明灰色预测方法对于探讨如何简捷有效地预测地震序列早期强余震问题,可能具有一定的实际意义。     

灰色系统理论在二连洪浩尔舒特凹陷储层评价中的应用

本文利用测井资料,依据测井地质评价油气储层的分析准则,提出灰色理论精细评价油气储层的处理方法和解释系统。通过二连洪浩尔舒特凹陷储层的精细评价和综合解释,取得了明显的效果。文中介绍了这一分析方法处理过程及实用效果。     

世界各地地洼构造

全文分三部分。第一部分介绍地洼学说及其引伸或分支学派,第二部分概述国内外学者介绍、引用、评述和发展地洼学说的情况,第三部分叙述世界各地地洼构造。     

改进的核函数在红岩矿矿井涌水量预测中的应用

运用伏特拉核函数基本理论,建立了南桐矿区红岩煤矿矿井涌水量的线性、非线性核函数模型,介绍了计算核孙数模型所用的递归算法,同时对模拟结果的残差进行了分析,并用ＡＲ模型进行了改进。     

区域地下水溶质运移随机理论的研究与进展

在总结近年来国内外区域地下水溶质运动研究的基本理论、方法和部分成果的基础上,论述了溶质在大区域运动的主要影响因素为区域介质的空间变异性。首先总结了野外条件下饱和介质和非饱和介质土壤渗透性能的空间变异性结果,由于野外渗透介质严重的空间变异性,研究溶质在野外条件下的运动采用了随机理论方法。基于Lagrange方法和Euler方法,研究结果表明,在渗透系数为对数正态二阶平稳及一阶扰动近似条件下,平均浓度满足对流－弥散方程,方程中宏观弥散度决定于介质渗透性能的统计特征,总结了一系列宏观弥散系数的表达形式,在此基础上,指出了需要进一步研究的问题。     

理论找矿,还是经验找矿：西方矿产勘查家就如何进行找矿问题展开的争论

理论找矿、还是经验找矿？是西方矿产勘查家普遍关注并引起人们争论的一个问题。以美国Ｄ．Ｇ．里奇为代表的一派认为：成矿理论,虽然能使地质学家了解到成矿作用过程的许多情况,但并不能指导未知矿床的找矿工作。这一观点立即遭到Ｊ．罗思及前苏联一些地质学家的反对,批评Ｄ．Ｇ．里奇等人倾向于轻视概念模式（即理论模式）在找矿中的意义。指出,只有全面研究具体的矿石建造成因问题,才能确定相应矿床形成的地点和时间,进而才     

Submillimetre-wave gravitational lenses and cosmology

One of the most direct routes for investigating the geometry of the Universe is provided by the numbers of strongly magnified gravitationally lensed galaxies as compared with those that are either weakly magnified or de-magnified. In the submillimetre waveband the relative abundance of strongly lensed galaxies is expected to be larger as compared with the optical or radio wavebands, both in the field and in clusters of galaxies. The predicted numbers depend on the properties of the population of faint galaxies in the submillimetre waveband, which was formerly very uncertain; however, recent observations of lensing clusters have reduced this uncertainty significantly and confirm that a large sample of galaxy–galaxy lenses could be detected and investigated using forthcoming facilities, including the FIRST and Planck Surveyor space missions and a large ground-based millimetre/submillimetre-wave interferometer array (MIA). We discuss how this sample could be used to impose limits on the values of cosmological parameters and the total density and form of evolution of the mass distribution of bound structures, even in the absence of detailed lens modelling for individual members of the sample. The effects of different world models on the form of the magnification bias expected in sensitive submillimetre-wave observations of clusters are also discussed, because an MIA could resolve and investigate images in clusters in detail.     

Clustering of galaxies at high redshifts

Recent observations show a large concentration of galaxies at high redshift. At first sight, strong clustering of galaxies at high redshifts seems to be in contradiction with the models of structure formation. In this paper we show that such structures are a manifestation of the strong clustering of rare peaks in the density field. We compute the frequency of occurrence of such large concentrations of galaxies in some models of structure formation.