1995年海南东方近海5.2级地震特征分析

总结了１９９５年海南东方近海５．２级地震的地质背景，宏观烈度，地震序列特征，前兆异常以及地震活动与环境因子的对应关系，并提出了未来一年或稍长时间内，该区及附近地区仍存在发生５～６级地震的危险性。     

震后震型早期判定的人工神经网络方法

应用人工神经网络的方法，利用３０次强震震后１天和２天内的地震资料作为学习样本，对广西及其邻区发生的４次地震的震型作了早期预测判定，结果表明应用效果较好，正确率达７５％。该方法值得进一步研究。     

唐山地震的超晚期强余震估计

根据华北历史地震的重复性和免疫性，认为在唐山周围８５ｋｍ，２００年内，对６级地震具有一定的免疫性；在研究了唐山地震序列自身的衰减规律后，认为在今后几十几强余震的最大活动水平为５级，发生６级以上土地震的可能性很小。     

华北地区大震前区域地震活动的中短期变化

对发生在华北地区３１个Ｍ≥５地震震前区域地震活动的时间序列进行的研究得出：（１）华北地区发生Ｍ≥５地震前，区域地震活动的短期平静现象与大震发生的相关性很强。３１个Ｍ≥５地震前的平静时间主要集中在２０～８７ｄ，１２０～２１０ｄ和大于２１０ｄ。同时还得出大震前的短期平静时间与震级大小无关的结论；（２）区域地震活动在短时间内出现增强趋势，与发生大震的相关性很弱，相关的仅占总数的６．４％     

湘鄂赣二叠纪沉积盆地与层序地层

湘鄂赣二叠纪沉积盆地是在统一的陆愉－－华南陆块基础上发展而来的，根据晚古生代以来的地壳活动情况、沉积物充填序列、沉积相带及空间配置，该区可以划分为四种沉积盆地，即扬子克拉通盆地、扬子克拉通缘被动大陆边缘盆地、湘赣板内拉张盆地和华夏克拉能边缘盆地。由于没沉积盆地中层序发展的主控因素及上关效应的差异，从而决定了层序发育特点的差异，本文详细划分了各种沉积层序和沉积体系域，并进行了区域对比。在此基础上，探     

安徽南部晚二叠世龙潭期岩相古地理研究

本文系统地讨论了皖南地区晚二叠世早期沉积层发育特征，确定了龙潭期地层的顶、底界线。以单因素图件为基础，结合其它成因标志，编制了龙潭早期（三个亚期）和龙潭晚期岩相古地理图，由此可以看出龙潭期的岩相古地理特征及其演化历史     

一个被动大陆边缘的“开”“合”史及找矿标志——以赣西北震旦系至下古生界为例

本文根据赣西北地区震旦系至志留系基本层序和板内构造演化,可把古板块构造发展划分为4个阶段:开裂期(Z_1l-Z_2p)以中、小规模的重力流和凝缩段为特征;成熟发展期(∈_1-∈_3~1),以沉降沉积作用为主;萎缩期(∈_3~2-O_2h)以大规模重力流和混生动物群为特征;闭合期(O_3-S_3)以双幕式沉积为特征。同时阐述了在板块发展的各个阶段,不能忽视其成矿作用。     

米仓山地区前陆盆地层序地层研究——以吴家垭西部陆相地层为例

在详细研究米仓山地区吴家垭西部陆相地层基本层序特征的基础上，建立了本区晚三叠世至早侏罗世前陆盆地层序地层格架，确定了盆－山体系在此期间发生了两次重要事件，并认为北部前陆山地的构造变动是影响盆地层序的主要因素。     

Modelling the compliance of crustal rock—II. Response to temporal changes before earthquakes

There have been several claims that seismic shear waves respond to changes in stress before earthquakes. The companion paper develops a stress-sensitive model (APE) for the behaviour of low-porosity low-permeability crystalline rocks containing pervasive distributions of fluid-filled intergranular microcracks, and this paper uses APE to model the behaviour before earthquakes. Modelling with APE shows that the microgeometry and statistics of distributions of such fluid-filled microcracks respond almost immediately to changes in stress, and that the behaviour can be monitored by analysing seismic shear-wave splitting. The physical reasons for the coupling between shear-wave splitting and differential stress are discussed.
In this paper, we extend the model by using percolation theory to show that large crack densities are limited at the grain-scale level by the percolation threshold at which interacting crack clusters lead to pronounced increases in rock-matrix permeability. In the simplest formulation, the modelling is dimensionless and almost entirely constrained without free parameters. Nevertheless, APE modelling of the evolution of fluid-saturated rocks under stress reproduces the observed fracture criticality and the narrow range of shear-wave azimuthal anisotropy in crustal rocks. It also reproduces the behaviour of temporal variations in shear-wave splitting observed before and after the 1986, M = 6, North Palm Springs earthquake, Southern California, and several other smaller earthquakes.
The agreement of APE modelling with a wide range of observations confirms that fluid-saturated crystalline rocks are stress-sensitive and respond to changes in stress by critical fluid-rock interactions at the microscale level. This means that the effects of changes in stress and other parameters can be numerically modelled and monitored by appropriate observations of seismic shear waves.     

Constraints of Housing Age and Migration on Residential Mobility

This paper investigates the role of housing age in constraining residential mobility, measured as the percent of households that have moved into their homes in the past 15 months. The leading explanation for why mobility rates differ so much among regions of the United States has been the overall level of growth. The present analysis shows that the growth effect operates through both the newness of population (migration) and the newness of housing available for occupancy by all local residents. The posited explanation for this housing age effect is that progressively older units contain increasingly settled occupants, yielding fewer opportunities for in-movers in areas with older housing. It is empirically demonstrated that households in older housing have lower likelihood of recent mobility even after controlling for age, tenure, migration status, and state location of residence. The analysis reveals the temporal interdependency of mobility, migration, person age, and housing age.