GPS相位差分技术在空中目标测量中的应用

在分析空中目标飞行的特点及对其进行高精度测量的必要性基础上,基于GPS载波相位差分技术,设计了一套空中目标飞行测量系统,提出了该系统在地面控制系统中的应用方法,并通过构建事后差分系统进行了静态精度验证和机载动态验证。     

风云三号卫星微波成像仪在轨性能稳定性分析

利用地球冷目标观测亮温的稳定性和遥感数据统计直方图方法,是评价微波成像仪等类似微波成像辐射计在轨性能稳定性的有效方法。在此基础上,本文用2011年2月—7月风云三号02星微波成像仪在轨观测的亮温数据,对微波成像仪在轨运行的性能稳定性进行了分析。结果表明:风云三号02星微波成像仪在轨性能稳定,所有通道最低亮温参考值波动范围不超过1.8K。     

CINRAD/SB雷达回波强度定标调校方法

回波强度定标和调校方法是保障CINRAD/SB回波强度测量精度的关键技术,方法不当会导致回波强度测量误差增大,直接影响雷达定量估测降水产品的可靠性。为了满足回波强度测量误差在±1 dBZ范围内的技术要求,根据雷达气象方程,通过对CINRAD/SB接收机测试通道、主通道、天馈系统相关影响回波强度测量误差的因素进行分析,提出了从接收机动态范围和雷达参数调整、线性通道增益定标目标常数定标,到测试通道参数调整的回波强度定标工作流程。总结出以线性通道增益定标目标常数定标为基准,采用测试通道参数测量法或基准法调校,以保证发射功率和接收机动态范围变化导致的回波强度测量误差得到在线实时校正,提高了CINRAD/SB回波强度测量精度。从接收机测试通道、主通道、天馈系统及发射功率4个方面,给出了回波异常的分析和诊断流程。并提出在接收机保护器前端增加机外信号注入口和定标信号功率检测功能,以利于机内外回波强度定标对比校准和消除测试通道参数变化导致回波强度测量误差的建议。     

高放废物地质处置阿拉善预选区巴彦诺日公地段目标深度岩体质量预测

高放废物地质处置阿拉善预选区巴彦诺日公地段位于阿拉善地块东部,主要由二叠纪侵入的花岗岩构成,地壳次稳定。通过踏勘,确定了2个钻孔,布置了若干条物探剖面。以这2个钻孔为中心,在17km×17km范围内进行了工程地质测绘,获得了地表结构面分布特征。地表岩体质量以III级岩体为主,地表以下3m~4m处多为I级和II级岩体。根据钻孔岩芯编录和力学试验数据,对岩芯质量进行评价,岩芯整体质量较好,以Ⅰ级和Ⅱ级岩体为主。对比岩体质量和测井数据,发现岩体质量与岩体的物理参数具有明显的相关性。通过和CSAMT剖面上对应位置的对比,建立了岩体质量与电阻率的关系。结合地表岩体质量、钻孔岩芯质量和物探剖面,对目标深度岩体进行了预测：目标深度（600m深左右）岩体质量以Ⅰ级岩体为主,局部有Ⅱ级岩体和Ⅲ岩体。     

How to achieve the 2030 CO2 emission-reduction targets for China's industrial sector: Retrospective decomposition and prospective trajectories

The Chinese government actively follows the low-carbon development pattern and has set the definite targets of reducing carbon emissions by 2030. The industrial sector plays a significant role in China's economic growth and CO₂ emissions. This is the first study to present a specific investigation on the retrospective decomposition (1993–2014) and prospective trajectories (2015–2035) of China's industrial CO₂ emission intensity (ICEI) and industrial CO₂ emissions (ICE), aiming at China Industrial Green Development Plan 2016–2020 targets and China's 2030 CO₂ emission-reduction targets. We introduce process carbon intensity, investment and R&D factors into the decomposition model and make a combination of dynamic Monte Carlo simulation and scenario analysis to identify whether and how the targets would be realized from a sector-specific perspective. The results indicate that investment intensity is the primary driver for the increase in ICEI, while R&D intensity and energy intensity are the leading contributors to the reduction in ICEI. Under existing policies, it is very possible for the industrial sector to achieve the 2020 and 2030 intensity-reduction targets. However, the realization of 2030 emission-peak target has some uncertainties and needs extra efforts in efficiency improvement and structural adjustment. All the five scenarios would achieve the 2020 and 2030 intensity-reduction targets, except Scenario N4 for China Industrial Green Development Plan 2016–2020 target. Nonetheless, only three scenarios would realize the 2030 emission-peak target. With strong efficiency improvement and structural adjustment, ICE would hit the peak in 2025. In contrast, with high/low efficiency improvement and weak structural adjustment, ICE would fail to reach the peak before 2035. Both ICEI and ICE have substantial mitigation potentials with the enhancement of efficiency improvement and structural adjustment. Finally, we suggest that the Chinese government should raise the baseline requirements of efficiency improvement and structural adjustment for the industrial sector to achieve China’s 2030 targets.     

The global impacts of US climate policy: a model simulation using GCAM-TU and MAGICC

To assess the potential impacts of the US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement, this study applied GCAM-TU (an updated version of the Global Change Assessment Model) to simulate global and regional emission pathways of energy-related CO₂, which show that US emissions in 2100 would reduce to ?2.4?Gt, ?0.7?Gt and ?0.2?Gt under scenarios of RCP2.6, RCP3.7 and RCP4.5, respectively. Two unfavourable policy scenarios were designed, assuming a temporary delay and a complete stop for US mitigation actions after 2015. Simulations by the Model for the Assessment of Greenhouse-gas Induced Climate Change (MAGICC) indicate that the temperature increase by 2100 would rise by 0.081°C–0.161°C compared to the three original RCPs (Representative Concentration Pathways) if US emissions were kept at their 2015 levels until 2100. The probability of staying below 2°C would decrease by 6–9% even if the US resumes mitigation efforts for achieving its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) target after 2025. It is estimated by GCAM-TU that, without US participation, increased reduction efforts are required for the rest of the world, including developing countries, in order to achieve the 2°C goal, resulting in 18% higher global cumulative mitigation costs from 2015 to 2100.

Key policy insights

• President Trump’s climate policies, including planned withdrawal from the Paris Agreement, cast a shadow on international climate actions, and would lower the likelihood of achieving the 2°C target.

• To meet the 2°C target without the US means increased reduction efforts and mitigation costs for the rest of the world, and considerable economic burdens for major developing areas.

• Active state-, city- and enterprise-level powers should be supported to keep the emission reduction gap from further widening even with reduced mitigation efforts from the US federal government.

     

基于残余插值的卷积神经网络去马赛克算法

在去马赛克问题中,为了精确插值倾斜边缘并提高结果图像的整体质量,提出一种基于残余插值的卷积神经网络去马赛克算法.针对Bayer格式的颜色滤波阵列,插值绿色平面时,对于红蓝通道信息不全的问题,采用同通道邻近像素值近似代替,综合考虑3个通道的梯度,运用倾斜方向的边缘检测算子,将倾斜边缘分为不同方向的边缘分别插值.在插值完成后,利用深度卷积神经网络,进一步训练插值结果.在标准的IMAX数据集上,与目前流行的算法相比,本文算法视觉上更接近原图,具有更高的峰值信噪比和更短的运行时间.     

基于PCA算法的星载GNSS-R海面目标反演

提出使用主成分分析(principal components analysis,PCA)抑制时延多普勒图(delay Doppler map, DDM)中的海杂波,提高海面目标反演精度。以挪威Snøhvit采气平台作为海面目标,采用2016-11-13的DDM数据进行目标反演。结果显示,未使用PCA抑制海杂波前,反演位置平均误差为17.65 km;抑制海杂波后,反演位置平均误差为11.42 km,位置精度提升35.30%。     

高质量矿床的勘查战略

邮我国矿产勘查应以高质量矿床作为目标矿床的战略;认为勘查高质量矿床需要加强矿床模式的研究和ＧＩＳ技术的推广应用;确保高质量矿床战略成功实施的思路包括：（１）以高质量金矿床作为勘查目标;（２）加强对典型高质量矿床的研究,寻找同类型高质量矿床;（３）从构造环境发展演化的机理进行成矿分析,制定高质量矿床勘查战略;（４）打破地域限制,促进勘查队伍之间的竞争机制。     

张量分类算法的遥感影像目标探测

提出了一种基于张量学习机的遥感影像目标探测方法。该方法基于张量数据模型和张量代数运算, 针对遥感影像数据多维或高维的特点, 将基于向量的监督法学习机扩展为基于张量的监督法学习机, 然后利用凸函数最优化理论和交互投影迭代法求得张量学习机的最优解。最后分别以高光谱遥感影像和高分辨率遥感影像为例, 使用张量学习机进行目标探测。实验表明, 与支持向量机等方法相比, 本文的方法在保持较高探测成功率的同时更好的抑制了虚警。