基于灰色新陈代谢模型的建筑物沉降分析

变形监测数据处理有助于及时了解建筑物安全状态。本文在对灰色模型基本理论作阐述的基础上,结合沉降监测实例,采取新陈代谢法对实测数据进行分析与预测,得到了满足精度要求的成果,验证了该方法应用于建筑物沉降分析的可行性。     

基于时间序列分析和灰色理论的建筑物沉降预测模型研究

基于时间序列分析方法建立建筑物沉降预测模型,其中通过二次移动平均法提取出沉降监测序列中的趋势项,并在此基础上采用灰色系统理论动态GM（1,1）模型进行趋势项预测。实际算例结果表明,该模型能够较好地预测沉降变化的发展趋势,并具有较高的预测精度,证明了该预测模型具有一定的可行性和有效性。     

矿区简易CORS系统的建立及应用

针对当前GPS技术广泛应用于变形监测领域的趋势和矿区开采沉陷监测的特点,从适用性、经济性出发,阐述在矿区开采沉陷地表移动研究中CORS系统的建立,经过实践检验,为CORS系统的建立使用提出参考意见。     

单井与群井结合抽水试验在地面沉降实测中的应用研究

以天津市某工程项目抽水试验数据为实测基本资料,目的是确定地基土的渗透性和富水性,计算含水层的水文地质参数,并实时监测试验期间地面沉降监测结果。结果表明,单井和群井抽水试验在抽水过程中,地面高程呈现出下降的趋势,累计达到最大沉降量,达到23. 57 mm,随着抽水时间较短和抽水时间较长等原因,在地面具有附加荷载时,沉降变大。因此,试验实时监测可以有效预防存在问题,为工程的设计与施工提供安全的风险控制。     

宿南矿区不同时期塌陷塘水环境质量评价

以宿南矿区不同时期形成的采煤塌陷塘(芦岭塘、朱仙庄#1塘和#2塘)为研究对象,于2017年先后采集夏季和冬季水样,运用piper三线图、相关性分析、改进模糊综合评价法等,对其水环境质量进行分析评价与比较,得到以下结论:①芦岭塘、朱仙庄#1塘夏、冬两季水化学类型均为HCO_3―Na·Mg型,朱仙庄#2塘为SO_4―Na·Mg·Ca型。②三个塌陷塘水的TDS、pH、EC变化趋势为朱仙庄#1塘>朱仙庄#2塘>芦岭塘,其季节变化趋势均为夏季>冬季; ORP变化趋势为朱仙庄#2塘>芦岭塘>朱仙庄#1塘,其季节性变化趋势为冬季>夏季。③改进的模糊综合评价结果表明,三个塌陷塘夏季水质较差,主要受人为污染影响;冬季芦岭塘、朱仙庄#1塘水质良好,受污染小;朱仙庄#2塘冬季水质与夏季相近,均较差,主要受投加鱼食料的影响。     

Robust numerical implementation of a 3D rate-dependent model for reservoir geomechanical simulations

A 3D elasto-plastic rate-dependent model for rock mechanics is formulated and implemented into a Finite Element (FE) numerical code. The model is based on the approach proposed by Vermeer and Neher (A soft soil model that accounts for creep. In: Proceedings of the International Symposium “Beyond 2000 in Computational Geotechnics,” pages 249-261, 1999). An original strain-driven algorithm with an Inexact Newton iterative scheme is used to compute the state variables for a given strain increment.The model is validated against laboratory measurements, checked on a simplified test case, and used to simulate land subsidence due to groundwater and hydrocarbon production. The numerical results prove computationally effective and robust, thus allowing for the use of the model on real complex geological settings.     

Reconstruction of the Cenozoic deformation of the Bohai Bay Basin,North China

A well‐constrained plate deformation model may lead to an improved understanding of sedimentary basin formation and the connection between subduction history and over‐riding plate deformation. Building quantitative models of basin kinematics and deformation remains challenging often due to the lack of comprehensive constraints. The Bohai Bay Basin (BBB) is an important manifestation of the destruction of the North China Craton, and records the plate kinematic history of East Asia during the Cenozoic. Although a number of interpretations of the formation of the BBB have been proposed, few quantitative basin reconstruction models have been built to test and refine previous ideas. Here, we developed a quantitative deformation reconstruction of the BBB constrained with balanced cross‐sections and structural, stratigraphic and depositional age data. Our reconstruction suggests that the basin formation process was composed of three main stages: Paleocene‐early Eocene (65–42 Ma) extension initiation, middle Eocene‐early Oligocene (42–32.8 Ma) extension climax and post‐Oligocene (32.8–0 Ma) post‐extensional subsidence. The deformation of the BBB is spatially heterogeneous, and its velocity directions rotated clockwise during the basin formation process. The reconstruction supports the interpretation that the BBB formed via strike‐slip faulting and orthogonal extension and that the basin is classified as a composite extensional‐transtensional basin. We argue that the clockwise rotation of the basin velocity field was driven by the counter‐clockwise rotation in the direction of Pacific Plate subduction. The kinematics of the BBB imply that the Pacific Plate may have been sufficiently coupled to the over‐riding East Asian Plate during the critical period of Pacific Plate reorganization. The new reconstruction provides a quantitative basis for studies of deformation processes not only in the vicinity of the BBB, but also more broadly throughout East Asia.     

肥城市采煤塌陷区治理模式探索研究

肥城煤田作为国家重要能源基地,开发历史悠久,为我国高速发展的国民经济做出了巨大贡献。但长期开采导致塌陷范围广、深度大、积水严重,生态环境遭受严重破坏,给矿区群众的生产生活带来严重影响。该文总结了目前普及化程度较高的采煤塌陷区治理模式,以此为基础,对肥城市采煤塌陷区按照因地制宜的原则,通过分析研究、归纳得出适应于肥城市采煤塌陷区四种不同的治理模式,分别为:土地复垦治理模式、“渔业+农业”治理模式、生态修复治理模式、综合治理模式,并对四种治理模式进行了阐述分析,对今后肥城市采煤塌陷区治理起到借鉴和指导作用。     

利用小基线集技术(SBAS)监测泉州地区地表形变

差分干涉测量(DInSAR)技术可用于监测厘米级甚至毫米级的地表形变。文中选用2007—2011年期间19景日本ALOS1/PALSAR数据,采用短基线集技术(SBAS)获取了该地区的形变时间序列和平均沉降速率。研究结果表明:泉州东南部地区整体上呈抬升态势,上升速率为5mm/a左右,主要是受到亚欧板块和西太平洋板块互相挤压作用的结果;泉州东南部有多处出现地表沉降,沉降的结果与泉州市统计的地区地下水开采数据相当吻合,因此沉降主要与地下水过度开采相关。     

模平方阈值去噪法在沉降监测中的应用

针对现有去噪方法中存在的噪声信号提取、粗差定位等问题,该文基于小波阈值去噪的原理,提出一种基于软阈值改进的模平方阈值去噪法。通过仿真数据实验对比分析了软阈值去噪法、加权平均阈值去噪法及模平方阈值去噪法的去噪实际效果,并应用于汽车试验场沉降数据预处理。实验结果表明,基于模平方的阈值去噪法能够较好地保留观测信号原始信息,并且可以有效地去除噪声,其去噪效果优于软阈值和加权平均阈值去噪法,能在汽车试验场沉降数据处理中得到较好的应用。