地面沉降的灰色Verhulst模型及其应用研究

本文将灰色Verhulst模型引入地面沉降的研究之中,根据某地面沉降观测点的近20年数据建立地面沉降发展模型,并运用所建立的模型对地面沉降的发展态势进行了预测。     

山东省德州市地面沉降控沉分析及建议

山东省德州市地面沉降具有发展历史久、沉降量大、分布范围广、持续发展等特征,地面沉降防治工作形势紧迫。为分析《山东省德州市地面沉降防治规划(2018—2025年)》控沉目标如期实现的可能性,以德州市地面沉降现状及现有防治手段为基础,通过区域地面沉降速率公式量化计算及中心沉降速率预测进行控沉目标可行性分析。结果表明,在最严格的水资源管理制度条件下,控沉目标可以实现。针对地面沉降防治存在的问题,如地面沉降监测手段及监测频率有待提高、防治经费缺乏保障、地面沉降成因机理研究不深入、治理欠缺等,从管理和技术两方面出发,提出了包括健全监测网络、控采地下水、加大地面沉降知识宣传等控沉建议。该研究可为德州市切实有效进行地面沉降防治工作提供参考。     

Temporal and spatial variations in tectonic subsidence in the Iberian Basin (eastern Spain): inferences from automated forward modelling of high-resolution stratigraphy (Permian–Mesozoic)

By subsidence analysis on eighteen surface sections and 6 wells, which cover large part of the Iberian Basin (E Spain) and which are marked by high-resolution stratigraphy of the Permian, Triassic, Jurassic and Cretaceous, we quantify the complex Permian and Mesozoic tectonic subsidence history of the basin. Backstripping analysis of the available high resolution and high surface density of the database allows to quantify spatial and temporal patterns of tectonically driven subsidence to a much higher degree than previous studies. The sections and wells have also been forward modelled with a new ‘automated' modelling technique, with unlimited number of stretching phases, in order to quantify variations in timing and magnitude of rifting. It is demonstrated that the tectonic subsidence history in the Iberian Basin is characterized by pulsating periods of stretching intermitted by periods of relative tectonic quiescence and thermal subsidence. The number of stretching phases appears to be much larger than found by earlier studies, showing a close match with stretching phases found in other parts of the Iberian Peninsula and allowing a clear correlation with discrete phases in the opening of the Tethys and Atlantic.     

Arc–arc collision in the Izu collision zone, central Japan, deduced from the Ashigara Basin and adjacent Tanzawa Mountains

The Pleistocene Ashigara Basin and adjacent Tanzawa Mountains, Izu collision zone, central Japan, are examined to better understand the development of an arc–arc orogeny, where the Izu–Bonin – Mariana (IBM) arc collides with the Honshu Arc. Three tectonic phases were identified based on the geohistory of the Ashigara Basin and the denudation history of the Tanzawa Mountains. In phase I, the IBM arc collided with the Honshu Arc along the Kannawa Fault. The Ashigara Basin formed as a trench basin, filled mainly by thin-bedded turbidites derived from the Tanzawa Mountains together with pyroclastics. The Ashigara Basin subsided at a rate of 1.7 mm/year, and the denudation rate of the Tanzawa Mountains was 1.1 mm/year. The onset of Ashigara Basin Formation is likely to be older than 2.2 Ma, interpreted as the onset of collision along the Kannawa Fault. Significant tectonic disruption due to the arc–arc collision took place in phase II, ranging from 1.1 to 0.7 Ma in age. The Ashigara Basin subsided abruptly (4.6 mm/year) and the accumulation rate increased to approximately 10 times that of phase I. Simultaneously, the Tanzawa Mountains were abruptly uplifted. A tremendous volume of coarse-grained detritus was provided from the Tanzawa Mountains and deposited in the Ashigara Basin as a slope-type fan delta. In phase III, 0.7–0.5 Ma, the entire Ashigara Basin was uplifted at a rate of 3.6 mm/year. This uplift was most likely caused by isostatic rebound resulting from stacking of IBM arc crust along the Kannawa Fault which is not active as the decollement fault by this time. The evolution of the Ashigara Basin and adjacent Tanzawa Mountains shows a series of the development of the arc–arc collision; from the subduction of the IBM arc beneath the Honshu Arc to the accretion of IBM arc crust onto Honshu. Arc–arc collision is not the collision between the hard crusts (massif) like a continent–continent collision, but crustal stacking of the subducting IBM arc beneath the Honshu Arc intercalated with very thick trench fill deposits.     

Spatial and temporal variations of subsidence of the East Pacific Rise (0–23°S)

The distributions of crustal depths as a function of age have been analysed for the southeast Pacific region, along the East Pacific Rise, between the Equator and the Easter microplate (23°S). Using age data and a new compilation of bathymetric data, subsidence rates (for both eastern and western flanks), asymmetry of subsidence and zero-age depths, are computed within flow-line corridors on the Nazca and Pacific plates. Variations of subsidence rates, axial depths and subsidence asymmetry are examined both in space (within corridors) and time (within several age intervals). The variability in these parameters along the strike of the East Pacific Rise is systematic and serves to define several orders of ridge segmentation. The largest variations of these parameters are correlated with the large-scale segmentation of the ridge axis (i.e. transform faults and very large overlapping spreading centres) and are interpreted as related to variations in mantle heterogeneities mainly dependent upon temperature. Smaller variations of subsidence parameters are correlated with second- (and sometimes third-) order segmentation of the ridge axis, which could be related to variations in axial magmatic supply. Across-strike variations of subsidence suggest the existence of small lateral temperature and density variations in the mantle. When analysing the slope of the distribution of depth versus square root of age within corridors, we have observed the existence of changes in the slope which occur at specific age limits. We have estimated the subsidence over different age ranges in order to determine the temporal evolution of subsidence parameters (rates and asymmetry). Such an analysis may inform on the past axial segmentation and on the persistence of axial discontinuities in time. A linear relationship between subsidence rates and axial depths is determined for each age range and suggests that shallower segments subside faster than deeper segments. Although a similar, statistically defined linear relationship exists for any mid-ocean spreading ridge (both for intermediate or fast–ultrafast spreading), the resultant slopes of this relationship vary from ocean to ocean and show that this relationship is not universal over all oceans.     

基于FLAC3D数值模拟的老采空区剩余沉降量分析计算—以山东枣庄安博化工项目为例

空区的剩余沉降值计算是采空区地质灾害危险程度一种定量分析的方法,利用FLAC3D直接模拟早期采煤形成的老采空区塌陷状态,计算出老采空区的剩余沉降量。以山东枣庄安博化工项目为例,首先采用物探、钻探手段探测老采空区深度、顶板塌落与破碎状况以及地质地层信息,其次结合岩心试验地质材料参数结果进行FLAC3D模拟,计算自重作用下采空区剩余沉降量,以及加载建筑后老采空区剩余沉降值,对比了传统概率积分法计算沉降值,结果基本一致,说明计算方法是可靠的。最后分析加载应力与破碎带剩余沉降值的数量关系。为老采空区土地稳定性评估以及剩余沉降量的计算方法提供科学依据与借鉴。     

黄土填方区地表沉降时序InSAR监测分析

“削山填沟造地”等岩土工程在湿陷性黄土沟壑地区屡见不鲜,掌握填方区沉降情况具有重要意义。本文收集了2017年11月—2020年12月获取的56景TerraSAR-X StripMap模式影像,利用时序InSAR技术监测了陕北某湿陷性黄土填方地基工程的沉降信息,并与2017年11月—2020年12月期间监测区3个水准点的沉降测量结果比对。结果表明,在填方区地表以沉降为主,在挖方区地表以抬升为主,研究区存在有1处较为明显的地表沉降情况,位于填挖边界线附近填方区内,形变速率范围为-40~-20 mm/a,最大形变速率达-49.9 mm/a,累计量为-151.6 mm,时序InSAR形变结果和实地水准结果吻合性较好,垂直方向形变速率中误差为1.8 mm/a,表明时序InSAR技术在湿陷性黄土填挖方区变形监测中具有较好的应用价值。     

SBAS技术在矿区地面沉降监测中的应用

本文采用小基线技术即SBAS-InSAR处理淮南市谢家集矿区的8景ALOS-PLASAR数据,时间跨度为2007年1月—2011年2月。首先利用SBAS-InSAR技术提取该矿区的时序形变速率,得到累计整体沉降趋势;然后针对公路、铁路、新旧矿区等重点沉降区域进行分析。由监测结果分析可知,十涧湖西路、堤坝整体处于下沉状态,西张铁路的西半段处于抬升状态,而东半段则下沉严重;东方矿井及新二矿区均处于不同程度的下降状态。     

SBAS技术支持下的临沧市地表时序形变分析

SBAS监测技术作为微波遥感技术,通过最小二乘或奇异值分解的方法,对多个构成三角网的干涉对进行干涉处理,从而得到某个地区的时间序列形变规律。本文使用SBAS技术对覆盖临沧市2019年2月—2020年7月的30景Sentinel-1A雷达数据进行处理。通过剖面和时间序列分析方法对该区域进行分析,研究其地表沉降成因和规律,以此判断该地区是否存在地质灾害的隐患区域,为临沧市以后的防灾减灾工作提供参考意见。     

雷达技术支持下的福州市地铁沿线形变监测

近年来,由于地铁等地下工程大规模的建设产生了严重的地表沉降,从而诱发许多地质灾害,严重阻碍了中国城市化进程。因此,采用高精度雷达监测技术,对城市地质灾害监测及风险评估具有重要意义。本文利用SBAS-InSAR技术,基于24景X波段TerraSAR数据和32景C波段Sentinel-1数据,时间跨度分别为2013年7月至2015年8月、2015年7月至2018年2月,对地铁建设完成后的福州市区地表沉降进行长时间系列形变监测。监测结果表明,研究区域内的最大沉降速率为-12 mm/a,在整个观测周期内发现了8个沉降漏斗。并对这些区域进行进一步的时间序列分析,其中有3个区域呈现出地质灾害初期的特征,并且地表沉降存在进一步加剧的可能。