“等熵思维”到“等熵位涡思维”回顾与讨论

等熵位涡守恒与中纬度斜压扰动发展之间的诊断关系可用于对气旋发生发展的预报,并作为理解水汽图像的动力学场而在业务上使用。"等熵位涡思维"建立在等熵面分析的"等熵思维"基础上。本文首先依据基础的动力学理论,对等熵面上物理量场的动力学解释和业务应用作回顾和讨论,内容包括:等熵面随高度分布特征、等熵坐标中的垂直速度场、等熵面上水汽输送解释、等熵面上高空急流和锋区的特征等。其次,通过与等熵面物理量场分析和斜压二层模式准地转垂直运动方程的比较,着重回顾和讨论等熵位涡面上的物理量场和业务应用,内容包括:对流层顶定义及其温压湿分布特征、对流层顶等熵位涡面上急流和锋区的特征、对流层顶等熵位涡面上的垂直速度场、"等熵位涡思维"与气旋发展及位涡、水汽图像在改进数值预报模式中的作用等。     

塔里木盆地多期改造-晚期定型复合构造与油气战略选区

受关键构造变革期制约,叠合盆地具有分期差异变形特征。从变形角度分析,塔里木盆地可以追溯出5期主要的构造改造作用,即加里东中期、加里东晚期-海西早期、海西晚期、印支-燕山期和喜马拉雅期,并影响塔里木盆地的发展演化历史。通过对塔北、塔中和库车已知油气聚集区解剖表明:古生代多期改造形成的断裂、褶皱、隆升、剥蚀和岩溶作用,对台盆区巨型海相碳酸盐岩古岩溶油气藏的形成具有重要的控制作用;中、新生代多期改造过程,对前陆褶皱-冲断带大规模油气聚集成藏具有重要的控制作用;这些已知油气聚集区带都是在喜马拉雅晚期最终定型的,总体构成多期改造-晚期定型复合构造油气聚集模式。综合分析了塔里木新区分期差异构造变形特征,在此基础上,依据叠合盆地多期改造-晚期定型构造模式,对塔里木新区进行了区块评价和油气战略选区,认为巴楚隆起、麦盖提斜坡和西昆仑山前褶皱-冲断带是近期油气勘探突破的首选地区,塔东地区、塘古巴斯坳陷和阿瓦提断陷具有良好的油气勘探前景。     

关于位涡理论及其应用的几点看法

位涡理论能非常有效地解释天然现象,预测天然系统的变化,合理应用该理论的关键是对其原本思路和原理有非常透彻的理解,本文试图对此谈几点看法。     

简论气象部门的发展战略问题——参加二区协气象管理技术会议的收获与思考

本文根据作者参加WMO二区协气象管理技术会议的体会,提出制定气象部门发展战略的观点与思路,即环境分析与对外开拓战略、缩小差距与合作战略、提高气象部门地位与加强管理战略、依靠科技进步与加强人才培养战略、满足用户需要的气象服务战略以及在投入产出的良性循环中发展气象事业的战略:并简述了制定发展战略的基本方法和步骤。     

A PRIMARY APPROACH TO CHINESE STRATEGIC INDUSTRIAL SYSTEM

ＡＰＲＩＭＡＲＹＡＰＰＲＯＡＣＨＴＯＣＨＩＮＥＳＥＳＴＲＡＴＥＧＩＣＩＮＤＵＳＴＲＩＡＬＳＹＳＴＥＭ￥ＦａｎｇＣｈｕａｎｇｌｉｎ（ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＧｅｏｇｒａｐｈｙ，ｔｈｅＣｈｉｎｅｓｅＡｃａｄｅｍｙｏｆＳｃｉｅｎｃｅｓ，Ｂｅｉｊｉｎｇ１００１...     

ISSUES ON CHINA′S ENERGY SECURITY

Energysupplyisadeterminantfactor to the developmentand the prosperity of a modern society. China is one ofthe largest energy consumers andproducersin the world,and energy supply and its security in the country aregreat issues concerned not onlybytheChina …     

Local Governance for Social Sustainability: equity as a strategic response to neoliberal constraints in food security initiatives

Scholarly literature recognises the importance of social sustainability as part of the wider sustainability agenda. A wide array of concepts such as equity, social justice, democratic government, social inclusion, social capital and quality of life are thought to constitute social sustainability. Local governments are charged with delivering social programs and services to their constituency, but market logics and performance-based institutional cultures, along with limited authority and funding, constrain their capacity to respond to new initiatives. We analyse two case studies in Victoria, Australia, to explore how elements of social sustainability are articulated and operationalised within local government. Each case study involved State-level and local government partnerships in health-promotion initiatives to improve food security. Analysis was conducted on 50 primary policy documents, 22 secondary data documents and 27 interviews. Findings reveal that a systems-based or integrated approach to social sustainability was not workable but not completely ineffective. Equity was prioritised by local government in both case studies, and well acknowledged as interconnected with other social goals. Although constrained in its capacity to deliver new initiatives, local government responded to neoliberalising ideologies, as well as its constituency, by strategically focusing on a particular goal, such as equity.     

基于战略性新兴产业的长江三角洲城市网络结构演变研究

基于2004~2013年战略性新兴产业上市公司跨区布址数据,运用社会网络分析法对长江三角洲城市群空间结构演变规律进行了分析。研究发现：① 长江三角洲城市网络的主要联系流由 “Z”字形空间结构演变为“金字塔”形结构。② 高行政级别城市在网络要素资源配置中占据主导地位,省会城市的中介能力呈现“倒U”型发展趋势。③ 沪杭宁甬苏合6城市构成了长三角城市网络的核心层,核心-边缘层联系成为占据主导地位的联系方式;城市网络凝聚子群具有明显的地理粘着性,沪宁和杭州凝聚子群分别是群内联系和群际联系的标杆。     

Quantitative Analysis of Mineral Resources for Strategic Planning: Implications for Australian Geological Surveys

A quantitative valuation study has been made of Australian state surveys with the specific goals of (1) establishing the 'worth' of current programs upgrading state government geoscientific information infrastructure, and (2) considering the results of the valuation in terms of strategic planning. The study has been done from the perspective of the community as a whole and has been undertaken in two phases reflecting the different objectives of Australian state surveys in terms of the exploration industry and government policy-making. This paper reports on the second part of this valuation process, measuring the impact of upgraded survey data on government mineral policy decision processes. The valuation methodology developed is a comparative approach used to determine net benefit foregone by not upgrading information infrastructure. The underlying premise for the geological survey study is that existing and upgraded data sets will have a different probability that a deposit will be detected. The approach used in the valuation of geoscientific data introduces a significant technical component with the requirement to model both favorability of mineral occurrence and probability of deposit occurrence for two different generations of government data. The estimation of mineral potential uses modern quantitative methods, including the U.S. Geological Survey three-part resource-assessment process and computer-based prospectivity modeling. To test the methodology mineral potential was assessed for porphyry copper type deposits in part of the Yarrol Province, central Queensland. Results of the Yarrol case study supports the strategy of the state surveys to facilitate effective exploration by improving accuracy and acquiring new data, as part of resource management. It was determined in the Yarrol Province case study that in going from existing to upgraded data sets the area that would be considered permissible for the occurrence of porphyry type deposits almost doubled. The implication of this result is that large tracts of potentially mineralized land would not be identified using existing data. Results of the prospectivity modeling showed a marked increase in the number of exploration targets and in target rankings using the upgraded data set. A significant reduction in discovery risk also is associated with the upgraded data set, a conclusion supported by the fact that known mines with surface exposure are not identified in prospectivity modeling using the existing data sets. These results highlight the absence in the existing data sets of information critical for the identification of prospective ground.Quantitative resource assessment and computer-based prospectivity modeling are seen as complementary processes that provide the support for the increasingly sophisticated needs of Australian survey clients. Significant additional gains to the current value of geoscientific data can be achieved through the in-house analysis and characterization of individual data sets, the integration and interpretation of data sets, and the incorporation of information on geological uncertainty.