自转微椭、非均匀地球的潮汐变形

鉴于当前国际上关于自转微椭、非均匀地球（ＳＲＥＨＩ）的固体潮汐响应的结果之间存在明显分歧，特别是Ｌｏｖｅ数ｋ及重力潮汐因子δ对纬度的依赖情况截然不同，本文借助于摄动法与张量正则分量的广义球谐展开建立起来的侧向非均匀、自转微椭、粘弹地球的潮汐模拟理论，计算了ＳＲＥＨＩ地球的潮汐形变及相应的引力位变化．结果表明，描述径向位移的Ｌｏｖｅ数的纬度依赖部分系数ｈ＿＋与球对称部分ｈ＿０＋δｈ＿０之比不大于１．０‰；对Ｏ＿１波为０．２７‰；对Ｍ＿２波为０．１９‰；对Ｍ＿３波为０．４９‰；对Ｍ＿４波为０．８８‰．描述地球引力位变化的Ｌｏｖｅ数的纬度依赖部分系数ｋ＿＋与球对称部分ｋ＿０＋δｋ＿０之比小于３．０‰；对Ｏ＿１波为２．６７‰；对Ｍ＿２波为１．８９‰；对Ｍ＿３波为２．２４‰；对Ｍ＿４波为２．７０‰．     

浙江湖州地区膨胀土特征探讨

文章通过膨胀土的分布、成因类型、成分和结构特征及物理、力学性质的分析 ,证实膨胀土并非是理想的持力层     

高纯球形-准球形亚微米晶质SiO2材料的制备与表征

以天然粉石英为基本原料,通过氢氟酸与盐酸混合酸溶蚀技术和机械强力搅拌处理,制备了高纯球形-准球形亚微米晶质SiO2材料。XRD,SEM表征结果表明,制备的高纯球形亚微米晶质SiO2材料为纯结晶SiO2相,粒子呈球形-准球形,球化-准球化率达80%～90%,粒径一般为300 nm～800 nm;其化学组成为:w(SiO2)99.90%,w(Al2O3)192×10-6,w(Fe2O3)33×10-6,w(Mg)1×10-6,w(Ca)2×10-6,w(Cl-)20×10-6。     

Efficiency of kriging estimation for square, triangular, and hexagonal grids

Although several researchers have pointed out some advantages and disadvantages of various soil sampling designs in the presence of spatial autocorrelation, a more detailed study is presented herein which examines the geometrical relationship of three sampling designs, namely the square, the equilateral triangle, and the regular hexagon. Both advantages and disadvantages exist in the use of these designs with respect to estimation of the semivariogram and their effect on the mean square error or variance of error. This research could be used to design optimal sampling strategies; it is based on the theory of regionalized variables, in which the intrinsic hypothesis is satisfied. Among alternative designs, an equilateral triangle design gives the most reliable estimate of the semivariogram. It also gives the minimum maximum mean square error of point estimation of the concentration over the other two designs for the same number of measurements when the nugget effect is small relative to the variance. If the nugget effect is large (.90 ² or more), and the linear sampling density is >0.85r where r is the range, the hexagonal design is best. This study computes and compares the maximum mean square error for each of these designs.     

基于滩涂围垦的海岛城市时空扩张特征研究——以舟山本岛为例

以舟山本岛为研究单元,利用1995年,2005年和2015年的遥感影像,采用生态学分析、空间统计学分析、城市扩张指数等方法来探究舟山本岛滩涂围垦活动和城市用地扩张的特点,并分析两者之间的关联。结果表明:(1)在1995—2015年的20 a间,滩涂围垦的面积不断扩大。(2)1995—2005年的滩涂资源利用以近陆域的海涂为主,2005—2015年逐渐向浅海发展。(3)1995—2015年间,城市用地面积前10 a增长强度为0.53,增长速度为3.01 km²/a,后10 a增长强度为1.46,增长速度为8.11 km²/a。(4)舟山本岛的城市发展重心在20 a间经历了一个自西向东移动而后向北跳跃的过程,各区域间协同发展,使舟山本岛经济整体性和城市功能合理性得到提升。(5)滩涂围垦形成的土地与城市用地扩张之间存在着正相关关系,且从研究数据来看两者之间发生自然演替需要时间,大约为8~10 a,人工干预可以大幅缩短这个过程所需要的时间。     

桥梁限位器抗震设计方法研究

本文建立了两跨简支梁桥和五跨多跨刚架桥两结构模型，针对限位器的种类、刚度、强度、安装位置，输入地震动等进行了大量工况下的数值模拟研究。研究表明限位器与柱（框架）的刚度比在0.5-2之间较优。将现有的限位器设计方法应用于两算例结构，对现有限位器设计方法进行了比较研究。     

Single phase water flow through rock fractures

Flow analysis plays a major role in various geotechnical applications, and the understanding of flow mechanisms is essential for the development of a hydro-mechanical flow model suitable for underground excavations in rock. Discrete flow analysis through discontinuities is reviewed including empirical and analytical flow models. The influence of external loading on joint deformation and single-phase flow show that the surface roughness and aperture size are the prime factors influencing flow rate. Nevertheless, the idealization of natural fractures as smooth parallel plate joints is still followed in many numerical models, because of the simplicity of the cubic law when applied to fracture networks. A numerical study of water flow through a network of joints employing Universal Distinct Element Code (UDEC) is used to quantify the effects of joint orientation and external stress acting on idealized joints.It is found that, for the same joint spacing, the flow rate into an excavation depends on the boundary block size (A_b) relative to the excavation size (A_e). The inflow becomes excessive if A_b/A_e is less than 4, but becomes very small if A_b/A_e exceeds 8.     

Perspectives on present-day sea level change: a tribute to Christian le Provost

In this paper, we first discuss the controversial result of the work by Cabanes et al. (Science 294:840–842, 2001), who suggested that the rate of past century sea level rise may have been overestimated, considering the limited and heterogeneous location of historical tide gauges and the high regional variability of thermal expansion which was supposed to dominate the observed sea level. If correct, this conclusion would have solved the problem raised by the IPCC third assessment report [Church et al, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 881, 2001], namely, the factor two difference between the 20th century observed sea level rise and the computed climatic contributions. However, recent investigations based on new ocean temperature data sets indicate that thermal expansion only explains part (about 0.4 mm/year) of the 1.8 mm/year observed sea level rise of the past few decades. In fact, the Cabanes et al.’s conclusion was incorrect due to a contamination of abnormally high ocean temperature data in the Gulf Stream area that led to an overestimate of thermal expansion in this region. In this paper, we also estimate thermal expansion over the last decade (1993–2003), using a new ocean temperature and salinity database. We compare our result with three other estimates, two being based on global gridded data sets, and one based on an approach similar to that developed here. It is found that the mean rate of thermosteric sea level rise over the past decade is 1.5±0.3 mm/year, i.e. 50% of the observed 3 mm/year by satellite altimetry. For both time spans, past few decades and last decade, a contribution of 1.4 mm/year is not explained by thermal expansion, thus needs to be of water mass origin. Direct estimates of land ice melt for the recent years account for about 1 mm/year sea level rise. Thus, at least for the last decade, we have moved closer to explaining the observed rate of sea level rise than the IPCC third assessment report.     

Recultivation of abandoned agricultural lands in Ukraine: Patterns and drivers

The recent rise in agricultural commodity prices and the expectation that high price will persist have triggered a wave of farmland expansion in regions where land resources are still available. One such region is the former Soviet Union, where the collapse of socialism caused massive agricultural abandonment and where some of these lands are now being brought back into production. Yet, the extent and spatial patterns of recultivation, and what determines these patterns, remains unclear. We examined the extent of recultivation of abandoned agricultural land in Ukraine since 2007 using a new, satellite-based recultivation map and assessed the effect of biophysical and socioeconomic determinants on recultivation patterns using boosted regression trees. We found key predictors of recultivation to be related to the suitability of land for agriculture (i.e., soil quality, temperature). Accessibility to major cities was also important, with most recultivation happening closer to settlements, but this influence varied across Ukraine. Variables related to agricultural management (fertilizer input, mechanization) and demography were negligible in explaining recultivation in our analyses. These factors suggest that recultivation patterns were primarily driven by factors related to land productivity, with recultivation focusing on the most promising areas. Given the remaining large amount of unused agricultural land in Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union, and considering that much abandonment occurred in areas only marginally suited to agriculture, our findings provide important insights into where recultivation can be expected to happen and thus for assessing the potential socioeconomic and environmental impacts of recultivation.