Forward simulation and sensitivity analysis of run-out scenarios using MassMov2D at the Trafoi rockslide (South Tyrol,Italy)

This paper presents forward simulation with MassMov2D code and sensitivity analysis of run out resulting from different scenarios of potential failure of a 40 million m³ active rockslide hanging above the village of Trafoi, in South Tyrol (Italy). Five scenarios of potential failure zones were identified, with the larger one being the failure of the entire rock slide. Forward simulations showed that the consequences for the Trafoi village would be potentially destructive. A parametric sensitivity analysis was carried out in order to increase the significance of risk assessment. Results obtained by varying friction and turbulent coefficients showed quite unequivocally that although the variability of the run out might be quite large it does not change risk scenarios significantly except in the smaller case of failure. This confirms the usefulness of forward simulations even if they might be affected by uncertainties related to the impossibility to retrieve optimised parameters.     

Initiation of a multiple peat slide on Cuilcagh Mountain,Northern Ireland

In October 1998 a multiple peat slide occurred on the northern slopes of Cuilcagh Mountain, Co. Fermanagh, in response to a high‐magnitude rainfall event. Few peat slides have been recorded in Ireland, and a detailed field survey and investigation of the failure was undertaken within four weeks of the event. The morphological evidence indicated a distinct sequence of events which appeared to begin with the failure of a small segment of slope above a degraded transverse drainage ditch which was cut less than ten years previously. This segment of slope was no more than 42 m wide and 25 m long, with 0·7 m of peat overlying up to 0·5 m of a pale coloured clay, the latter containing small pipes and resting on the surface of a darker coloured loamy material. The failure surface was located at or near the base of the pale clay layer. Finite element software was used to model hydrological conditions within the upper segment of slope and to calculate factors of safety for different slope configurations including the presence or absence of a drain or a subsurface pipe. Using the peak shear strength of the pale clay, as determined in the laboratory, both the drain and subsurface pipes were required to obtain a factor of safety of 1·0 or less. Allowing for the uncertainties associated with the hydrological modelling of the pipes, it is suggested that the cutting of the drain and the hydrological impacts of its subsequent degradation are ultimately responsible for the failure. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

土质边坡滑移面(带)的确定及参数的选取

依据滑坡勘察资料，提出了土质边坡滑移面 (带 )的确定方法。并通过安徽某地滑坡滑带土强度参数选取及滑坡体稳定性评价实例，进一步阐述了滑带土强度参数是滑坡体评价中一项最重要指标，必须予以重视。     

考虑破碎的堆石料颗粒流数值模拟

以双江口300 m级高土石坝为工程背景,根据有关资料的试验数据,利用二维颗粒流计算机仿真技术对堆石料在一定围压下的颗粒破碎情况进行了数值模拟,数值试样由2 574个簇颗粒单元组成。数值模拟与室内平面应变试验结果对比表明,用选定的细观参数进行数值模拟与平面应变试验结果基本一致,说明用颗粒流方法进行数值模拟能够较好的再现堆石料的颗粒破碎特性。与室内试验相比,数值仿真模拟还能得到颗粒破碎的细观演化规律和破碎带的分布范围,从而为进一步建立考虑颗粒破碎的堆石坝本构模型,研究大坝填筑、水库蓄水过程以及地震情况下的颗粒破碎过程以及颗粒破碎所引起的坝体变形提供了一条途径。     

福建近岸海域滨海断裂的应力分析

福建东南沿海地区曾发生多次强震。本文利用该区1604～1989年的47次地震的震源机制资料,采用力轴张量计算法推算了该区应力主轴方向,结果与其他文献给出的主压应力方向相符,即北西西-南东东向。在此基础上,得到最大剪切应力平面的走向和倾角。讨论了最大剪切应力平面与福建沿海近岸海域中存在的滨海断裂（牛山岛-兄弟屿断裂）的位置关系。从应力分析的角度初步探讨了滨海断裂带上地震活动由北向南增强的原因。     

提高浅层地震反射静校正精度的一种方法与数值模拟

浅层地震反射法是一种常用的勘探方法.在浅层地震资料处理中,静校正的精度直接影响速度反演的结果和叠加剖面的质量,在地形平缓时,固定基准面静校正可以满足勘探精度的要求,但在复杂地形条件下,其存在较大误差,即使采用浮动基准面,仍会由于地表一致性假设而残余静校正量,不能消除地形起伏引起的影响,为了提高浅层地震反射静校正的精度必须在常规静校正后进行一次剩余静校正,本文给出起伏地形条件下,滑动基准面(过共中心点的水平面即为该共中心点的滑动基准面)的剩余静校正量,该校正量与炮检距、反射层埋深、地层波速以及炮点和接收点高程有关,适用于单一介质和层状介质情况,本文通过对典型地形起伏的3个水平均匀层状介质理论地质模型的速度谱计算和分析,阐明在复杂地形条件下,应用本文提出的剩余静校正方法可以消除地形起伏的影响,提高静校正精度,在此基础上做动校正可以得到高质量的水平叠加剖面.     

支护参数对复合支护基坑变形的影响分析

复合支护技术作为一种有效支护浅基坑（H≤7 m）的围护结构得到了广泛运用。在工程实践的基础上,运用平面弹塑性有限元法,从不同的支护方法及支护参数分析讨论了对变形的影响,初步得出基坑的侧向变形特性。对于采用复合支护的基坑,它的最大位移发生在基底附近,这与采用土钉支护的基坑不同。对于复合支护的基坑,采用适当的坡度可有效地提高支护效果。     

岩质边坡平面滑动的模糊可靠度分析

综合考虑了边坡平边滑动的随机性和模糊性。根据工程实际确定结构功能函数的概率密度函数及表征边坡稳定性的隶属函数,提出了边坡失稳的模糊概率和边坡稳定性模糊可靠度的计算方法,并计算了模糊可靠度的置信区间,具有一定的实际意义。     

顺层岩质边坡稳定性影响因素分析

层状岩体抗剪强度具有各向异性的特点,在分析顺层岩质边坡的稳定性与剪切滑动面方向上需要考虑 值方向性变化的影响。首先提出层状岩体 值的表达式,然后在此基础上选用一顺层边坡作为实例,分别计算分析了坡高、岩层面倾角、坡顶堆载特别是强度参数 值各向异性对边坡稳定以及剪切面方向的影响。     

排水条件下卸荷土体变形特性的真三轴试验研究

在真三轴仪上模拟基坑开挖周边土体的应力路径,进行了排水与不排水两种卸荷试验,通过对试验结果的对比分析可知,土体在不同排水条件下应力-应变关系有着显著的差异,说明排水条件对土体的变形性状有一定的影响。进一步研究了排水条件下卸荷土体广义剪应力与广义剪应变的关系,证明土体广义剪应力与广义剪应变关系曲线呈明显的非线性,并根据土体实际应力路径定义了中主应力系数,推导出了土体卸荷剪切模量计算公式。