Dynamic stochastic estimation of physical variables

A fundamental problem facing the physical sciences today is analysis of natural variations and mapping of spatiotemporal processes. Detailed maps describing the space/time distribution of groundwater contaminants, atmospheric pollutant deposition processes, rainfall intensity variables, external intermittency functions, etc. are tools whose importance in practical applications cannot be overestimated. Such maps are valuable inputs for numerous applications including, for example, solute transport, storm modeling, turbulent-nonturbulent flow characterization, weather prediction, and human exposure to hazardous substances. The approach considered here uses the spatiotemporal random field theory to study natural space/time variations and derive dynamic stochastic estimates of physical variables. The random field model is constructed in a space/time continuum that explicitly involves both spatial and temporal aspects and provides a rigorous representation of spatiotemporal variabilities and uncertainties. This has considerable advantages as regards analytical investigations of natural processes. The model is used to study natural space/time variations of springwater calcium ion data from the Dyle River catchment area, Belgium. This dataset is characterized by a spatially nonhomogeneous and temporally nonstationary variability that is quantified by random field parameters, such as orders of space/time continuity and random field increments. A rich class of covariance models is determined from the properties of the random field increments. The analysis leads to maps of continuity orders and covariances reflecting space/time calcium ion correlations and trends. Calcium ion estimates and the associated statistical errors are calculated at unmeasured locations/instants over the Dyle region using a space/time kriging algorithm. In practice, the interpretation of the results of the dynamic stochastic analysis should take into consideration the scale effects.     

Comparison of the pseudo-static and dynamic behaviour of gravity retaining walls

Summary Pseudo-static and dynamic non-linear finite element analyses have been performed to assess the dynamic behaviour of gravity retaining walls subjected to horizontal earthquake loading. In the pseudo-static analysis, the peak ground acceleration is converted into a pseudo-static inertia force and applied as a horizontal incremental gravity load. In the dynamic analysis, an actual measured earthquake acceleration time history has been scaled to provide peak ground acceleration values of 0.1 g and 0.3 g. Good agreement is obtained between the pseudo-static analysis and analytical methods for the calculation of the active coefficient of earth pressure. However, the results from the dynamic analysis require careful interpretation. In the pseudo-static analysis, the increase in the point of application of the resultant active force with the horizontal earthquake coefficient k _h from the one-third point to the mid-height of the wall is clearly observed. In the dynamic analysis, the variation in the point of application is shown to be a function of the type of wall deformation. Both finite element analyses indicate the importance of determining the magnitude of the predicted displacements when assessing the behaviour of the wall to seismic loading.     

大冲击功液动锤的研究及其应用

从液动锤基础理论出发，依据理论计算公，科学建立数学模型，开发计算机软件，对液动锤内部动力过程及工作参数进行计算机模拟仿真电算，寻求大幅度提高冲击功的途径和方法。     

模拟退火剩余静校正的一步算法

当地震资料的剩余静校正量大、信噪比低时，利用传统的线性反演方法不能有效地拾取静校正量。本文介绍一种非线性反演方法（一步模拟退火法）来估算炮点和检波点的剩余静校正量。通过对合成地震记录的试算表明，该算法可获得近似于真实的剩余静校正量。     

A Study on the Geological—Geochemical Dynamics of Hydrothermal Ore Deposition as Exemplified by the Muping—Rushan Gold Deposit Belt,Eastern Shandong,China

This paper presents a method of establishing a hydrothermal ore-forming reaction system.On the basis of the study of four typical hydrothermal deposits,the following conclusions concerning geochemical dynamic controlling during hydrothermal mineralization have been sions concerning geochemical dynaamic controlling during hydrothermal mineralization have been drawn:(1)The regional tectonic activities control the concentration and dispersion of elements in the ore-forming process in terms of their effects on the thermodynamic nature and conditions of the ore-forming reaction system.(2)During hydrothermal mineralization the activites of ore-bearing faults can be divideb into two stages:the brittle splitting stage and the brittle-tough tensing stage,which would create characteristically different geodynamic conditions for the geochemical thermodynamic ore-forming system.(3)The hydrothermal ore-forming reaaction system is an open dynamic system.At the brittle splitting stage the system was so strongly supersaturated and unequilibrated as to speed up and enhance the crystallization and differentiation of ore-forming fluids.And at the brittle-tough tensing stage,the ore-forming system was in a weak supersaturated state;with decreasing temperature and pressure the crystallization of oreforming material would show down,and it can be regarded as an equilibrated state.(4)In the lates stages of hydrothermal evolution,gold would be concentrated in the residual ore-forming solution.The pulsating fracture activite in this stage led to the crush of pyrite ore and it was then filled with gold-enriched solution,forming high-grage“fissure”gold ore.This ore-forming process could be called the coupling mechanism of ore formation.     

考虑入渗和蒸发影响的土坡稳定性分析方法

本研究建议的一种分析方法假定斜坡非饱和土体的水分运动参数及剪强度参数与饱和度的依赖关系均可根据实验或经验确定。通过数值计算方法妥任意给定的入渗和蒸发边界条件下斜坡土体的瞬态含水率分布及与其相对应的瞬态抗剪强度参数分布。在此基础上瞬态斜坡安全因数即可通过常规的稳定性分析方法求得。     

武宁陆相红盆沉积特征与演化浅析

本文依据1:5万区调资料,扼要介绍了武宁陆相红盆填图单位的拟定、表示方法及工作原理的应用,重点叙述了红盆内多个冲积扇体特征及其之间的叠覆关系,阐明了盆缘断裂是控制红盆成生、发展演化的主导因素。对红盆成生及演化、时代也作了初步探讨。     

岩溶地下水集中开采区水质系统预测研究

在岩溶地区，地下水的超强度开采与工业“三废”及生活废弃物不合理的排放，造成了地下水较严重的污染。用动态系统方法建立的地下水污染时间序列递推预测模型，在岩溶地下水环境质量预测与管理方面都具有指导意义。     

Estimation of groundwater evaporation and salt flux from Owens Lake, California, USA

Groundwater evaporation and subsequent precipitation of soluble salts at Owens Lake in eastern California have created one of the single largest sources of airborne dust in the USA, yet the evaporation and salt flux have not been fully quantified. In this study, we compare eddy correlation, microlysimeters and solute profiling methods to determine their validity and sensitivity in playa environments. These techniques are often used to estimate evaporative losses, yet have not been critically compared at one field site to judge their relative effectiveness and accuracy. Results suggest that eddy correlation methods are the most widely applicable for the variety of conditions found on large playa lakes. Chloride profiling is shown to be highly sensitive to thermal and density-driven fluxes in the near surface and, as a result, appears to underestimate yearly groundwater evaporation. Yearly mean groundwater evaporation from the playa surface estimated from the three study areas was found to range from 88 to 104 mm year⁻¹, whereas mean evaporation from the brine-covered areas was 872 mm year⁻¹. Uncertainties on these mean rates were estimated to be ±25%, based on comparisons between eddy correlation and lysimeter estimates. On a yearly basis, evaporation accounts for approximately 47 × 10⁶ m³ of water loss from the playa surface and open-water areas of the lake. Over the playa area, as much as 7.5 × 10⁸ kg (7.5 × 10⁵ t) of salt are annually concentrated by evaporation at or near the playa surface, much of which appears to be lost during dust storms in area.     

不同岩溶动力系统的碳稳定同位素和地球化学特征及其意义——以我国几个典型岩溶地区为例

结合水化学的野外观测及室内计算,作者对桂林岩溶试验场、四川黄龙风景区和贵州乌江渡坝区3个岩溶动力系统的碳稳定同位素特征进行了分析,进而对系统的性质、系统中CO_2的来源、碳酸盐沉积过程中的碳同位素动力分馏、水化学和钙华的成因及热水钙华的~(14)C测年等地球化学问题作了探讨。结果表明,桂林岩溶试验场属于表层岩溶作用动力系统,其中的侵蚀动力主要来源于大气降水溶解土壤中的CO_2;四川黄龙风景区属于深部岩溶动力系统,侵蚀动力来自大气降水溶解幔源的CO_2;贵州乌江渡坝区岩溶系统,虽然属于表层岩溶动力系统,但其中一部分的同位素和水化学特征已受到人类活动的重大影响。