Conceptually-based shot noise modeling of streamflows at short time interval

A conceptual-stochastic approach to short time runoff data modelling is proposed, according to the aim of reproducing the hydrological aspects of the streamflow process and of preserving as much as possible the dynamics of the process itself. This latter task implies preservation of streamflow characteristics at higher scales of aggregation and, within a conceptual framework, involves compatibility with models proposed for the runoff process at those scales. At a daily time scale the watershed response to the effective rainfall is considered as deriving from the response of three linear reservoirs, respectively representing contributions to streamflows of large deep aquifers, with over-year response lag, of aquifers which run dry by the end of the dry season and of subsurface runoff. The surface runoff component is regarded as an uncorrelated point process. Considering the occurrences of effective rainfall events as generated by an independent Poisson process, the output of the linear system represents a conceptually-based multiple shot noise process. Model identification and parameter estimation are supported by information related to the aggregated runoff process, in agreement to the conceptual framework proposed, and this allows parameter parsimony, efficient estimation and effectiveness of the streamflow reproduction. Good performances emerged from the model application and testing made with reference to some daily runoff series from Italian basins.     

An improved method of aggregate stability measurement

The stability of individual soil aggregates to impacting water drops is now regarded as a fundamental parameter required in any soil erodibility assessment. This stability has been measured by the use of single drop rainfall simulators, the characteristics and operation of which have, in the past, shown considerable variation. The drop sizes, impact frequency, drop fall height, chemistry of drop-forming liquid, aggregate pretreatment, and definition of breakdown affect the way in which the apparatus can be used to define stability. Within this paper each one of these characteristics is considered and a piece of apparatus proposed which is believed to give results with increased consistency and replicability. The described apparatus can be readily reproduced in any laboratory situation, and has the added advantage of being not only appropriate for the measurement of indices of stability, but also of providing an environment in which the mechanisms of aggregate breakdown can be investigated.     

导爆管起爆系统的现状与展望

本文在实验研究和文献分析的基础上,论述了导爆管的结构、性质、爆轰机理以及使用技术。对起爆系统的进一步发展,笔者提出了包括系统元件系列化与配套生产、无雷管起爆系统的研究以及扩大应用领域等方面的建议。     

土石混合体边坡的细观处理技术

土石混合体边坡是由滑坡堆积、残坡堆积、崩坡堆积、冲洪堆积等形成的一种非均质边坡。由于其物质组成的不均质性,带来与其它边坡显著不同的变形性质和破坏机理。针对其物质结构特点,对土石混合体边坡应该采用细观处理技术,将之分别看成均质连续体、等效的均质连续体、非均质不连续体和结构面控制的非连续体等4种情况来处理。     

不同土地利用方式对黄土坡地土壤水稳性团聚体和总孔隙度的影响

通过测定土壤水稳性团聚体、总孔隙度、容重等物理性质,对延安梁峁山丘四种不同土地利用方式对土壤水稳性团聚体和总孔隙度的影响作了定量分析。结果表明,不同土地利用方式对土壤水稳性团聚体和总孔隙度的改善作用的大小顺序为草地>有林地>灌木林地>耕地。通过进一步分析四种土地利用方式下,土壤中直径≤1mm有效根根量的分布特征,发现不同土地利用方式下的土壤中,有效根根量的差异是造成这种不同影响的重要原因之一。     

Autocorrelation function bias owed to a limited number of de-trended observations. Applications to autoregressive models with noise

Analytical expressions were derived for the expectation of the autocorrelation function (ACF) corresponding to lowfrequency least squares fits and deviations from them in the case of a limited number of observations N. A vector of values of the autocovariation function may be obtained by multiplication of a N . N matrix Z (dependent on concrete basic functions used for trend determination) by a vector of the unbiased ACF. Because much computational time is needed to obtain such a matrix, its components are to be computed once for concrete N and basic functions, and then stored as a file. An algorithm is proposed for determining the contribution of the correlated signal to the ‘signal+noise’. The expressions are written for general form of the ACF, and illustrated by the application to autoregressive models. The statistical properties of the model parameters are studied. The method is applied to cataclysmic binaries AM Her and TT Ari. The precise expressions allow us to obtain reliable results and to avoid misinterpretation being possible when using the approximate methods.     

不同阶次自由表面相关多次波预测与成像方法

海水与空气间的强波阻抗界面使得海洋地震数据普遍发育自由表面相关多次波,多次波信息的利用是提高海洋地震资料成像品质的新突破点.近年来发展了一系列多次波成像方法,干涉假象是制约其应用推广的关键问题之一.为了避免假象影响,本文提出了不同阶次自由表面相关多次波预测与成像方法,首先,修改了传统SRME(表面相关多次波衰减)方法中的边界条件,通过多次波升阶次与匹配相减的方法预测出不同阶次自由表面相关多次波;其次,基于单程波偏移算子和"面炮"偏移策略,以一次反射波或第(N-1)阶自由表面相关多次波为下行波场正向延拓,以第1阶多次或第N阶多次波为上行波场逆向延拓,并在每一层互相关成像得到第1阶或N阶多次波单独成像.本方法避免了低阶多次波和高阶多次波产生的相关假象,且相对于全波算子的偏移方法具有较高的计算效率,增强了多次波成像方法的实用性.单层模型和三层模型测试验证了本方法的正确性,并在我国某深海探区实际资料处理中得到了成功应用.相对于传统一次波成像,分阶次多次波成像具有更高的照明均衡度、垂向分辨率和信噪比.本研究表明,海洋多次波成像是一次波成像的有力补充,对于稳定海底沉积的深海地区,具有一定的应用前景.     

衰减干涉假象的海洋一次波与多次波同时成像方法

海水与空气间的强波阻抗差使得海洋地震资料普遍发育自由表面相关多次波,如何利用好多次波所携带的有效信息已成为提高海洋地震资料成像品质的新突破点.基于面炮偏移的一次波与多次波同时成像方法能够避免多次波预测精度的影响,但是,正向传播的震源子波与反向延拓的自由表面相关多次波所产生的干涉假象严重制约了该技术的应用,本文提出了一种基于单程波偏移算子,可在成像域压制干涉假象的一次波与多次波同时成像方法.其中包含了三个步骤:第一,传统单程波偏移成像方法中的震源子波替换为一次波、多次波与震源子波,初始上行延拓波场为一次波与多次波,基于单程波算子的波场延拓与互相关成像条件的应用得到包含干涉假象的一次波与多次波同时成像;第二,以子波为震源,自由表面相关多次波为记录,按照传统单程波偏移成像方法得到干涉假象;第三,基于最小二乘匹配滤波算法,将第一步的成像结果与第二步的干涉假象进行匹配相减,得到干涉假象衰减后的一次波与多次波同时成像,避开了由于实际资料子波无法准确提取而造成一次波与多次波对成像能量级的不一致性.Sigsbee2B模型测试验证了本方法的有效性,并在我国某探区深海实际资料处理中得到了成功应用,深层基底得到了清晰刻画,并且照明均衡度明显改善.     

再生混凝土的低温抗震性变化对比分析

再生混凝土作为建筑材料在被使用前,需要对其低温抗震性能做出分析。但目前我国是全球新建筑数量最多的国家,再生混凝土成本低、需求量大,建筑方根据对普通混凝土的印象,直接将再生混凝土应用到建筑工程建设中,其中存在低温抗震性能不明确的问题。针对这个问题,提出再生混凝土的低温抗震性变化对比分析,通过再生混凝土的材料配比及实验搭建设计再生混凝土低温抗震结构模型。根据其指标对其低温抗冻性能、加速度变化、损伤指标、刚度稳定性、层位移变化等几个方面进行变化对比分析。对比实验结果表明:再生混凝土当含气量在逐渐降低时,其保温效果降低,强度在降低,抗冻性也在降低,耐久性和稳定性较差,并且在地震后楼层间的位移和加速度变化较大,不能保证楼层的稳定性;位移角无法降低到最小;随着位移和负载地震力不断增加,再生混凝土逐渐产生开裂变化,刚度减小速度较快,刚度退化程度较大,低温抗震性能较差。     

强震区轻骨料混凝土桥梁地震响应研究

为研究轻骨料混凝土桥梁的地震响应,以一座强震区典型连续梁桥为研究对象,在考虑轻骨料混凝土材料特性基础上建立桥梁结构有限元分析模型,采用非线性动力时程分析法进行结构地震响应分析,研究轻骨料混凝土材料布设位置对桥梁结构动力特性和地震响应的影响,并从内力和位移响应方面与普通混凝土桥梁进行对比。结果表明:与普通混凝土桥梁相比,仅上部结构或仅下部结构采用轻骨料混凝土对降低桥墩内力并不明显,而全桥采用轻骨料混凝土能够显著降低桥墩内力。轻骨料混凝土桥梁与普通混凝土桥梁地震内力和位移响应变化趋势不同,桥墩塑性发展程度和时间存在差异。采用轻骨料混凝土桥梁方案时,应综合考虑结构质量、刚度分布及材料塑性特性与普通混凝土桥梁的不同,合理确定抗震设计方案。