边坡滚石运动学参数敏感性

滚石是边坡工程中一种常见的动力地质灾害.正确估算滚石运动轨迹是经济合理地进行防护结构设计的基础.滚石运动轨迹受多种参数的影响,准确把握各运动学参数对防护结构设计控制指标的敏感性,可以更加有针对性地进行滚石灾害防治工作.因此,将正交试验设计与基于运动学的滚石运动轨迹数值计算方法相结合,以景(德镇)鹰(潭)高速公路DK27+120里程附近边坡滚石灾害为例,将3类防护结构设计控制指标作为试验指标,将5种影响滚石运动轨迹的参数作为试验因素,应用正交试验表安排滚石运动轨迹数值计算试验,进行3指标5因素正交试验.通过试验结果的极差分析与方差分析,对滚石运动学参数的敏感性以及显著性进行分析和检验,确定影响防护结构设计控制指标的主要参数,为滚石灾害的防治提供科学依据.     

多肢剪力墙自振频率传递矩阵法简化计算

基于连续体系模型与传递矩阵法的结合,提出了一种简化方法来计算多肢剪力墙的动力特性。整个结构体系等效模拟为一个夹层结构梁;建立了相应的基本微分方程;通过求解微分方程得到了楼层间变形函数;利用边界条件及层间变形函数导出了层间传递矩阵;据此计算出了体系的振型与自振频率。算例分析表明本文方法计算结果与文献给出的解是比较吻合的。     

椭圆-抛物线双屈服面模型参数灵敏度分析

利用两种土石料三轴CD试验数据确定两组椭圆-抛物双屈服面模型参数,研究了模型参数? 、KG、n、h、m、M1、M2和pr分别单独变化（而其他参数保持不变）对模型所反映的土的应力-应变关系的影响。结果表明,土体的体积应变对参数h、m比较敏感;? 、KG、n对剪胀性土的体变影响较大,而对剪缩性土体变影响不明显;? 、KG、n、h和m对模型反映的强度没有影响;pr变化对体变和强度影响均较小。M1和M2对强度和体变均有显著影响,且M1和M2中的小值决定模型的强度。定义了灵敏度,即一种用于表示模型参数对其所反映的应力-应变的影响程度的参数。分析表明,不同的参数,其灵敏度差异很大;不同的土类,参数灵敏度差异也较大。实际应用时,对灵敏度大的参数取值应特别慎重。     

On characterizing the temporal dominance patterns of model parameters and processes

Diagnostic analyses of hydrological models intend to improve the understanding of how processes and their dynamics are represented in models. Temporal patterns of parameter dominance could be precisely characterized with a temporally resolved parameter sensitivity analysis. In this way, the discharge conditions are characterized, that lead to a parameter dominance in the model. To achieve this, the analysis of temporal dynamics in parameter sensitivity is enhanced by including additional information in a three‐tiered framework on different aggregation levels. Firstly, temporal dynamics of parameter sensitivity provide daily time series of their sensitivities to detect variations in the dominance of model parameters. Secondly, the daily sensitivities are related to the flow duration curve (FDC) to emphasize high sensitivities of model parameters in relation to specific discharge magnitudes. Thirdly, parameter sensitivities are monthly averaged separately for five segments of the FDC to detect typical patterns of parameter dominances for different discharge magnitudes. The three methodical steps are applied on two contrasting catchments (upland and lowland catchment) to demonstrate how the temporal patterns of parameter dynamics represent different hydrological regimes. The discharge dynamic in the lowland catchment is controlled by groundwater parameters for all discharge magnitudes. In contrast, different processes are relevant in the upland catchment, because the dominances of parameters from fast and slow runoff components in the upland catchment are changing over the year for the different discharge magnitudes. The joined interpretation of these three diagnostic steps provides deeper insights of how model parameters represent hydrological dynamics in models for different discharge magnitudes. Thus, this diagnostic framework leads to a better characterization of model parameters and their temporal dynamics and helps to understand the process behaviour in hydrological models. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

WRF-chem sensitivity to vertical resolution during a saharan dust event

The Saharan dust event that occurred between the 22nd and 30th of June 2012 influenced the atmospheric radiative properties over North Africa, the Iberian Peninsula, the Western Mediterranean basin, extending its effects to France and Southern England. This event is well documented in satellite imagery, as well as on the air quality stations over the Iberian Peninsula and the AERONET NASA network. In order to assess the effect of the model vertical resolution on the extinction coefficient fields, as a proxy to the particulate matter concentrations in the atmosphere, the WRF-Chem model was applied during this period over a mother domain with a resolution of 18 km, covering Europe and North Africa. To this end five model setups differing in the number of vertical levels were tested. Model skills were evaluated by comparing the model results with CALIPSO and EARLINET LIDAR data. Results show that the model is able to simulate the higher level aerosol transport but it is susceptible to the vertical resolution used. This is due to the thickness of the transport layers which is, eventually, thinner than the vertical resolution of the model. When comparing model results to the observed vertical profiles, it becomes evident that the broad features of the extinction coefficient profile are generally reproduced in all model configurations, but finer details are captured only by the higher resolution simulations.     

楔形刀具侵入岩石损伤破坏影响因素的理论分析及数值模拟

通过空腔膨胀理论研究楔形刀具几何参数（刃角）、岩石力学参数（抗压强度、泊松比）对刀具与岩石接触面下岩石弹-塑性交界面半径的影响。结果表明：刀具与岩石接触宽度一定时,刃角越小,岩体的损伤区域越大,从而导致弹-塑性交界面半径增大。在其他因素不变的前提下,岩石泊松比增大或者抗压强度增加都导致弹-塑性交界面半径减小。采用参数敏感性分析方法对3种影响因素的敏感性进行了分析,在接触宽度一定的条件下,刃角的大小对弹-塑性交界半径的影响最大。采用ABAQUS软件建立刀具侵入岩石的数值模型,研究表明,刃角的变化对文中定义的岩体内最大拉应力点空间位置以及最小梯度方向有着显著影响。     

中亚地区矿产资源勘查开发方向

概要地介绍了中亚地区的构造分区特点、优势矿产资源和主要成矿时期。在区域成矿分析的基础上,强调围绕大规模成矿作用进行地质过程解析的重要性,更好地为资源潜力评价和勘查开发选区提供依据。     

The Geographical Distribution of Mental Disorder in Denmark 1971–1990: A Study of First Admission Rates

Geografisk Tidsskrift, Danish Journal of Geography 97: 132–142, 1997.

In the period 1971–90 the first admission rate to Danish psychiatric hospitals and wards decreased by approximately 45%. This might reflect the similar decrease in number of available psychiatric beds. Generally, the decrease of first admission rates was larger in the metropolitan area than in the rest of the country. Consequently, the disparity in admission rates between town and country was reduced. Number of available beds has gained increasing importance as a predictor of variations between counties and municipalities whereas the importance of distance to hospital and degree of urbanization has declined. As regards socio-demographic variables special importance should be attached to variables for social aid and the employment rate in the social and health sector. However, it is generally difficult to determine whether regional variations are due to differences in treatment facilities or morbidity differences. From a disaggregate analysis it will appear that the diagnoses schizophrenia and alcoholism are especially related to low status areas whereas a connection with social status regarding neuroses and manic-depressive psychoses is less obvious.     

伽马拟声波分频重构反演在储层预测中的应用

在地质和地震资料研究基础上,通过岩心、录井和测井分析,探索不同频率尺度测井曲线的储层意义,优选研究区内钻穿古近系底砂岩段砂泥薄互层储层5口探井的储层敏感曲线.在曲线预处理、标准化和敏感性分析的前提下,利用曲线分频拟合,对储层敏感曲线和声波曲线做小波多尺度分解,提取反映薄互层储层岩性变化的中频中尺度伽马曲线和反映地层速度的低频大尺度声波曲线.利用统计模型信息融合构建具有声波量纲的拟声波曲线.在地质研究和沉积演化模式的指导下,运用井约束反演的方法补充地震资料的高频和低频信息,提高地震资料的质量,预测有利储层分布.研究表明,伽马拟声波分频重构反演能有效的提高地震资料的纵向和横向分辨率,刻画复杂地质条件下的薄层储层分布.     

库车坳陷复杂高陡构造地震成像研究

复杂构造地震成像主要取决于叠前地震数据品质、偏移速度可靠性和偏移算子成像精度. 库车坳陷异常复杂的近地表条件导致极低信噪比的地震采集数据. 该区逆冲推覆高陡构造刺穿盐体大面积分布, 盐层厚度变化大、顶底面形态复杂, 盐下断裂带破碎、小断块发育, 形成异常复杂的地震成像问题. 本文重点研究三个关键环节:(1)精细的叠前地震预处理研究: 根据该区地震地质复杂性和地震资料特征, 采用一些新的方法技术和技术组合从振幅与时移的大、中、小尺度变化三个层次来解决资料信噪比问题, 重建深部反射信号; (2)三级偏移速度分析研究:利用库车坳陷盐刺穿逆冲推覆构造建模理论及变速成图配套技术解决叠前时间偏移速度场时深转换问题,利用井约束低频速度地震迭代反演技术解决连井层速度场与偏移速度场的融合问题,实现从DMO速度分析、叠前时间偏移速度分析到叠前深度偏移速度分析的有机衔接,建立拓扑结构相对保持的叠前深度偏移速度模型;(3)基于退化Fourier偏移算子的半解析波动方程叠前时间和深度偏移研究, 极大地改善了地震偏移过程中高波数波的成像问题. 通过对库车坳陷大北、博孜、却勒、西秋4和西秋10等复杂高陡构造的叠前时间和深度偏移地震成像处理,取得了较好的应用效果.