ENSO 循环过程中逐月海温异常的合成分析

文章基于UK和MIT 1990年整编的12年（1968～1977年和1982～1983年）逐月5°×5°经纬网格点的海温（SST）距平资料，对其间发生的4次El Nino事件和3次La Nina事件作了逐月全球SST异常分布的合成分析。合成结果表明:在El Nino事件的形成阶段，赤道中太平洋存在明显的东传暖性低频扰动；而在La Nina事件的形成阶段，南北美沿岸有稳定增强的冷中心向西发展。     

A NEW QUANTITATIVE WAY FOR DETERMINING LEAF AREA INDEXAND NET PRIMARY PRODUCTIVITY IN REGIONAL SCALE

IntroductionThemaJorpurposeforremotesensingistoobtuinqUantitativevaluabledrirmationonvanousaPplicahons.PanicularlybiophysicalparametersinwionalandglobalscaleareofintereSttoanumberofdomams.ForinStancem,croPyteldestiInatinleafareaindex,chiorophyllcontentandheightofcroparecruaalindex.EvaPotranSirationinroponalscalenedstogctdistnbtaloninformationofcrophdghttoinferrowiessOfsuffoceandsoon.AsthoopthenormaldifferenceVegetaonindex(NDVI)hasbecameaverypoPularmethodtoeinmateLAI,therelationshipbet…     

电感应力灵敏度在实测中的研究

应力场的观测是预报地震较直接的途径之一,本实验利用异孔深井抽水的加(减)载作应力观测的人工力源,在大量实测数据基础上进行力学分析,得出电感应力观测在满足规范要求时能测到地应力场的变化,但室内标定的应力灵敏度不等于实测灵敏度。用室内灵敏度计算应力值必有明显误差。本结果对电惑应力观测科学具有重要的实际意义。     

大型抽水试验最优化设计研究

抽水试验最优化设计,是指针对一个具体的地下水系统优选出一个抽水试验设计,它使抽水试验的费用最小化,而试验所获资料能满足识别参数所要求的可靠性,它可以概化为一个非线性的混合整数规划问题,其决策变量是确定抽水井和观测井的位置及井数、抽水量和观测频率等,采用搜索算法求解了这一优化问题,得到了理论最优解,并进行了实例演算。     

Estimating Petroleum Resources Using Geo-Anchored Method--A Sensitivity Study

The Geo-anchored method, based on a moment-type estimator, has been developed for estimating parent population properties from a successive sample of discoveries. By substituting the expectation of the waiting time z _(n+1) of the (n + 1) ^th discovery to occurrence for an unknown parameter in the anchored method, the Geo-anchored method allows estimation of inclusion probabilities directly from observed data, thus eliminating the need for a priori selection of a value of N, R, or some other feature of the parent population. Because direct estimation of N and R requires an ordered sample, the Geo-anchored method is more sensitive to the data-generating process than the anchored method. This paper presents a sensitivity study on the Geo-anchored method. The test is based on simulated discovery sequences with different assumptions regarding discovery efficiency, exploration maturity, and the shape of the parent field size distribution. As a reference for comparison, estimates from the Horvitz–Thompson estimator also are presented.     

Growth of Daphnia magna males and females fed with the cyanobacterium Microcystis aeruginosa and the green alga Scenedesmus obliquus in different proportions

Laboratory experiments were used to study the sensitivity of both male and female Daphnia magna to a toxic cyanobacterium, Microcystis aeruginosa. Male and female D. magna were fed with M. aeruginosa and a green alga (Scenedesmus obliquus) in different mixtures that included 0%, 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% Microcystis. Growth of both males and females declined with increasing proportion of Microcystis in the diet. Males were slightly less sensitive to Microcystis than females with EC₅₀ for growth inhibition at 72% and 63% Microcystis in the diet, respectively. On monospecific Microcystis diet, mortality rates for males (0.16 d^–1) and females (0.17 d^–1) were similar. The reproductive rate of females was the most sensitive endpoint with an EC₅₀ of 42% Microcystis in the diet, whereas population growth rates were the least sensitive (EC₅₀ of 74% Microcystis). Microcystis in the diet severely depressed growth and reproduction in Daphnia and poses a severe threat to its survival in which only a switch in reproductive strategy might provide Daphnia a refuge to a Microcystis environment that gradually becomes uninhabitable.     

Effects of variable attribute weights on landform classification

This paper focuses on the attribute weight issue and advocates use of modi?able attribute weights in terrain‐based environmental analysis and classi?cation. A question was asked: ‘How much will the result of a terrain‐based environmental analysis be affected if the weights of used terrain attributes are changed?’ The literature on landform classi?cation and the fuzzy k‐means method was reviewed in particular to help clarify the background and importance of this weight assignment issue. As an example, the effects of modifying attribute weights were evaluated for fuzzy k‐means landform classi?cation in a case study area. A total of 102 classi?cations were compared with each other and with a soil map, and comparison methods were speci?cally designed to evaluate the differences between these classi?cations. The results show that fuzzy k‐means landform classi?cation is sensitive to weight adjustments of adopted terrain attributes. The sensitivity is particularly high when the attribute weights started to be tuned away from the standard (i.e. uniform) weight of one. Better matching between landform classi?cation and a soil map may be produced when attribute weights are tuned. In all, we advocate the widespread adoption of an exploratory attitude in assigning attribute weights for environmental analysis and classi?cation. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

重庆市镇安场变形体与库岸岸勘查治理

对镇安场变形体、库岸特征及其稳定性研究目的是为三峡水库区三期地质灾害勘察与治理提供参考依据。通过对该变形体的工程地质勘察,取得了变形体及滑移带的近期变形特征,确定出变形体的稳定系数。给出变形体在天然状态下、连续高强度暴雨、水库蓄水位达175m及降至145m时荷载受力情况下的一系列参数,并作出稳定性简评。通过对库岸现状的定量勘查,采用对未来坍岸破坏方式的预测,用类比及计算法得出当库水位动、静态发生改变时变形体的变形情况及变形体与库岸防治设计的有关参数。其中浅基础下岩石地基承载力的经验参数为:强风化泥岩300kPa,强风化砂岩500kPa,中等风化泥岩1000kPa,中等风化砂岩2000kPa;基底摩擦系数为:泥岩0.4,砂岩0.5;墙后填土重度20kN/m3。按上述各项参数实施防治措施将取得较好的效果。     

东海超高压榴辉岩中绿帘石、褐帘石、磷灰石和钍石集合体的电子探针成分和化学定年研究

中国大陆超深钻(CCSD)主孔从100米到3000米切穿含柯石英榴辉岩,为系统研究大陆深俯冲过程中含稀土元素副矿物提供了机会。本文报道了该钻孔榴辉岩存在发现的绿帘石、褐帘石、磷灰石和钍石复合颗粒。它们以同心环带结构为特征,从边部向中心依次为绿帘石、褐帘石和磷灰石;钍石既可包裹再磷灰石中,也可见于褐帘石中。电子探针分析显示,褐帘石不仅含有较高的轻稀土元素(LREE2O3=23．36wt％),而且可含有2．6wt％ThO2。根据绿帘石和褐帘石的电子探针高分辨U、Th、Pb成分计算得到绿帘石边部的形成年龄为738±88Ma,该年龄与大别-苏鲁地体榴辉岩的元古代源岩的年龄相当,因此,绿帘石可能为残留相。相反,褐帘石的年龄为220±41Ma,与大别-苏鲁超高压变质年龄相近。因此,褐帘石与磷灰石和钍石一起应该为超高压变质事件的产物。根据绿帘石、褐帘石及其共生的磷灰石和钍石的结构、成分特征和化学定年结果,我们推测绿帘石与可能已完全消耗的独居石很可能为变质副矿物组合的先驱矿物。独居石-绿帘石复合颗粒在榴辉岩相高压／超高压变质过程中反应形成磷灰石+钍石+褐帘石组合。     

近50年汾河上中游流域径流对气候变化的响应分析

以汾河上中游干流水文站近50年的气象水文资料为基础,采用多元回归及敏感性分析方法,对径流、降水和气温三者之间变化规律以及区域水文对气候变化的响应进行了定量分析,结果表明气候变暖导致了蒸发的加剧,并一定程度上造成了汾河干流径流量的减少。预估暖干气候条件下引发干旱灾害的可能性将增强。