东北稳定参考框架NEChina20

选用中国地壳运动观测网络（CMONOC）在东北地区2012~2019年的GNSS观测数据,建立东北稳定参考框架（NEChina20）,实现由全球参考框架IGS14到NEChina20的位置坐标转换。NEChina20与全球参考框架IGS14保持坐标系缩放比例一致,两者在历元2020.0对齐。NEChina20的精度（稳定性）在水平方向约为0.5 mm/a, 在垂直方向 约为0.6 mm/a。参考框架的稳定性随时间的推移和覆盖面积的增加而退化,建议NEChina20 的适用范围在时间上限于从2005~2025年约20 a的时间窗口,在空间上限于东北地块及南端的河套断陷带和张家口-渤海断裂带。选用东北地区4个基岩站2000~2019年的GNSS连续观测数据,建立东北地区季节性地面升降模型。NEChina20与该季节性模型相结合,为在东北地区开展长期的、高精度的变形观测构建了基础设施。     

新疆山区低层云水资源时空分布特征

采用云与地球辐射能量系统(CERES)2003～2007年的CERESSSF Aqua MODIS云资料,选取新疆阿尔泰山、天山和昆仑山三大山区,通过考察云量和云液态水柱含量分析了低层云水资源的多年空间分布和季节变化特征。结果表明,三大山区多年平均的云量年平均区域值在24.4%～27.5%之间,云液态水柱含量在51～56.3g/m2之间。三大山区低层云量和云液态水柱含量有明显的季节变化特征。综合云量和云水柱含量来看,春季是三大山区低层云量资源最丰富的季节,冬季是三大山区低层云中的含水量最丰富的季节。     

西南喀斯特地区几种主要土地覆被下土壤CO2-C通量研究

中国西南喀斯特地区土壤营养元素流失形势严峻,揭示不同土地覆被下土壤CO2-C的释放规律,是认识喀斯特这一特殊环境诸多营养元素循环问题的一个重要途径。采用静态箱-气相色谱法对贵州喀斯特地区4种不同土地覆被下的土壤CO2-C释放通量进行观测研究。结果表明,（1）不同的土地覆被下土壤CO2-C释放通量有显著的差别,其释放顺序为：森林（（134．1±78．8）mg／（m^2·h））〉次生林（（70．8±122．3）mg／（m^2·h））〉玉米地（（55．5±78．0）mg／（m^2·h）1〉烧荒地（（35．5±91．4）mg／（m^2·h））。各样点季节变化都比较明显,夏季平均排放量最高,冬季最低。（2）凋落物对森林土壤CO2-C释放的影响较大,有凋落物覆盖的土壤CO2-C释放量（（134．1±78．8）mg／（m^2·h））高于无凋落物覆盖的林地土壤（（111．2±80．3）mg／（m^2·h））,凋落物分解对森林土壤CO2-C释放总量的贡献约占17％。基于地面气温,计算得出森林和森林（无凋落物）的研。分别为1．92、2．10。（3）除次生林和烧荒地外,其余各样地CO2-C释放通量均与土壤各层温度呈显著正相关关系,但绝大多数样地与土壤湿度（WFPS）之间相关性不显著。     

两种圆柏属常绿植物叶片稳定碳同位素的季节变化及其指示意义

连续2a测定了祁连圆柏(Sabina przewalskii)和圆柏(Sabina chinensis)叶片δ13C值及叶片相对含水量、脯氨酸和硅(Si)含量的季节性变化,研究了叶δ13C值与环境因素之间的相关性(月总降雨量、月平均气温、月平均土温、月总日照时间、相对湿度、大气压、蒸汽压、风速以及潜在蒸发量).结果表明:叶片δ13C值与大气压成负相关,而与气温、降雨量、蒸汽压、潜在蒸发量、日照时间、风速及土温成正相关;13C值与相对湿度之间无显著关系,说明圆柏属植物叶13C值可以作为这些气象因素有效的指示指标.同时,叶片13C值与脯氨酸和Si含量负相关,与叶片含水量和MDA正相关,并且相对圆柏来说,祁连圆柏有更高的13C值、脯氨酸含量和Si含量,较低的叶片含水量和MDA含量,说明叶片13C值在一定程度上可以作为指证环境胁迫的抗逆指标.     

Seasonal fluctuation of Myxobolus gibelioi (Myxosporea) plasmodia in the gills of the farmed allogynogenetic gibel carp in China

ＩＮＴＲＯＤＵＣＴＩＯＮＭｙｘｏｓｐｏｒｅａｎｓａｒｅｖｅｒｙｃｏｍｍｏｎｐａｒａｓｉｔｅｓｏｆｆｉｓｈ .Ｔｈｅｉｒｓｅａｓｏｎａｌｆｌｕｃｔｕａｔｉｏｎｓｉｎｐｒｅｖａｌｅｎｃｅａｎｄｉｎｔｅｎｓｉｔｙｏｆｉｎｆｅｃｔｉｏｎｗｅｒｅｄｅｓｃｒｉｂｅｄｂｙｓｏｍｅａｕｔｈｏｒｓ (Ｍｉｔｃｈｅｌｌ,1 989;Ｓｉｔｊａ ＢｏｂａｄｉｌｌａａｎｄＡｌｖａｒｅｚ Ｐｅｌｌｉｔｅｒｏ,1 990 ;Ｃｏｎｅ ,1 994 ) .Ｈｏｗｅｖｅｒ,ａｌｍｏｓｔｎｏｒｅｌａｔｅｄｉｎｆｏｒｍａｔｉｏｎｉｓａｖａｉｌａｂｌｅｉｎＣｈｉｎ…     

Characterization of surface and ground water δ18O seasonal variation and its use for estimating groundwater residence times

¹⁸O is an ideal tracer for characterizing hydrological processes because it can be reliably measured in several watershed hydrological compartments. Here, we present multiyear isotopic data, i.e. ¹⁸O variations (δ¹⁸O), for precipitation inputs, surface water and groundwater in the Shingobee River Headwaters Area (SRHA), a well‐instrumented research catchment in north‐central Minnesota. SRHA surface waters exhibit δ¹⁸O seasonal variations similar to those of groundwaters, and seasonal δ¹⁸O variations plotted versus time fit seasonal sine functions. These seasonal δ¹⁸O variations were interpreted to estimate surface water and groundwater mean residence times (MRTs) at sampling locations near topographically closed‐basin lakes. MRT variations of about 1 to 16 years have been estimated over an area covering about 9 km² from the basin boundary to the most downgradient well. Estimated MRT error (±0·3 to ±0·7 years) is small for short MRTs and is much larger (±10 years) for a well with an MRT (16 years) near the limit of the method. Groundwater transit time estimates based on Darcy's law, tritium content, and the seasonal δ¹⁸O amplitude approach appear to be consistent within the limits of each method. The results from this study suggest that use of the δ¹⁸O seasonal variation method to determine MRTs can help assess groundwater recharge areas in small headwaters catchments. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Seasonal and interannual variations of nitrate and chloride in stream waters related to spatial and temporal patterns of groundwater concentrations in agricultural catchments

Nitrate concentrations in streamwater of agricultural catchments often exhibit interannual variations, which are supposed to result from land‐use changes, as well as seasonal variations mainly explained by the effect of hydrological and biogeochemical cycles. In catchments on impervious bedrock, seasonal variations of nitrate concentrations in streamwater are usually characterized by higher nitrate concentrations in winter than in summer. However, intermediate or inverse cycles with higher concentrations in summer are sometimes observed. An experimental study was carried out to assess the mechanisms that determine the seasonal cycles of streamwater nitrate concentrations in intensive agricultural catchments. Temporal and spatial patterns of groundwater concentrations were investigated in two adjacent catchments located in south‐western Brittany (France), characterized by different seasonal variations of streamwater nitrate concentrations. Wells were drilled across the hillslope at depths ranging from 1·5 to 20 m. Dynamics of the water table were monitored and the groundwater nitrate and chloride concentrations were measured weekly over 2 years. Results highlighted that groundwater was partitioned into downslope domains, where denitrification induced lower nitrate concentrations than into mid‐slope and upslope domains. For one catchment, high subsurface flow with high nitrate concentrations during high water periods and active denitrification during low water periods explained the higher streamwater nitrate concentrations in winter than in summer. For the other catchment, the high contribution of groundwater with high nitrate concentrations smoothed or inverted this trend. Increasing bromide/chloride ratio and nitrate concentrations with depth argued for an effect of past agricultural pressure on this catchment. The relative contribution of flows in time and correlatively the spatial origin of waters, function of the depth and the location on the hillslope, and their chemical characteristics control seasonal cycles of streamwater nitrate concentrations and can influence their interannual trends. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

国家气候中心短期气候预测模式系统业务化进展

该文简要介绍了国家气候中心短期气候预测模式系统的研发成果,并侧重于从海洋资料同化系统、陆面资料同化系统、月动力延伸预测模式系统、季节气候预测模式系统4个方面介绍了第2代短期气候预测模式系统的业务化进展。第2代海洋资料同化系统已初步建成,其对温盐的同化效果总体上优于第1代同化系统;陆面资料同化系统正在研发中,目前已完成其中的多源降水融合子系统的业务建设工作,可为陆面分量提供实时的大气降水强迫分析场;第2代月动力延伸预测系统基于国家气候中心大气环流模式BCC_AGCM2.2建立,已于2012年8月进入准业务运行阶段;第2代季节预测模式系统基于国家气候中心气候系统模式BCC_CSM1.1(m) 建立,将于2013年底投入准业务运行。初步评估表明:第2代月动力延伸预测模式系统和季节气候预测模式系统分别对候、旬、月和季节、年际时间尺度的气候变率体现出了一定的预测能力,其对降水、气温、环流等要素的预测技巧总体上要高于第1代预测系统。     

Seasonal evolution of subtropical anticyclones in the climate system model FGOALS-s2

The simulation characteristics of the seasonal evolution of subtropical anticyclones in the Northern Hemisphere are documented for the Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land Systemmodel, Spectral Version 2 (FGOALS-s2), developed at the State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, the Institute of Atmospheric Physics. An understanding of the seasonal evolution of the subtropical anticyclones is also addressed. Compared with the global analysis established by the European Centre for Medium-Range Forecasts, the ERA-40 global reanalysis data, the general features of subtropical anticyclones and their evolution are simulated well in both winter and summer, while in spring a pronounced bias in the generation of the South Asia Anticyclone(SAA) exists. Its main deviation in geopotential height from the reanalysis is consistent with the bias of temperature in the troposphere. It is found that condensation heating (CO) plays a dominant role in the seasonal development of the SAA and the subtropical anticyclone over the western Pacific (SAWP) in the middle troposphere. The CO biases in the model account for the biases in the establishment of the SAA in spring and the weaker strength of the SAA and the SAWP from spring to summer. CO is persistently overestimated in the central-east tropical Pacific from winter to summer, while it is underestimated over the area from the South China Sea to the western Pacific from spring to summer. Such biases generate an illusive anticyclonic gyre in the upper troposphere above the middle Pacific and delay the generation of the SAA over South Asia in April. In midsummer, the simulated SAA is located farther north than in the ERA-40 data owing to excessively strong surface sensible heating (SE) to the north of the Tibetan Plateau. Whereas, the two surface subtropical anticyclones in the eastern oceans during spring to summer are controlled mainly by the surface SE over the two continents in the Northern Hemisphere, which are simulated reasonably well, albeit with their centers shifted westwards owing to the weaker longwave radiation cooling in the simulation associated with much weaker local stratiform cloud. Further improvements in the related parameterization of physical processes are therefore identified.     

Downscaling of Precipitation over Vancouver Island using a Synoptic Typing Approach

A statistical downscaling technique is employed to link atmospheric circulation produced by an ensemble of global climate model (GCM) simulations over the twenty-first century to precipitation recorded at weather stations on Vancouver Island. Relationships between the different spatial scales are established with synoptic typing, coupled with non-homogeneous Markov models to simulate precipitation intensity and occurrence. Types are generated from daily precipitation observations spanning 1971 to 2000. Atmospheric predictors used to influence the Markov models are derived from two versions of GCM output: averages of GCM grid cells selected by correlation maps of circulation and precipitation data and an approach involving common Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOFs) calculated from GCM output over the northeast Pacific Ocean. Projections for 2081 to 2100 made using averaged grid cells find that winter (November–February) precipitation anomalies produce modestly positive values, with gains of 7.5% in average precipitation, typical increases of 9.0% rising to 20% in the case of high-intensity precipitation, and little spatial dependence. In contrast, average and high-intensity summer precipitation (June–September) decline negligibly at most island weather stations with the exception of those in the southwestern sections, which experience reductions of 15% relative to 1971 to 2000. Projections made using common EOFs display a strong spatial dependence. Future winter precipitation is expected to increase only on the west coast of the island by 11%, on average, while the southeastern coast will experience decreases of 5% to 10%. The same pattern repeats in summer, though with negligible increases on the west coast and declines of 12% to 16% on the southeastern coast. The reliability of this novel EOF method remains to be confirmed definitively, however. In both seasons precipitation occurrence decreases slightly at all stations with declines in the total days with measurable precipitation ranging from 2% to 8%.

RÉSUMÉ [Traduit par la rédaction] Nous employons une technique statistique de réduction d’échelle pour lier la circulation atmosphérique produite par un ensemble de simulations du GCM (Global Climate Model) durant le XXI^e siècle aux précipitations enregistrées à des stations météorologiques sur l’île de Vancouver. Les relations entre les différentes échelles spatiales sont établies au moyen d'un typage synoptique couplé avec des modèles markoviens non homogènes pour simuler l'intensité et la fréquence des précipitations. Les types sont générés à partir des observations quotidiennes de précipitations au cours de la période 1971–2000. Les prédicteurs atmosphériques utilisés pour influencer les modèles markoviens sont dérivés de deux versions de sorties du GCM : les moyennes de mailles du GCM sélectionnées par tables de corrélation des données de circulation et de précipitations et une approche fondée sur les fonctions orthogonales empiriques (EOF) communes calculées d'après la sortie du GCM pour le nord-est du Pacifique. Les projections pour la période 2081–2100 basées sur des moyennes de mailles montrent que les anomalies de précipitations hivernales (novembre–février) produisent de faibles valeurs positives, avec des gains de 7.5% dans les précipitations moyennes, des accroissements caractéristiques de 9.0% augmentant à 20% dans le cas des précipitations de forte intensité, et peu de dépendance spatiale. En revanche, les précipitations estivales (juin–septembre) moyennes et de forte intensité diminuent de façon négligeable à la plupart des stations météorologiques de l’île, à l'exception de celles situées dans secteur sud-ouest qui subissent une réduction de 15% par rapport à 1971–2000. Les projections faites à l'aide des fonctions orthogonales empiriques communes exhibent une forte dépendance spatiale. Les précipitations hivernales futures devraient augmenter seulement sur la côte ouest de l’île de 11% en moyenne alors que la côte sud-est connaîtra des diminutions de 5 à 10%. La même configuration se répète en été, bien qu'avec des accroissements négligeables sur la côte ouest et des diminutions de 12 à 16% sur la côte sud-est. La fiabilité de cette nouvelle méthode EOF reste toutefois à établir. Dans les deux saisons, la fréquence des précipitations diminue légèrement à toutes les stations, les diminutions du nombre total de jours avec précipitations mesurables variant entre 2 et 8%.