Analysis of cost functions for retrieving sea surface salinity

Two kinds of Bayesian-based cost functions (i.e., the unconstrained cost function and parameter-constrained cost function) are investigated for retrieving the sea surface salinity (SSS). In low SSS regions, we have analyzed the sensitivity of the two cost functions to geophysical parameters. The results show that the unconstrained cost function is valid for retrieving several parameters (including SSS, wind speed and significant wave height), and the constrained cost function, which largely depends on the accuracy of reference values, may lead to large retrieval biases. Furthermore, as a retrieval parameter, the sea surface temperature (SST) can re-sult in the divergence of other geophysical parameters in an unconstrained cost function due to the strong sensitivity of brightness temperature to SST. By using the unconstrained cost function and the simulated brightness temperature TB with white noises, the retrieval biases of SSS are discussed with the following two procedures. Procedure a): the simulated TB values are first averaged, and then SSS is retrieved. Procedure b): the SSS is directly retrieved from the simulated TB , and then the retrieved SSS values are aver-aged. The results indicate that, for low SSS and SST distributions, the SSS retrieval by procedure a) has less biases compared with that by procedure b), while the two procedures give almost the same retrieval results for high SSS and SST sea regions.     

饶阳凹陷留西—留北地区新近系地层水特征及其与油气分布的关系

以冀中坳陷饶阳凹陷新近系油气分布最富集的留西—留北地区为研究对象,通过对该区新近系地层水及其与油气分布关系的系统分析,明确了新近系地层水的水化学类型及矿化度分布特征,揭示了该区新近系地层水的地球化学特征异常与油气运移、油气分布的内在关系。结果表明:留西—留北地区新近系整体上发育低矿化度的NaHCO3型地层水,地层水矿化度具有由西向东、由北向南逐渐增加的趋势,同时水化学类型由HCO3--Cl--Na+型过渡为Cl--HCO3--Na+型;在油源和断裂条件良好的条件下,新近系地层水异常与油气分布具有良好的对应关系,新近系油气主要在地层水矿化度高于背景值、水化学类型异常及油源断裂发育的地区富集,同时新近系高矿化度Na2SO4型或MgCl2型地层水对油气由深向浅的运聚特征具有重要的指示作用。     

世界遗产地旅游者地方感影响关系及机理分析——以苏州古典园林为例

地方感强调地方本身具有的特质及人与地之间的情感连结关系, 是近年来国外环境心理学和游憩地理学的热点论题。以世界遗产地苏州古典园林为例, 基于旅游涉入、旅游吸引力、旅游功能、地方感、遗产保护态度与遗产保护行为6 个潜变量, 构建地方感结构关系模型, 通过设计量表并回收909 份有效调查样本, 运用SPSS、Amos 软件及验证性因子分析方法, 探讨了旅游者地方感的影响关系路径及运行机理。研究结果表明:① 由地方感前因影响导入机制与后果效应输出机制构成的“导入—输出”系统机制的运行过程与结果是苏州古典园林旅游者地方感的影响关系机理;② 地方感前因变量旅游涉入、旅游吸引力、旅游功能均对地方感有显著的正向影响, 同时地方感的形成对遗产保护态度及遗产保护行为也具有重要的影响效应;③ 旅游吸引力对地方感的影响最小(0.341), 旅游涉入对地方感的影响最小(0.252);④ 地方感的形成对旅游者的遗产保护态度及遗产保护行为均具有重要的影响效应, 其对遗产保护行为的影响(0.467) 比对保护态度的影响(0.420) 更加显著。对地方感前因变量与后果效应进行整合分析, 探讨地方感影响关系机理, 以期为我国遗产地的遗产保护与旅游发展的协调互利提供借鉴及指明方向。     

人类活动对别拉洪河流域水文情势的影响研究

为了研究人类活动对水文情势的影响,以别拉洪河流域1957～2004年水文、气象数据为基础,详细分析了降水量、蒸发量及径流量等要素的变化特征;利用累积滤波法、Kendal秩次相关法、径流量年内分配的不均匀系数和径流量的变差系数对径流量的变化及其趋势进行了分析;利用降水-径流双累积曲线法和Mann-Kendall法对径流量序列进行了突变检验;定量研究了人类活动对径流量的影响。结果表明,1957～2004年别拉洪河流域年径流量显著减少,1966年年径流量发生减少突变;人类活动对年径流量减少总量的影响率大于60％,是导致该流域水文循环要素发生变化的主导因素,其次才是年降水量。     

27.3-day and 13.6-day atmospheric tide and lunar forcing on atmospheric circulation

An analysis of time variations of the earth‘s length of day (LOD) versus atmospheric geopotential height fields and lunar phase is presented. A strong correlation is found between LOD and geopotential height from which a close relationship is inferred and found between atmospheric circulation and the lunar cycle around the earth. It is found that there is a 27.3-day and 13.6-day east-west oscillation in the atmospheric circulation following the lunar phase change. The lunar revolution around the earth strongly influences the atmospheric circulation. During each lunar cycle around the earth there is, on average, an alternating change of 6.8-day-decrease, 6.8-day-increase, 6.8-day-deerease and 6.8-day-increase in atmospheric zonal wind, atmospheric angular momentum and LOD. The dominant factor producing such an oscillation in atmospheric circulation is the periodic change of lunar declination during the lunar revolution around the earth. The 27.3- day and 13.6-day atmospheric oscillatory phenomenon is akin to a strong atmospheric tide, which is different from the weak atmospheric tides, diurnal and semidiurnal, previously documented in the literature. Also it is different from the tides in the ocean in accordance with their frequency and date of occurrence. Estimation shows that the 27.3-day lunar forcing produces a 1-2 m s^-1 change in atmospheric zonal wind. Therefore, it should be considered in models of atmospheric circulation and short and middle term weather forecasting. The physical mechanism and dynamic processes in lunar forcing on atmospheric circulation are discussed.     

全球气候变化及其影响因素研究进展综述

概述了全球气候变化问题提出的科学背景,总结了引起气候变化的原因,客观分析了引起不同时间尺度气候变化的各种自然因素,透视了人类活动对气候变化的影响程度,讨论了应该如何理解当今全球气候变暖问题。同时,还综述了气候变化研究中的学术分歧和科学困惑。     

东濮凹陷西部斜坡带油田水特征及其油气地质意义

基于实际测试资料,统计分析了东濮凹陷西部斜坡带沙河街组油田水的水型、矿化度、盐类离子组分和化学系数的纵、横向变化特征,并探讨了油田水特征对油气聚集与保存的指示作用。研究表明,研究区油田水以CaCl2型为主;矿化度随埋深增大而增大,Ⅱ台阶发育高矿化度区;常规离子组成中阳离子为Na^＋ ＋K^＋、Ca^2＋、Mg^2＋;阴离子为C1^-、SO4^2-、HCO3^-,并以Na^＋＋K^＋和Cl^-占绝对优势,在深层高矿化度区存在阳离子交替吸附现象;由浅至深、自Ⅲ台阶到Ⅰ台阶,钠氯系数、脱硫系数、碳酸盐平衡系数和钠钙系数呈减小趋势,而变质系数和钙镁系数则逐渐增大;油田水分布特征指示着研究区深层的油气保存条件优于浅层,从西部斜坡带顶部到洼陷中心油气保存条件越来越好,Ⅱ台阶是重要的油气聚集区带与勘探对象。     

灰色关联度分析在水文地质中的应用——以山东省济宁长沟水源地为例

山东济宁长沟水源地裂隙喀斯特含水系统受孔隙水和地表水影响,运用灰色关联度,对裂隙喀斯特水和孔隙水、裂隙喀斯特水和地表水之间分别进行水位和水化学组分关联性比较分析,确认孔隙水与喀斯特水的关系比地表水与喀斯特水的关系密切。沿运河一带运河水补给孔隙水,运河以南孔隙水与裂隙喀斯特水互为补排关系,而运河水与裂隙喀斯特水无直接水力联系。     

Effects of salinity,temperature, and light intensity on the growth rates of two halophilic phytoflagellates in mixed culture

Growth rates of two halophilic phytoflagellates, Dunaliella euchlora Lerche and D. salina Teodoresco, were studied in mixed batch cultures grown in filtered, axenic brines from Lake Grassmere, New Zealand. Forty‐five combinations of temperature, salinity, and light intensity were used. A maximum growth rate of 1.50 doublings day^‐1 was attained by D. salina at 26°C, 190 × 10^‐3S at a light intensity of 126 μE m^‐2 s^‐1. D. euchlora showed maximum growth rate of 1.16 doublings day^‐1 at 20°C, 120 × 10^‐3S at a light intensity of 180 μE m^‐2s^‐1. Predicted maximum values of 1.41 and 1.14 doublings day^‐1 respectively were obtained from regression models based on 45 replicate treatment combinations. In decreasing order of importance, temperature, salinity, and light intensity influence growth rates of brine algae. The optimum temperature for growth of both species increased as the salt concentration increased but decreased with increasing light intensity.     

Winter oceanographic observations in some New Zealand fiords

The winter oceanography of four New Zealand fiords is discussed using data obtained from July 1983, and comparisons are made with data collected on previous summers. Surface waters were more saline in winter than in summer and were everywhere cooler than the underlying water. Deep water renewal in the fiord basins was re‐examined using all available data. For Milford Sound and the other deep silled fiords renewal appears to be related to the arrival of dense water at sill depth offshore by an as yet unknown advective or meteorologically forced process. In the more isolated Long Sound, Preservation Inlet, deep water renewal requires the subtle interplay of tidal flows and mixing processes over the shallow double sill. Complete renewal of Long Sound bottom water appears to be a slow process.