地下河系统水动态监测网络优化对比分析:以桂林海洋-寨底地下河系统为例

基于我国南方地区岩溶发育极不均匀、水位水质动态变化快的特点,通过对信息熵法和防污性能法所得结果的对比,分析在缺少系列监测资料条件下,利用岩溶水系统防污性能评价结果快速布设地下河系统水动态监测网的可行性及其布设原则。根据防污性能评价结果,结合水循环特征,桂林海洋-寨底地下河系统水动态监测网需由17个监测站组成;采用信息熵法对现有35个监测站进行优化后,认为只需要12个监测站就可组成最优监测网,但这12个监测站点与采用防污性能评价法得到的点位完全重合,且均位于防污性能差的地区。对比分析认为,以地下水系统防污性能评价结果布设地下水动态监测网是可行性的,因为岩溶发育区既是防污性能差的地区,也是地下水动态变化快的地区,能充分反映地下河系统水质水量变化。采用防污性能评价法布设地下水动态监测网时,需要充分认识和了解地下河系统水文地质条件和地下河管道结构特征,且需要遵循以下原则:(1)在岩溶发育相对较弱的系统中部(基本上不存在防污性能差的地区)不设置监测站点;(2)在距离地下河出口较近的岩溶发育区内(即防污性能差的地区)监测站点可由地下河出口替代;(3)对于多支管道系统,岩溶发育相对较弱且距离较短的小型支管道上可以不布设监测站,由支管道与主管道交汇处的监测站代替。     

Progresses in the ice formation of glaciers in China

Glaciers, formed by snowfall and characterized by movement and size, are the most sensitive indicators to climate change. The ice formation of glaciers (the processes, mechanisms and results of transformation from snow to ice) can indicate the growth condition, the formation process and the physical characteristics of glaciers. Its spatial variation can also reflect glacier change, and further reveal climate change. Studies on ice formation of glaciers in China were initiated in 1962, when Xie and others studied the ice formation of Glacier No.1 at the Urumqi River head, Tianshan Mountain. Other researchersfollowed suit and did studies on ice formation of glaciers in Qilian Mountain. As time goes by, the concept of ice formation came into being in China. This paper reviews the development history of glacier zones, and the studies of ice formation of glaciers in China since the 1960s. These studies mainly focus on Qilian Mountain, Tianshan Mountain, Altay Mountain, and the western Kunlun Mountain, Himalaya Mountain, the southeastern Tibetan and Hengduan Mountains. The paper also discusses the significance of ice formation studies, the limitation and deficiency of previous studies, and the prospects and suggestions for future studies. __________ Translated from Advances in Earth Science, 2007, 22(4): 386–395 [译自: 地球科学进展]     

逐步回归分析在渤海海冰等级预报中的应用

根据1951—2013年渤海海冰等级资料,利用最大熵谱法分析了渤海海冰等级的周期,结果表明渤海海冰具有明显的年际和年代际变化特征,其主要周期为2—7年和11年。相关分析及逐步回归分析表明:渤海海冰的年际变化与西太平洋副高面积及北界指数、太平洋副高面积指数、亚洲区极涡面积指数以及南方涛动指数都有显著的相关关系。利用逐步回归分析方法建立的海冰预报模型经过拟合和试预报都得到了很好的结果,具有较高的可信度。     

Sediment transport at the network scale and its link to channel morphology in the braided Vjosa River system

In this article we apply the CASCADE network-scale sediment connectivity model to the Vjosa River in Albania. The Vjosa is one of the last unimpaired braided rivers in Europe and, at the same time, a data scarce environment, which limits our ability to model how this pristine river might respond to future human disturbance. To initialize the model, we use remotely sensed data and modeled hydrology from a regional model. We perform a reach-by-reach optimization of surface grain size distribution (GSD) and bedload transport capacity to ensure equilibrium conditions throughout the network. In order to account for the various sources of uncertainty in the calculation of transport capacity, we performed a global sensitivity analysis. The modeled GSD distributions generated by the sensitivity analysis generally match the six GSDs measured at different locations within the network. The modeled bedload sediment fluxes increase systematically downstream, and annual fluxes at the outlet of the Vjosa are well within an order of magnitude of fluxes derived from previous estimates of the annual suspended sediment load. We then use the modeled sediment fluxes as input to a set of theoretically derived functions that successfully discriminate between multi-thread and single-thread channel patterns. This finding provides additional validation of the model results by showing a clear connection between modeled sediment concentrations and observed river morphology. Finally, we observe that a reduction in sediment flux of about 50% (e.g., due to dams) would likely cause existing braided reaches to shift toward single thread morphology. The proposed method is widely applicable and opens a new avenue for application of network-scale sediment models that aid in the exploration of river stability to changes in water and sediment fluxes.     

利用ICESat/GLAS数据获取北极海冰出水高度的研究

利用ICESat激光测高卫星数据获取2003-10～2008-03北冰洋秋季与冬季海冰出水高度,结果与国外相关研究基本一致。出水高度数据的拟合结果表明,北极海冰出水高度以每年约2.3 cm的速度递减,该速度比此前的相关研究结果更快。在不同作者利用ICESat数据计算的北极海冰出水高度的对比中,不同方法得到的结果之间存在明显的系统误差。对引起系统误差的原因进行深入分析表明,高程滤波的窗口长度、确定海面高的范围以及海面观测值的选取方式都会使出水高度的计算产生cm级的误差。     

山东黄河水利工程移民安置规划浅论

移民安置关系社会稳定和经济可持续发展。要采取措施,尽快恢复生产,使搬迁居民达到或超过原有生活水平。移民安置规划主要内容包括实物指标调查、农村移民生产措施规划、居民点规划及专项处理规划等。实物指标调查是移民安置规划设计的第一步基础工作。实物数量、现状的标准等是确定移民安置规模和专业项目复建规划的重要依据。移民安置规划是移民规划设计的核心。农村移民生产安置方案的制定和措施的落实是移民安置规划设计的重点,移民生活安置环境容量的分析与移民安置目标的确定则是移民安置规划的关键。     

青藏高原不同时段气候变化的研究综述

综述了近年来通过冰芯、树轮、湖泊沉积等记录对青藏高原不同时段气候变化研究取得的成果．并特别着重于末次间冰期以来青藏高原的气候变化特征。在末次间冰期．青藏高原气候变化剧烈,降温迅速升温缓慢;末次冰期温度变化与格陵兰冰芯记录具有较好一致性,同时也具有高原的独特性;新仙女木事件发生时间与欧洲和格陵兰冰芯的记录基本一致;全新世总体比较温暖;近2000年来温度变化在波动中逐渐上升;近代温度有加速升高的趋势。总体上青藏高原各种尺度上的气候变化要早于我国其它地区．变化的幅度也较大。     

北极海冰细菌产胞外酶及主要环境因子的初步研究

覆盖在北极海洋上的广阔海冰为其内部生存的微生物群落提供了一个独特的生境。研究表明 ,大量海冰细菌能够分泌产生胞外酶 ,其中产蛋白或脂质水解酶细菌的比例远高于产多糖水解酶的细菌。温度、盐度是直接影响海冰细菌生存与活力的 2个主要环境因子。 76%的产酪蛋白酶海冰细菌为低温菌 ,菌株只能在 <35°C条件下生长 ;而 98%的酪蛋白酶最适作用温度≥ 35°C ,其中 62 %的酶最适作用温度≥ 45°C。几乎所有的产酪蛋白酶海冰细菌都耐盐或嗜盐     

拉西瓦工程河谷区高地应力场反演与形成机理

拉西瓦水电工程坝址区为高山峡谷地貌,受地质构造应力、自重、地表剥蚀和河流侵蚀卸荷等多因素影响而赋存有高地应力,河谷区钻孔岩芯饼化与探洞片状剥落现象明显。由于该区地应力场及其空间分布特征与多期地质构造运动及河谷演化历史等因素密切相关,要合理确定其三维地应力分布状况与大小具有较大难度和复杂性。采用多元回归与逐步回归相结合的方法对工程区域初始地应力场进行了详细反演,在此基础上,深入研究了河谷区地应力场的空间分布特征与规律,并就其形成机理开展了多因素影响效应分析,为我国西部强烈地质作用区高地应力研究及水电工程建设提供了具有参考价值的成果和工程案例。     

Discovery of an ice cave in the Yatude Valley, Langhovde, Dronning Maud Land, East Antarctica

A circular hole was discovered on the downstream side of a glacier dam in the Yatude Valley, Langhovde, East Antarctica, during the 2005–2006 austral summer. The opening of this hole is the first opportunity enabling us to observe the interior of the dam. The opening led to a large cave in the dam, raising the possibility of meltwater drainage through the dam. The Yatude Valley is an approximately U-shaped fluvial valley. The valley floor has been incised to form a box-shaped inner valley that contains fluvial terraces and large boulders upon the valley floor. The origin of these features can be explained by a large amount of running water; however, we consider it unlikely that a regular current has flowed through this site for a long period. Instead, it is more likely that large quantities of lake water have been periodically discharged due to collapse of the glacier dam or spilling out through a tunnel channel within the cave. The discovered hole and the ice cave are key features in understanding the historical development of the Yatude Valley in relation to the melting history of the Antarctic ice sheet.